Patriots vs. Falcons Thursday Night Football DFS Picks – Week 11, 2021

| November 17, 2021 8:30 am PDT

It’s crazy how quickly Thursday Night Football sneaks up on you. Week 10 was just here, and now we’re onto week 11 with the Patriots facing off with the Falcons in Atlanta.

Atlanta is potentially missing most of their offensive star power, so Matt Ryan and co. could have their work cut out for them against a good New England defense.

BetOnline has the Pats coming in as nearly 8-point road favorites, so it will be interesting to see how this plays out. You can bet on the game in a lot of different ways, or you can try to make money in NFL DFS.

To help you do that, join me for my breakdown of the top Thursday Night Football DFS picks for week 11.

Best TNF Captain Picks for Week 11

  • Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons ($16.2k)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson, RB, Falcons ($15.3k)
  • Kyle Pitts, TE, Falcons ($14.4k)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots ($12.9k)

This is such a weird Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown slate. New England would love to run the ball down Atlanta’s throats, and the Falcons are coming off a game where they scored three points.

Bill Belichick defenses are never fun to face in fantasy football, either, while injuries could impact this contest greatly.

The big one is C-Patt. If he’s in, he probably needs to be in your Thursday Night Football DFS lineups. It is worth noting he did get in a limited session on Tuesday, however.

Patterson being active would be enough for me. He failed last week, but had topped 14+ fantasy points in seven consecutive games. Belichick defenses usually take away the opponent’s top weapon, but his role is too good to ignore.

Matt Ryan was positively dreadful last week (2.68 fantasy points!!). I don’t actually want him here, but he may end up throwing a lot as the Falcons trail. Based on sheer volume, he could get there and be worth rostering.

Pitts is in a similar spot. New England is #2 against tight ends, but his role and the game script still keeps him in play.

Another huge name to consider is Stevenson. He was undeniably one of the top fantasy football waiver wire adds after busting out in week 10.

The real question, as is the case with all Patriots running backs since the beginning of time, is if you can trust him.

It’s possible the hype train gets derailed with the healthy return of Damien Harris, of course. I would still prioritize Stevenson here, but if he’s going to be chalky, taking a shot on another Pats rusher vulturing scores might be a better idea for tournaments.

Week 11 TNF Fantasy Sleepers

  • Nick Folk, K, Patriots ($6.6k)
  • Younghoe Koo, K, Falcons ($6k)
  • Tajae Sharpe, WR, Falcons ($5.4k)
  • J.J. Taylor, RB, Patriots ($1.5k)

I feel like I say this ahead of every NFL DFS Showdown slate, but this is a terrible game for NFL DFS sleepers.

The value is terrible, so at first glance, I may opt to go balanced with my lineup construction. The best NFL betting sites set the game total at a relatively healthy 47.5 here, but that honestly feels high.

Rather, I wouldn’t be shocked to see both kickers be fairly busy here. Folk is the more reliable option, as he’s registered 8+ fantasy points in seven different games so far.

He’s quietly been amazing in 2021.

Koo has fewer opportunities and has a tougher matchup, but he’s still in play due to the lack of options to save cash with.

Sharpe is listed here based on his role. In theory, he is a starter, and if the Falcons are forced to take it to the air a lot, he could be involved.

Taylor is a big reach, but he’s the last punt I’d consider. Damien Harris would need to be out for me to go here, but it’s worth noting that he’s seen 6+ carries in two straight games. He even vultured two scores two weeks ago.

My Favorite Thursday Night Football DFS Lineup

  • CAPTAIN: Tajae Sharpe, WR, Falcons ($5.4k)
  • FLEX: Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons ($10.8k)
  • FLEX: Cordarelle Patterson, RB, Falcons ($10.2k)
  • FLEX: Kyle Pitts, TE, Falcons ($9.6k)
  • FLEX: Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots ($8.6k)
  • FLEX: Brandon Bolden, RB, Patriots ($4.8k)

I’m pairing two Patriots running backs that aren’t Damien Harris, so cue the 4-score game from Harris. In all seriousness, my stance is pretty simple; the Pats build a lead, and Atlanta throws all day.

Rostering Sharpe gives me indigestion, but he saw 57% of the snaps in week 10. Calvin Ridley is still out, and New England will try to take C-Patt and Pitts out of this game.

If Sharpe can pan out, he helps me afford Patterson, Pitts, Ryan and Stevenson. They’re the top studs in this game, so it makes sense to try to get to them.

New England should control this game on the ground, so Stevenson is a logical play. Not as many people will play Bolden, so he’s a contrarian option that may see pass-catching work, and could steal a touchdown, as well.

Sharpe as my Captain already makes this roster very different, and I get four of the best plays going into Thursday Night Football. It’s a solid team, but you’ll want to keep tabs on any news.

While this squad could have a shot at making you money on Thursday Night Football, it’s far from the only way to profit from the NFL in the first game of week 11.

For more options, check out the betting pick and player props below.

Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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