Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC – MLS, Sunday, November 28, 2021

| November 25, 2021 2:58 am PDT

Second-place Philadelphia Union and third-place Nashville SC ended the regular season locked on 54 points in the Eastern Conference.

On Sunday, November 28, the two sides go head-to-head at Subaru Park in the Audi 2021 MLS Cup Playoffs, with a place in the conference finals up for grabs.

If you’re planning to wager on Sunday’s clash, I suggest you keep reading. Below, I discuss the odds, analyze the teams, and share my prediction and betting pick for Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC.

Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC Odds

Philadelphia Union to Win1.91
The Draw3.30
Nashville SC to Win4.00
Both Teams to Score1.85

All the top-ranked MLS betting sites favor Philadelphia (1.91) to advance on Sunday. As a result, Nashville (4.00) heads into the conference semifinals as the clear underdog.

That said, the tasty odds for the draw (3.30) stand out at first glance. There is very little between these two sides at the moment, so this clash could easily go the distance.

If you think that both teams will score at Subaru Park, why not take advantage of the generous price of 1.85? After all, these clubs are among the top scorers in the East this year.

In order to make an educated prediction for Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC, we need to analyze both sides in more detail.

Philadelphia Union Team News and Analysis

It’s safe to say that Philadelphia was pushed all the way by the Red Bulls last time out.

The first-round playoff match looked destined to be decided by a penalty shootout after 122 minutes of goalless action. However, Jakob Glesnes had other ideas.

In the dying seconds of extra-time, the Norwegian center-back netted a long-range rocket to break the deadlock and send the Union into the conference semifinals.

Thanks to Glesnes’ last-gasp screamer, Jim Curtin’s men extended their unbeaten streak to five games last weekend. During that period, they have achieved three shutout victories.

When you look at the bigger picture, the 2020 Supporters’ Shield winners have lost just one of their previous 12 matches – picking up seven wins and four draws along the way.

It goes without saying that Philly heads into the conference semifinals on a high.

Although the U has struggled for goals recently, the team’s defensive efforts have been colossal. In fact, only two sides in the East conceded fewer regular-season goals than Philadelphia this year.

Funnily enough, one of those teams is Nashville.

Nashville SC Team News and Analysis

Believe it or not, Gary Smith’s men only managed to win one of their final nine regular-season matches. Remarkably, they registered seven draws in that time – suffering just one defeat.

Nashville came into the playoffs in indifferent form, but the team’s display in Tuesday’s 3-1 victory over Orlando City reminded everyone that the Tennessee team isn’t just here to make up the numbers.

Despite going behind early in the first half, Nashville turned things around in style. You probably won’t be surprised to learn that Hany Mukhtar was at the heart of the action.

The MVP frontrunner bagged a brace against the Lions, taking his tally for the season to 18 goals and ten assists in 32 outings. Can anyone stop this guy right now!?

Alongside Mukhtar, CJ Spong (12 goals, 5 assists) and Randall Leal (8 goals, 7 assists) have been immense throughout the campaign. Nashville now has one of the most feared forward lines in the league.

At the opposite end of the field, no goalkeeper has achieved more shutouts than Joe Willis in 2021. The reliable gloveman has kept 13 clean sheets in 35 appearances, giving him a shutout rate of 37.1%.

The Boys in Gold have played a sweet tune for much of the season. But have they got what it takes to bring the MLS Cup to Music City for the first time ever?

Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC Prediction and Pick

  • Nashville SC to Win
Granted, Philadelphia has the home-field advantage on Sunday. But that doesn’t explain why the price for the Nashville win is all the way up at 4.00.

Let’s not forget that Smith’s men have recorded the fewest number of losses across the entire league this year, suffering just four defeats in 35 matches. By contrast, the Union has recorded eight losses.

The teams have already faced each other on two occasions this season. Nashville beat Philly 1-0 on home soil back in July before the U won the reverse fixture by exactly the same scoreline last month.

I predicted that Orlando would hold Nashville to a draw last weekend, but the Boys in Gold ended up claiming a comprehensive victory. With that in mind, I’m backing Nashville to win on Sunday.

Given that barely anything separates these two sides at the moment, backing Nashville at 4.00 feels like a smart move.

If you enjoyed this piece, make sure you check out my predictions and picks for the other conference semifinals going down in the coming days.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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