Mercury vs. Wings WNBA Prediction – Saturday, June 25, 2022

| June 25, 2022 10:27 am PDT

The Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings will battle for the third time in 2022. Dallas has had the upper hand, winning both matchups, with their most recent coming on June 17. Will my Mercury vs. Wings pick have them scoring another win?

Dallas has the better record, but Phoenix has shown more consistency lately. That could go a long way towards scoring an upset victory. It’s also crucial for the playoff picture, as each team is on the cutline.

Let’s examine the Mercury vs. Wings odds.

Mercury vs. Wings Odds for June 25th

Sportsbook Phoenix Mercury Dallas Wings Bonus Offered
Bovada (+225) (-275) 50% up to $250
BetOnline (+235) (-280) 60% up to $1,000
BetUS (+230) (-270) 125% up to $2,500
MyBookie (+235) (-290) 100% up to $1,000

The best basketball betting sites have the Dallas Wings as a big home favorite. Bovada and BetUS have the spread at six, while BetOnline and MyBookie give the Wings a 6.5-point advantage. How will that impact your Phoenix Mercury vs. Wings betting pick?

Dallas has been one of the best teams against the spread, holding an 11-6-1 record. They haven’t lost back-to-back games against the spread since May. The Mercury are 5-4-1 against the spread following a 2-6 start.

There is uncertainty with the point total. Bovada has it at 169, BetUS and MyBookie have it at 169.5, and BetOnline has it at 170.

Phoenix and Dallas enter this matchup 11-7 on the O/U. The Mercury vs. Wings betting odds tell us that the over could be the play.

Dallas has been without Satou Sabally as she recovers from a knee injury. They may not have Allisha Gray after she suffered an ankle injury on Thursday. That would leave the Wings without two of their best scorers.

Mercury vs. Wings Preview

The Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings head into Saturday’s matchup looking for momentum. It looked like Phoenix turned the corner after a rough start, but they’ve lost four of their last five games.

Meanwhile, the Wings are 4-7 following a 5-2 start. That stretch includes a five-point victory over the Mercury.

There are plenty of offensive threats on both teams. We’ve seen Tina Charles, Skylar Diggins-Smith, Arike Ogunbowale, and Allisha Gray have big performances over the last few games. Charles recently put herself in the record books.

The 2010 No. 1 overall pick is averaging 17.3 points and 7.3 rebounds. Phoenix will need her to keep it up if they want to make a playoff push.

Speaking of Charles, she had a big performance in the Mercury’s most recent matchup against the Wings. She led Phoenix with 27 points and nine rebounds. My Mercury vs. Wings prediction will factor in her contribution.

The first matchup saw a thrilling battle between Diana Taurasi and Ogunbowale. Take a look at the numbers for each player.

  Diana Taurasi (Mercury) Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)
Points 31 37
Assists 5 5
Rebounds 3 4
Field Goal Shooting 9-20 11-24
Three-Point Shooting 5-15 5-11

Phoenix hasn’t had an answer for Ogunbowale. She followed her 37-point performance with a team-high 24 points in the second matchup between Phoenix and Dallas. The Wings will need that continue with the likely absence of Gray.

My Mercury vs. Wings pick will value those offenses. Gray’s absence won’t help the Wings, but Ogunbowale’s scoring should help the Wings produce big numbers. My free Mercury vs. Wings pick will take a hard look at the point total.

Dallas has had Phoenix’s number, but the Mercury have nearly won both games. Will your Mercury vs. Wings prediction have them scoring the victory?

Mercury vs. Wings Game Props

  • Mercury Over 82.0 Points (-110)
  • First Team to Reach 20 Points: Wings (-180)
  • Highest Scoring Half: Second Half (-121)

My Mercury vs. Wings pick tonight might not align with your prediction. Let’s check out a few game props as we maximize our winnings.

The Phoenix Mercury are outside the playoff picture, but it’s through no fault of their offense. Phoenix has cleared 88 points in five of their last eight games, including their last matchup against the Dallas Wings.

This line seems low for an offense that averages 81.8 points. Dallas has a decent defense, but they haven’t held the Mercury under 82 points in either matchup. My Mercury vs. Wings betting pick doesn’t have much faith in Dallas’ defense.

I wanted to take the value with Phoenix being the first team to 20 points, but the trends are in Dallas’ favor. Not to mention, we should see a quick start from the Wings at home.

  • May 19: 20-15 (Wings)
  • June 17: 22-18 (Wings)

Dallas has won the battle to 20 points in both matchups. This likely won’t affect your Mercury vs. Wings pick today, but it’s another chance to earn a profit. The Mercury vs. Wings odds believe this prop will hit with ease.

Scoring has been a theme in my expert Mercury vs. Wings pick. Let’s close out my game props with which half will yield more points.

In the first matchup, the second half was the clear winner after Phoenix scored 50 points. It was a much closer battle in the second matchup, but a 53-point first half from the Wings gave the first half the upper hand.

I expect a close battle between the Mercury and Wings. Therefore, I believe we’ll see more scoring in the second half as these teams battle down the stretch.

Mercury vs. Wings Pick

My Pick: Mercury (+6.5) (-110)Bet on the Mercury at BetOnline

Does it surprise anyone that I didn’t take the point total? I heavily considered the over, but I have more faith in the Phoenix Mercury covering the spread.

We’ve seen a pair of close matchups between the Mercury and Dallas Wings. It’ll be tough for Dallas to limit Phoenix’s offense. Not to mention, they’ll likely be without one of their best players.

Feel free to tune into NBA TV at 8 p.m. ET to watch the action. The latest 2022 WNBA Finals odds give you another betting opportunity if you’re ready to make a championship prediction.

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Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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