Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies – MLB, June 30, 2021

The Pittsburgh Pirates prepare to battle the Colorado Rockies for the second day in a row on Wednesday. The Bucs get a massive park upgrade in Coors Field, but Colorado has been tough to beat at home all season.

Neither of these teams are great offensively, and they’re rarely to be trusted. However, there could be plenty of offense to be had in this one, and I think an advantageous bet awaits.

To find out what that is, join me for my Pirates vs. Rockies betting pick and prediction for June 30th, 2021.

The Pirates enter as logical road dogs, as they’re winning 37% of their games in 2021 and are a paltry 13-27 on the road.

Pittsburgh has a punchless offense, and they aren’t a whole lot better defensively. They’ve got it worse when you consider that the Rockies (26-16 at Coors) thrive in the confines of the best hitter’s park in baseball.

The Pirates could be a bit sneaky at their +133 price at BetOnline, of course.

The run line and moneyline are palatable in both directions, while the game total makes complete sense given the park impact. Bettors could literally go in any number of directions, which is a big reason why I prioritized a Pirates vs. Rockies pick for Wednesday.

The Rockies have been very good at home, they have the superior offense, and they also have the edge on the mound. So if we want to be lazy about it, the Rockies are the slam dunk bet at -144.

You can go there, but a deeper dive doesn’t hurt. Jon Gray is easily one of Colorado’s best arms, and for the most part, he’s been decent (3.97 ERA, 1.26 ERA) for a guy who spends half his time in a park pitchers go to be sent out to pasture.

He has a respectable 3.25 ERA and has held opposing hitters to a collective .167 OBA on the season. He’s serving up some dingers (6) here, and his struggles with lefties are well documented.

Pittsburgh’s lefties aren’t scary, but they still have many of them, and the park upgrade is obnoxiously clear.

On the other side is Chad Kuhl, who has not been good (2-4, 5.05 ERA) and gets a severe park downgrade. This isn’t a good spot for a mediocre arm who walks way too many batters (14.5%!), doesn’t whiff at an elite rate, and gives up a good amount of hard contact.

Kuhl gives up contact to both sides of the plate, but the power will usually come from the lefties. He could have a difficult time with Charlie Blackmon and Ryan McMahon, who should probably be in the 2021 Home Run Derby.

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Raimel Tapia could also be a handful too.

Colorado can certainly disappoint, but they do their best work at this park, and Kuhl isn’t a guy to get behind – especially in a spot like this.

The Rockies have the edge, and this game could have loads of scoring. So now it’s all about which bet feels the best.

The Rockies are the easy pick at -144. They have been tough to beat at home, they have the better arm, their offense is a bit livelier, and the Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball.

I think they have the edge here, and I like the idea of getting some value with the home team.

The Rockies are going to light Kuhl up. Of course, you could just play it safe at -144 or bet on both sides teeing off, but Colorado at +115 to win by two runs feels like a great bet.