Prediction for Phillies vs. Mets – Sunday, May 29th, 2022

| May 28, 2022 5:18 pm PDT

It’ll be an NL East showdown on Sunday night as the Philadelphia Phillies take on the New York Mets. This will already be the 12th matchup between the teams, with New York winning seven of the first ten.

The Mets jumped out to a 7-0 lead on Friday night. Philadelphia made a rally but came up short in an 8-6 loss. Can they bounce back to take down the top team in the NL East?

Who will win this battle of NL East teams? Let’s check out the odds.

Phillies vs. Mets Odds for May 29th

Sportsbook Philadelphia Phillies New York Mets Bonus Offered Visit Site
Bovada EVEN (-120) 50% up to $250 Visit Bovada
BetOnline (+107) (-117) 60% up to $1,000 Visit BetOnline
MyBookie (+100) (-120) 100% up to $1,000 Visit MyBookie

I fully expected the New York Mets to open as the favorite, but the MLB sportsbooks give the Philadelphia Phillies plenty of respect. Will we see a tight matchup on Sunday night?

Philadelphia is a respectable 23-23 against the spread. That seems good until you realize New York has the fourth-best record at 27-20. Bovada gives the Mets (+160) odds to cover the -1.5 spread.

The run total for Sunday night’s matchup is 7.5. BetOnline is giving a slight advantage to the under.

That’s a low run total for a standard MLB game. It could get dicey considering the Phillies and Mets rank top 10 at going over their run total. That number would be higher if they always had a run total of 7.5.

Both teams continue to deal with pre-existing injuries. Mets outfielder Brandon Nimmo missed Saturday’s game with a wrist injury. He likely won’t go on the IL, but there’s a good chance he misses Sunday’s matchup.

Phillies vs. Mets Preview

It’s almost hard to believe the Philadelphia Phillies enter this matchup four games under .500. Philadelphia has a +11 run differential, which shows they’re better than their record.

We know the New York Mets are as good as their record. Their 30-17 mark is fourth in the majors, giving them an eight-game lead in the NL East. I faded the Mets in my preseason 2022 MLB win totals, but that was a mistake.

Everyone knew the Mets had a top-tier rotation, but could their offense make them a World Series contender? Check out their numbers as we approach 50 games.

  • .261 batting average (1st)
  • .333 on-base percentage (2nd)
  • .732 on-base + slugging percentage (4th)
  • 230 runs (2nd)

We haven’t seen much power from the Mets, but they continue to score runs at a high clip. Lately, we’ve seen Pete Alonso jump into the NL MVP race. He’s hitting .282 with 12 home runs and an MLB leading 45 RBIs.

Philadelphia has an MVP contender of their own in Bryce Harper. Harper leads the Phillies with a .313 batting average, 10 home runs, and 32 RBIs. Do you remember when he was hitting .156 through nine games?

Now that low run total for this matchup may have drawn a few question marks. Well, it likely has to do with the pitching matchup.

  Zack Wheeler (Phillies) Chris Bassitt (Mets)
ERA 3.38 3.91
WHIP 1.15 1.21
Walks 10 16
Strikeouts 51 53

Zack Wheeler and Chris Bassitt have the numbers to be front line starters. Each pitcher has one start against the opposing team in 2022. Both pitchers allowed one hit, but the Mets won both starts.

Both pitchers have elite stuff, but they’ll have a tough time against these offenses. Which side will come out on top?

Phillies vs. Mets Same Game Parlay

  • Pete Alonso to Record an RBI (+140)
  • Zack Wheeler Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-152)
  • Bryce Harper to Record a Run (-105)

There is no shortage of stars in my same game parlay for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets. A $100 wager will earn you a profit of nearly $900.

Pete Alonso has been on a tear in the last two weeks. He’s hitting .385 with four home runs and 17 RBIs in his previous ten games. His surge has moved him to the top of the majors in RBIs.

Alonso has four games with 3+ RBIs in this recent stretch. He has recorded at least one RBI in seven games. He only has one RBI against Zack Wheeler, but a .389 batting average should give you confidence.

Wheeler had an uncharacteristic start to the 2022 season. He allowed 12 runs with 11 strikeouts in his first three games. Check out his strikeouts in his last five starts.

  • Vs. Rockies: 7 strikeouts
  • Vs. Rangers: 7 strikeouts
  • @ Dodgers: 7 strikeouts
  • Vs. Padres: 9 strikeouts
  • @ Braves: 10 strikeouts

His strikeout total has continued to rise in his last five starts. The Mets don’t strike out much, but they’ll have a tough time against Wheeler.

Bryce Harper has been on another level in May. Harper is hitting .381 with seven home runs and 18 RBIs. Lately, we haven’t seen his power numbers on display, but he continues to get on-base. That has led to more runs.

Harper has one run in his last five games. It would’ve been easy to wager on him recording a hit, but scoring a run presents more value. He’ll have a good chance with Nick Castellanos and J.T. Realmuto hitting behind him.

Phillies vs. Mets Pick

  • Over 7.5 Runs

It’ll be interesting to see if these pitchers can overcome a pair of high-powered offenses. They might have a decent day, but I expect the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets to produce a few runs.

New York’s offense is one of the best in the majors, and Philadelphia has a ton of big bats. We also can’t forget about the struggles in the Phillies bullpen. That should be enough to push this game over 7.5 runs.

Fans can watch Sunday night baseball at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Bettors can wager on this matchup using BetOnline.

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Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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