New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Thursday Night Football Prediction and Pick (Week 11)

The New England Patriots are catching fire in the AFC thanks to controlling the line of scrimmage and playing outstanding football.
Bill Belichick is the most accomplished coach, and many wondered if his franchise would get back into contention this season. Well, there may not be another team that has more momentum than New England.
Their defense has played outstanding, and the Falcons are coming in without any momentum. Dallas demolished Atlanta, and now they are searching for answers.
This nationally televised clash between the Patriots and the Falcons starts the Week 11 statement. Here are your latest odds at SportsBetting.ag.
Patriots vs. Falcons Odds
These two squared off at Super Bowl 51. The post-Tom Brady era has been a challenging start for New England, but they have now covered in four straight games.
The Patriots have had their struggles in their past ten games as the road favorite. They have gone 4-6 against the spread, but that is similar to Atlanta.
The Falcons have been losing a bunch as the home underdog. ATL has lost six of their past seven games outright with a 3-4 against the spread.
For those that enjoy gambling, check out our complete guide to understanding prop bets. It is time to dissect the latest keys to victory for TNF between the Patriots and Falcons.
Why the Patriots Will Win
Quarterback Matt Ryan is a polished veteran, and he has had an impressive career thus far. Mac Jones is up there as one of the top rookies in 2021. Jones has orchestrated an exceptional offense in the past four games.
The ability to run downhill with a bevy of different backs has been vital for their success. New England has a few studs that have been able to dominate. Rhamondre Stevenson toted the rock 20 times for 100 yards with two touchdowns.
- Week 7: 551 yards against Jets (54-13 win)
- Week 8: 352 yards against Chargers (27-24 win)
- Week 9: 273 yards against Panthers (24-6 win)
- Week 10: 452 yards against Browns (45-7 win)
The ability to run downhill with a bevy of different backs have been vital for their success. New England has a few studs that have been able to dominate. Rhamondre Stevenson toted the rock 20 times for 100 yards with two touchdowns.
Brandon Bolden dominated when he had the limited touches as well. Kendrick Bourne even made plays running the ball and made plays down the field, hauling in a few passes.
New England is a solid road favorite, but deservedly so. There may not be a better team playing in the conference these days. The ability to get off the field on defense has allowed their offense to have a great field position. The squad has made the most of their opportunities. They will likely grind the game out on the ground against a defense that has struggled against adversity.
Why the Falcons Will Win
Matt Ryan carved up the Patriots in Super Bowl 51. He is capable of doing the same in clutch situations. On paper and with momentum, it could get ugly.
However, Kyle Pitts is one of the more unique tight ends in the NFL. As a rookie, he has been off the charts and will be the top target for Ryan in the Falcons passing attack. In the four wins by Atlanta, their star passer played his best games in terms of yards and touchdowns.
- In Losses: Seven total touchdowns, 202 yards per game, 64.3% completion
- In Wins: Nine total touchdowns, 316 yards per game, 71.5% completing
Atlanta goes as their signal-caller performs. When he is under duress and behind the sticks, the team becomes predictable and easy to defend. Even without Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Cordarrelle Patterson, they are an NFL offense capable of exposing solid defenses.
Atlanta may need to come away with a few turnovers, but a rookie quarterback could cough it up a few times on the road. We have seen upsets with much higher point spreads, so this could be the upset of the week.
If you are unsure where to place a wager, check out our site on the top NFL betting sites.
Patriots vs. Falcons Prediction
The Falcons are going to need to play one of their best defensive performances of the season. New England is the better-coached squad that rarely makes crucial mistakes.
The season has been wacky, but they are far too dominant on the defensive end to let this one go by the wayside. New England may not make it look pretty, but they will find a way to get the job done on TNF by staying balanced on offense.
Patriots vs. Falcons Pick
-
Patriots to Win-265
New England is laying nearly a touchdown, and their ability to win the battle of the trenches has made them an AFC contender. New England is the better team on both sides of the ball, and they will be leading most of this game.
Atlanta should put up a better performance against New England than they did against Dallas. However, it won’t be enough, and the Patriots will come out victorious with their fifth straight win. Take the moneyline and avoid getting burned with the points.
- Predictions and Picks for the 2022 PGA ChampionshipThe PGA Tour will embark on its second major of the season this week. Southern Hills Country...
- Picks and Predictions for the Liga MX Clausura Semifinals (First Legs) – May 18-19, 2022The first legs of the 2022 Liga MX Clausura semifinals take place this week. Atlas and Tigres...
- Major League Soccer Predictions and Picks – Wednesday, May 18 (2022)Are you ready for some midweek Major League Soccer action? We have no fewer than ten MLS...
- Adelaide United vs. Melbourne City Prediction (A-League) – Wednesday, May 18, 2022On Wednesday, May 18, Adelaide United welcomes Melbourne City to Hindmarsh Stadium for the first leg of...
- Picks and Predictions for MLB Games – May 17th, 2022There is plenty of MLB action on Tuesday, May 17, but the sportsbooks aren’t giving us many...
- Picks and Predictions for KBO Games – Tuesday, May 17th, 2022Our KBO picks are back for this week. Tuesday’s odds are live, which means it’s time to...
- Celtics vs. Heat NBA Prediction – Tuesday, May 17, 2022We’ve reached the Conference Finals in the 2022 NBA playoffs. There isn’t much of a surprise in...
- Adelaide United vs. Central Coast Mariners Prediction – A-League (May 15, 2022)On Sunday, May 15, Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners go head-to-head at Hindmarsh Stadium in the...