Mercury vs. Mystics WNBA Prediction – Tuesday, June 14, 2022

| June 14, 2022 8:44 am PDT

The Phoenix Mercury and Washington Mystics will face off for the second time in three days. Phoenix scored a 99-90 overtime victory on Sunday. How will the Mystics bounce back?

Washington has a better record, but Phoenix has been surging. We’re seeing why this team advanced to the 2021 WNBA Finals. My Mercury vs. Mystics pick is much tougher with their recent stretch.

We can’t make a prediction without the odds. Let’s see which team has the upper hand with the Mercury vs. Mystics odds.

Mercury vs. Mystics Odds for June 14th

Sportsbook Phoenix Mercury Washington Mystics Bonus Offered
Bovada (+235) (-285) 50% up to $250
BetOnline (+220) (-260) 60% up to $1,000
BetUS (+230) (-270) 125% up to $2,500
MyBookie (+235) (-290) 100% up to $1,000

The best basketball sportsbooks aren’t buying into the Phoenix Mercury’s recent success. The Washington Mystics open as a big favorite to score the victory. MyBookie is the only site that doesn’t have the spread at 7.5.

Phoenix started the season 2-6 against the spread, but they’ve covered in four of their last five games. That includes a six-point underdog in Sunday’s victory over the Mystics. Washington has moved in the opposite direction, failing to cover in four of their last five games.

The point total for Tuesday’s matchup ranges from 164.5 to 166.

Will the uncertainty affect your Mercury vs. Mystics betting pick? Washington went over their point total once in their first 11 games, but they’ve done so in three of their last four games. Phoenix has favored the over this season.

Elena Delle Donne is dealing with a back injury that forced her to miss Sunday’s game. Thankfully, it sounds like she’ll play in Tuesday’s game. She’ll have a big impact on my Mercury vs. Mystics prediction.

Mercury vs. Mystics Preview

Two weeks ago, I wouldn’t have had an issue picking the Washington Mystics over the Phoenix Mercury. Washington played great basketball while Phoenix was at the bottom of the league. However, we’ve seen a change in the guard.

The Mercury have three straight wins and nearly defeated the Chicago Sky and Connecticut Sun. The Mystics are 4-5 following a 5-1 start, including losses to the Mercury and New York Liberty.

We’ve seen a much-improved Phoenix offense. Skylar Diggins-Smith has impressive scoring numbers in her last four games.

  • Vs. Sun: 22 points
  • Vs. Sparks: 29 points
  • Vs. Dream: 18 points
  • @ Mystics: 27 points

Her 19.2 points per game ranks third in the WNBA. My free Mercury vs. Mystics pick will value her recent stretch. You wonder if the sportsbooks made a mistake with the Mercury vs. Mystics betting odds.

The Mystics were a top contender in the updated 2022 WNBA Finals odds. I’m not ready to write them off, but it’s risky for my Mercury vs. Mystics pick to side with them after this recent stretch.

Elena Delle Donne’s back injury hasn’t helped the Mystics, but Ariel Atkins has struggled in June. She averaged 16.4 points on 46.3 percent shooting in May. Check out her numbers in June.

  • 13.6 points
  • 38.7 field goal percentage
  • 21.7 three-point percentage

Atkins knocked down over 40 percent of her three-pointers in May. If she struggles on offense, my Mercury vs. Mystics pick won’t be in her favor. Can she turn it around for Tuesday’s matchup?

The Mercury vs. Mystics odds isn’t valuing the Mercury’s recent stretch. How will that impact your Mercury vs. Mystics pick tonight? I’ll close with my game pick, but I want to discuss a few game props for Tuesday’s matchup.

Mercury vs. Mystics Game Props

  • First Team to Reach 20 Points: Mercury (+150)
  • Mercury Over 78.5 Points (-115)
  • Mercury vs. Mystics Over 165.0 Points (-110)

My game props for the Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics feature a high-scoring game. Will you back my free Mercury vs. Mystics picks?

It’s not often you see a prop with the first team reaching 20 points offer this much value. The sportsbooks are backing the Mystics, giving them (-200) odds. However, the Mercury have been getting off to fast starts.

Phoenix has won the battle to 20 points in three straight games, including their matchup with Washington. They nearly did it against the Connecticut Sun, winning the first quarter 22-20. An improved offense should help them reach 20 points before the Mystics.

My Mercury vs. Mystics betting pick feels good about Phoenix’s offense. Why not keep it going with them going over their point total. Take a look at their points in the last four games.

  • Vs. Sun: 88 points
  • Vs. Sparks 81 points
  • Vs. Dream: 90 points
  • @ Mystics: 99 points

Washington has a strong defense, but they haven’t played up to expectations lately. They’ve allowed 80+ points in three of their last four games. The Mercury had 85 points against them in regulation.

Well, I’ve backed the Mercury to reach 20 points first and go over their first-half point total. Let’s complete the trifecta with this matchup clearing 165.0 points.

Phoenix’s offense has looked strong over the last four games, but don’t sleep on Washington. They’ve cleared 82 points in three of their last four games. Could we be heading towards an 85-80 game? My Mercury vs. Mystics pick today believes so.

Which side will come out on top? We’ll find out in my expert Mercury vs. Mystics pick.

Mercury vs. Mystics Pick

My Pick: Mercury (+7.5) (+100)Bet on the Mercury at Bovada

It’s surprising to see the sportsbooks have so much support for the Washington Mystics. The Phoenix Mercury have been the better team lately. It’s amazing that I can find plus value for the Mercury covering the spread.

My Mercury vs. Mystics pick is all over Phoenix. I believe the Mystics will win this matchup, but I don’t have enough confidence to pick him. The value for the Mercury is too good to pass up.

Fans can tune in to ESPN at 7 p.m. ET to watch the Mercury vs. Mystics. Check out our basketball picks for WNBA and NBA content.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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