New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick and Prediction for December 18, 2021

| December 15, 2021 8:55 am PDT

In Week 15, we’ll see a battle between two AFC playoff hopefuls. The New England Patriots will look to strengthen their hold on the No. 1 seed, while the Indianapolis Colts will aim to hold onto their wild-card spot.

Late in the season, the NFL experiments with Saturday games. Make sure you note this game will take place Saturday at 8:15 p.m. ET on NFL Network.

Let’s check out the odds via

Patriots vs. Colts Odds

New England Patriots (+2.5)-113
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)-107
New England Patriots to Win+120
Indianapolis Colts to Win-140
Over 45.5-107
Under 45.5-113

It’s a bit surprising to see the New England Patriots come in as the underdog. They are on a seven-game win streak and look like one of the best teams in football.

New England covered in two of their first six games. They’ve covered in every game of their win streak, including twice with the spread over seven points.

The Indianapolis Colts come into this matchup as winners of six of their last eight games.

There isn’t much clarity on the betting trends, as they’ve alternated covering in their last six games. Their matchups have hit the over in five of their last seven games.

Both teams come into this matchup reasonably healthy, but COVID has taken its toll on the NFL. There’s a chance at least one impact player falls on the reserve/COVID list before Saturday.

Let’s discuss each teams’ chances for Saturday night.

New England Patriots Preview

Following a 2-4 start, things weren’t looking good for the New England Patriots. Then, the wins began to pile up.

They went into Los Angeles and beat the Chargers, destroyed the Cleveland Browns, and dominated the Tennessee Titans.

New England’s most impressive victory of the season came in Week 13 against the Buffalo Bills. With the wind howling, Bill Belichick went for a run-heavy approach. When I say run-heavy, I mean 46 rushes and three passes.

An absolutely brilliant game plan that only someone like Belichick could execute.

In the seven-game win streak, New England has dominated with their elite defense.

  • Points Per Game: 10.4
  • Yards Per Game: 267.9

Over an entire season, those marks would lead the NFL by a wide margin. Overall, the Patriots have allowed the fewest points per game and third-fewest yards per game.

On offense, the Patriots have done a great job taking the pressure off rookie quarterback Mac Jones.

They have cleared 100 rushing yards in all seven games of their win streak. Damien Harris alone has hit the century mark three times in that stretch.

Jones doesn’t need to do a lot, but he isn’t afraid to air it out. Among quarterbacks that have started all 13 games, Jones leads the league with a 70.3 completion percentage. His strong rookie season has him on his way to superstar status.

New England’s defense is among the league leaders in interceptions and turnovers, but the Indianapolis Colts defense leads the league with 14 fumble recoveries and 29 turnovers. The Patriots need to avoid that if they want to continue their win streak.

The Patriots pass defense is one of the best, but their run defense ranks mid-pack. That could be an issue with Jonathan Taylor.

Speaking of Taylor, let’s talk about him and the Colts.

Indianapolis Colts Preview

The Indianapolis Colts have quietly been one of the better teams over the last two months. They had a brutal loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 5, but the Colts have won six of their previous eight games since then.

It’s fair to question how much those wins mean. After all, four of the six victories came against the Houston Texans (2X), New York Jets, and Jacksonville Jaguars.

On the other hand, the Colts had a massive 41-15 victory over the Buffalo Bills. They also had narrow losses against the Tennessee Titans and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

I know I teased it before, so let’s talk about Jonathan Taylor.

Early in the season, everyone wanted to know why the Colts wouldn’t give him a full workload. He had three 100-yard games, but he didn’t have over 18 carries in any of those games.

Check out what Taylor has done in his last five games.

  • Week 9: 19 carries for 172 yards
  • Week 10: 21 carries for 116 yards
  • Week 11: 32 carries for 185 yards
  • Week 12: 16 carries for 83 yards
  • Week 13: 32 carries for 143 yards

Once Derrick Henry went down, someone had to take over as the best running back in 2021. Taylor has done that in a big way. There’s an outside chance he becomes the first running back since 2012 to win MVP.

The top NFL betting sites have him among the favorites for Offensive Player of the Year.

As great as the Patriots defense has been this season, they’ve allowed 114.5 rushing yards per game. That ranks just inside the top 20.

Indianapolis should keep it close enough to stick with their run-heavy game plan.

Now, it’s time to see which team I’m going with for Saturday night’s matchup.

Patriots vs. Colts Pick 

  • New England Patriots to Win

I can’t bring myself to bet against the New England Patriots. They are playing great on both sides of the ball, and it’s going to take a great team to knock them off.

The Indianapolis Colts are a playoff-caliber team, but they aren’t on the Patriots level. You would think the Colts have the advantage of being the home team, but the Patriots haven’t lost a road game this season. Meanwhile, the Colts are 3-4 at home.

I’m also leaning towards the under, but I’m not as confident with that selection. A 24-21 game would put us right at 45 points.

Feel free to head over to our NFL picks page for more picks and advice.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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