Player Prop Bets for Bears vs. Saints – NFL Wild Card, January 10, 2021
The 2021 NFL Wild Card round has arrived. If you want to get in on the action and profit from the NFL playoffs from the jump, be sure to check out the early 2021 NFL Wild Card odds.
More than just brushing over the early lines, I’d compare my early notes to how the lines have moved and where they’re at now.
If you don’t want to bet on the games but still want some action, the next best thing may be NFL player props. I handed out props for Saturday’s batch of games, and I’m doing it again for Sunday.
Next up is this Bears vs. Saints showdown in New Orleans. Drew Brees and co. are almost 10-point favorites, depending on where you bet on the NFL, so keep that in mind as you prepare to place some bets.
Here’s my favorite Bears vs. Saints NFL player props for their 2021 Wild Card tilt.
Drew Brees Under 269.5 Passing Yards (-115)
I will say that I’m not the only person handing out NFL betting advice this week. Dean McHugh thinks this game will be more explosive than some suggest, and he breaks down his favorite bet in his Bears vs. Saints Wild Card preview.
I’m not so sure I really agree this turns into a shootout, though. I do think the Bears keep it competitive, but both of these defenses are quite capable of playing stifling football.
New Orleans is the favorite here, but Drew Brees hasn’t really been lighting it up lately. He’s failed to top this yardage mark in four of his last five starts, and Chicago happens to rank 12th against the pass.
The Bears gave up touchdowns in 2020, but they did not get torched through the air very often. Add in Brees’ playoff struggles and natural regression, and I won’t be shocked to see him hit the Under here.
David Montgomery to Score a Touchdown (+115)
Looking for a more stable Bears vs. Saints prop? I love this Montgomery wager for him to score a touchdown. The +115 odds are tough to beat, and the guy has been on fire down the stretch.
New Orleans is very good against the run (4th in the NFL), and they only allowed 11 rushing scores on the year. Montgomery scored 10 himself in 2020, though, with seven coming over his final five contests.
Montgomery has actually scored at least once in each of his last six games. With their season on the line and Montgomery being such a huge part of what the Bears do, it only makes sense that he’d punch one in at some point in this game.
Alvin Kamara to Score a Touchdown (-227)
The same goes for Kamara. Chicago has a respectable run defense, and like the Saints, only gave up 11 scores on the ground during the regular season.
But Kamara is a bit of a freak. As you may recall, this is the dude that tied an NFL record with six touchdowns in one game.
Yeah, that’s nuts.
Even crazier may be betting against him finding paydirt at least once in a home playoff game. I wouldn’t go that route, and even though the -227 price isn’t all that fun, this bet feels like a lock to me.
The matchup isn’t a smash spot, but Kamara had 21 touchdowns on the year. I think he can get at least one more on Sunday.
Darnell Mooney Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Normally bettors would gravitate toward betting on Allen Robinson or Michael Thomas, but they have pretty tough matchups in this game.
Instead, I’d look to someone who could end up getting freed up by said matchup. The guy that stands out is Mooney, and I actually touched on him in Sunday’s NFL DFS Wild Card preview.
Mooney can make plays down the field, and he’s fresh off of the best game of his career. I like the lack of attention he’ll get in this spot and think he’ll be busy enough to hit the Over.
This yardage total isn’t very high, either, while Mooney has managed to top it six times this year.
There are even more Bears vs. Saints player props to consider, as I didn’t touch on the likes of Allen Robinson, Michael Thomas, and so many others.
I’m not really here to find every potential bet, though. Rather, I highlight the best NFL player props that I think offer a bit of value, have a good chance of winning, or do both.
You can also bet on the game itself, but there figures to be a clear path to some winning bets via props in this game, as well as others.
For some more advice on how to bet on Wild Card player props this weekend, check out some of my other posts below.