Ovince Saint Preux vs. Jamahal Hill Betting Preview (UFC Fight Night – December 5, 2020)

| December 1, 2020 7:38 am PDT

He might not like it, but former UFC light heavyweight title challenger Ovince Saint Preux enters his fight this Saturday as an underdog.

That’s right, OSP will be an underdog to Jamahal Hill, despite Hill taking a record of just 8-0 into the fight. The 2019 Contender Series graduate is aiming to take the biggest scalp of his career but faces a very stiff test against the wily veteran.

If you’re looking to make money betting on Saint Preux vs. Hill, I’ll be breaking down the odds and best bets for the fight. I’ll also be providing you with a little food for thought when it comes to making your choice in this bout, so make sure to stick around for that.

Of course, I’ve already made my prediction for Saint Preux vs. Hill. So let’s get the ball rolling there.

Saint Preux vs. Hill – Who Wins?

  • Ovince Saint Preux by Submission

Saint Preux has been around these parts long enough to have challenged his fair share of upstarts.

Guys like Tyson Pedro, Michal Oleksiejczuk, and Alonzo Menifield have all come in against OSP with fairly big reputations. Only to lose by stoppage against the crafty 37-year-old.

Yes, Saint Preux has also been beaten by fighters who have subsequently gone on to put together streaks and fight for titles. But is Jamahal Hill comparable to Dominick Reyes, or even Cory Anderson? I don’t think so.

I’ll get into my reasons for picking Saint Preux after I cover the latest odds and the best bets for the UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori co-main event.

Saint Preux vs. Hill Odds

Ovince Saint Preux to Win +135
Jamahal Hill to Win -165

The odds for Saint Preux vs. Hill make for interesting reading.

Bovada has Saint Preux as a +135 underdog heading into this fight. Not a major dog, sure, but these odds are still eye-catching to me.

OSP comes into the fight with a record of 25-14. It’s clear that his best days are behind him, but we haven’t seen him fade that badly. I mean, he is 3-3 from his last six, with finishes in all of his wins. He is still capable of getting the job done, and his experience could really pay off in this fight.

As for Hill? Well, he has looked good since hooking up with the promotion in January. He is 2-0 in the UFC light heavyweight division with wins over Darko Stosic and Klidson Abreu.

But Stosic has lost his last three fights while Abreu is 1-4 from his last five. He is making a big step up here against a talented fighter with a track record of beating up and coming dudes. 

Ergo, Hill’s odds to beat Saint Preux (-165) don’t do it for me. I don’t think he should be favored in this matchup at all, meaning that there is value in Saint Preux’s odds. 

Let’s see if there is even better value in some of the other bets for this fight.

Best Bets for Saint Preux vs. Hill

  • Saint Preux to Win (+135)
  • Saint Preux by KO/TKO/DQ/Submission (+200)
  • Fight to End Under 1.5 Rounds (+120)

The first to bet to consider is Saint Preux to Win (+135).

I really like Saint Preux’s chances in this fight. Given his experience in dealing with fighters on a similar level to Hill’s in the past, I think finding the juiciest odds on our best MMA sportsbooks for this bet is a good move.

The veteran has a few nasty tricks up his sleeve, too, and could easily walk the unbeaten fighter into a trap that he won’t get out of.

On that line of thinking, Saint Preux by KO/TKO/DQ/Submission (+200) could be an even better bet.

Bear in mind that the 37-year-old has not won by decision since beating Rafael Cavalcante all the way back in February 2016. He’s had 13 fights since then, too.

Before Calvacante, OSP’s previous decision win came in April 2013 against Gian Villante.

I also like the Fight to End Under 1.5 Rounds (+120) market.

Why? Well, if OSP wins, it’s highly unlikely to be on the cards. I think he can get the job done before the halfway point of the fight. 

If he can’t work his magic, Hill will more than likely clip him before then. But I don’t see “Sweet Dreams” working him to a decision. 

So, with all the above considered, here’s what I’m thinking about this fight.

Why Saint Preux Beats Hill

Whether it’s in boxing, Muay Thai, or MMA, fight fans love to indulge in making prophecies about breakthrough fighters.

Guys like Hill, who take unbeaten records into the cage get hyped up. The more their record swells, the tighter the legroom gets on the hype train. And while Hill is certainly capable of going far, the fact that he is already talking about a future fight with Jon Jones is just… silly.

The fact of the matter here is that Sweet Dreams is unproven. He hasn’t beaten anyone of note yet to be talking that way. Confidence is a major tool in a fighter’s arsenal, but it can go off like a gun in that same fighter’s pocket if not put on safety. 

Saint Preux has seen it all in this game. He has 39 fights under his belt across a pro career entering his 13th year.

In that timeframe, he has been knocked out on just two occasions. That’s despite being in there with the likes of Jon Jones, Gegard Mousasi, Glover Teixeira, and Dominick Reyes. I don’t see Hill getting to him in this fight.

Hill is stepping up a level in this fight and we will have a better idea of his capabilities on Saturday night. I can already see some flaws in his game and believe these will be further exposed by OSP.

My prediction for this fight is Ovince Saint Preux to win by submission early in the 2nd round.

More Fights to Wager on This Weekend

I hope you know have a clearer picture of what to expect in this UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori co-main event.

I’m sticking with a submission win for Saint Preux. How do you see it going? Whether you agree with me or not, you can let me know in the comments section located at the bottom of this page.

As you may or may not be aware, some awesome fights are coming up this weekend. You can find odds, bets, and predictions for these bouts on our picks section, so make sure to check them out.

That’s me done for now. But before I go, I’ll leave you a little taste of our top content for this weekend’s MMA and boxing bouts. Consider it as a teaser of what’s to come!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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