Philadelphia Union vs. Montreal Impact – MLS, October 11

| October 9, 2020 3:45 am PDT

A Kacper Przybylko double helped Philadelphia thrash Montreal 4-1 last month, and the two sides go head-to-head again on Sunday, October 11.

The Union is sitting second in the Eastern Conference having lost just one of their previous seven games. The Impact ended a five-game winless run by handing Columbus Crew their first home defeat of the season on Wednesday, climbing to eighth in the process.

I discuss the bookies’ odds before giving my Philadelphia Union vs. Montreal Impact prediction and betting pick.

Philadelphia Union vs. Montreal Impact Odds

Philadelphia Union to Win1.50
The Draw4.25
Montreal Impact to Win5.90

Despite Montreal’s impressive victory over Columbus last time out, 10bet isn’t giving the away side much of a chance in this fixture. The Impact heads into this game as the clear outsider, and I totally agree with the bookies’ odds.

The price for the home win is low, but when you consider that Philadelphia holds an 11-point lead over Montreal, it’s easy to see why the U is the outright favorite.

Let’s take a closer look at the two sides.

Philadelphia Union vs. Montreal Impact Preview

Jim Curtin’s men suffered their first defeat in six games last weekend as conference-leader Toronto FC came from behind to beat them 2-1. However, Philly quickly returned to winning way with a routine 3-0 victory over FC Cincinnati on Wednesday.

Brazilian midfielder Ilsinho netted his second goal in three games in the win against Cincinnati, with Alejandro Bedoya and Jack Elliot also getting on the scoresheet. The Union has now scored over 2.5 goals in each of their previous three wins and has also kept three clean sheets in their last four outings.

Curtin’s men are the joint-top scorers in the Eastern Conference, while only Columbus has conceded fewer goals in the division. With three defeats from 16 regular-season games this term, Philadelphia is firmly in contention for the Supporters’ Shield.

On the flip side, Montreal has lost eight of their 16 games this season, so it’s hardly surprising that Thierry Henry’s men find themselves down in eighth place. Granted, the Impact is only two points shy of the play-off spots. But the Quebec club must improve in order to secure a top-six finish.

Scoring goals hasn’t been a problem for the Canadians in 2020. In fact, only the current top four teams have scored more. But having conceded 30 goals already this year, Montreal has the poorest defensive record in the East.

Worryingly for Henry, his side has conceded over 1.5 goals in seven of their previous eight outings. The Impact’s last clean sheet came all the way back at the beginning of September, but the team has failed to keep a shutout since then.

Philadelphia Union vs. Montreal Impact Betting Pick

Pick
  • Philadelphia Union to Win
    1.50

Montreal will be brimming with confidence after ending Columbus’ unbeaten home record. More importantly, the Impact ended their own five-game winless run on Wednesday, but I can’t see the Canadian outfit winning back-to-back games.

Philadelphia has won five of their last seven games, and let’s not forget that Curtin’s men crushed the Impact 4-1 less than a month ago. At the end of the day, Philly is far stronger than Montreal, so I’m backing the home side to claim all three points on Sunday.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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