Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution Betting Preview – MLS, November 24, 2020

By Ben Morris in MLS
| November 22, 2020 2:19 am PST

Philadelphia welcomes New England to PPL Park on Tuesday, November 24, following the Revs’ dramatic late victory over Montreal Impact in Friday’s play-in match.

Bruce Arena’s men were made to work for their playoff berth, but they now face a far bigger test. With the newly-crowned Supporters’ Shield champions up next, the Revs will need to be at the top of their game.

After assessing the bookmakers’ odds, I share my Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution prediction and betting pick.

Latest Odds

Philadelphia Union to Win 1.91
The Draw 3.50
New England Revolution to Win 3.75

Philadelphia (1.91) finished 15 points ahead of New England (3.75) in the final Eastern Conference standings, so it is hardly surprising that the sportsbooks view the Supporters’ Shield champion as the favorite to win on Tuesday.

Still, the high odds for the home win suggest that the Revs are likely to put up a decent fight when they visit Philly.

Assessing the Teams

Philadelphia ended the regular season as one of the league’s in-form teams. The Union lost just one of their last eight matches on their way to clinching the Supporters’ Shield, with six victories coming during that period.

Funnily enough, Curtin’s side beat New England on Decision Day. Goals from Sergio Santos and Cory Burke handed Philly a comfortable 2-0 win. Let’s not forget that Philadelphia also crushed Toronto FC 5-0 last month, with Santos netting a hat-trick on that occasion.

Not only were Curtin’s men the highest scorers in the Eastern Conference this year, they also conceded the fewest goals in the division. Nobody can argue that Philly didn’t deserve to finish atop the East.

After being named in the 2020 MLS Best XI, Andre Blake looks set to return from injury on Tuesday. The goalkeeper has been immense for the U throughout the campaign, so his comeback will give the entire team a huge boost.

Having spent much of the campaign in around the top six, New England ended up eighth in the East. Arena’s men finished level with the Red Bulls and Nashville on 32 points, yet they were forced into a play-in clash against Montreal.

Carles Gil gave the Revs the lead against the Impact, before Romell Quioto equalized on the hour mark. With seconds remaining, Gustavo Bou netted a stoppage-time winner to keep his side’s postseason dreams alive.

In fairness, New England completely dominated Montreal. The Greater Boston outfit finished the game with 66% possession and racked up a whopping 25 shots. But the team has struggled to be clinical in attack all season, and that was evident again on Friday.

It goes without saying that the Revs will need to be at their very best to stop in-form Philly.

My Prediction and Betting Pick

Pick
  • Philadelphia Union to Win
    1.91

New England has been a stubborn opponent this term. Arena’s men finished the regular season with one of the best defensive records in the league, yet I’m expecting the Union’s superiority to shine through on Tuesday.

At the end of the day, Philadelphia has performed far better than the Revs this year.

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