Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Indians – MLB, September 25, 2020

By Admir Aljic in MLB
| September 25, 2020 2:39 am PDT

The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Progressive Field in Cleveland on Friday night to open a three-game interleague series against the Cleveland Indians.

The Pirates have nothing to play for, and I bet they cannot wait for this strange MLB season to wrap up on Sunday. Still, the Pirates are coming off a 7-0 home victory over the Cubs on Thursday afternoon, improving to 18-39 on the season.

The Indians, on the other side, were 32-24 ahead of their Thursday’s clash against the White Sox. Chicago was a couple of games ahead of Cleveland, so the Indians will probably have to settle down with the seventh-seed in the American League.

Anyway, Cleveland will try to finish the season on a high note, so here’s my best Pirates vs. Indians betting pick along with the betting tips and trends for Friday’s game at Progressive Field.

Pirates vs. Indians Odds

BET ODDS
Pirates +1.5 +105
Indians -1.5 -125
Pirates to Win +230
Indians to Win -255
Over 7.5 -110
Under 7.5 -110

The Pirates have the worst record in the majors, and with the Indians still having something to play for, the bookies have to set some unattractive odds on the hosts to win.

Both Pittsburgh and Cleveland are among the worst offensive teams in baseball this year, so don’t be surprised with a 7.5-run line.

Pirates vs. Indians Preview

The Pirates are scoring only 3.48 runs per game which are the fewest in the majors by far. Their batting average of .214 is the third-worst in baseball, while the Pirates recorded the worst slugging percentage of .340.

Interestingly, the Pirates hit four home runs in that 7-0 win over the Cubs. Now, they have the second-fewest round-trippers in MLB (49).

As well as the Pirates, the Indians are a huge disappointment attacking-wise, and they made it to the 2020 MLB Playoffs only because of their terrific pitching staff.

The Indians are scoring just 4.12 runs per game (27th in the MLB) while yielding 3.36 in a return (1st). They posted a .687 OPS (27th) while batting just .227 (23rd), but the Indians’ bullpen owns the sixth-best ERA of 3.65.

Carlos Carrasco will toe the slab for the Indians in this one. The righty is 3-4 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 11 starts this season, and Carrasco has allowed only five earned runs in his previous five starts. He was excellent last Monday, tossing seven shutout innings against the Tigers while punching out 11.

Mitch Keller will get his fifth starting nod for the Pirates in 2020, and the righty is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He pitched six shutout innings against the Cardinals last Sunday, allowing no hits and a pair of walks while striking out six.

Pirates vs. Indians Betting Pick

The Pirates are on a three-game win streak for the second time this season. They haven’t won four in a row in 2020, and I think they won’t do it Friday in Cleveland.

Mitch Keller has been impressive last time out, so I expect to see some regression. The righty has had some serious problems with control over his first four starts in 2020.

On the other side, Carlos Carrasco is an experienced ace, coming off a great performance. He’ll look to build his form for the postseason, so I’m backing the Indians to cover despite all their offensive woes.

Pick
  • Indians -1.5
    -125

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