Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears – College Basketball, Thursday, March 10, 2022

| March 9, 2022 11:47 am PDT

March is here, and Champ Week is underway as teams aim to clinch their spot in March Madness. The Big 12 Tournament features four ranked teams, with the Baylor Bears among the best teams. In the Quarterfinals, they’ll face the Oklahoma Sooners.

This will be their third matchup of the season, with Baylor picking up double-digit victories in January. They are No. 3 in the country, while Oklahoma has to win the Big 12 Tournament to make March Madness.

A big victory over Baylor could kickstart a surprising run. Here are the odds for Thursday’s Big 12 matchup.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor Odds for March 10th 

Oklahoma Sooners (+8.5)-110
Baylor Bears (-8.5)-110
Over 134.5-110
Under 134.5-110

The Baylor Bears open as a (-8.5) point favorite at BetOnline. The Oklahoma Sooners will look to continue a strong late-season stretch to win the Big 12 Tournament.

Oklahoma covered in their last two games, ending a streak of four straight games without covering the point spread. They’ve been very streaky with the point total, but overall, they’re 17-14.

From a betting perspective, Baylor didn’t have a great end to the season. They only covered twice in their last six games. They’ve hung around .500 on the point total.

The Sooners received tough news last month when Elijah Harkless suffered a season-ending injury. The Senior guard averaged 10.0 points on 42.3 percent field goal shooting.

Baylor is dealing with injuries of their own, as LJ Cryer has only played one game since January 25. Cryer’s 13.5 points per game is second on the team. Baylor hopes to have him back for March Madness.

Let’s check out my breakdown of Oklahoma and Baylor.

Oklahoma Sooners Preview 

The Oklahoma Sooners didn’t have high expectations for the 2021-22 season, but they looked strong after an 11-2 start. Unfortunately, that was the extent of their success. They followed that up by going 3-12, falling to the bottom of the Big 12.

Oklahoma closed the regular season on a three-game win streak, so that should give them confidence for the Big 12 Tournament. Still, they open as a (+4000) longshot to win the Big 12 Tournament.

When you look at Oklahoma’s roster, you wonder who will step up. They have three players capable of scoring at a high clip, but they struggle with consistency. Check out their top three scorers.

  • Tanner Groves: 12.4 points per game
  • Umoja Gibson: 12.3 points per game
  • Jordan Goldwire: 10.4 points per game

These players can pop off on any given night, but we see way too many down performances. Tanner Groves and Umoja Gibson each have three games with less than 10 points in their last six games. That won’t work against the Baylor Bears.

That’s been the issue in Oklahoma’s matchup with Baylor. Check out their leading scorer in both matchups.

  • @ Baylor: Tanner Groves (13 points)
  • vs. Baylor: Umoja Gibson (13 points)

It doesn’t matter if their stars consistently score 10-15 points. At least one player needs to go off with 20+ points. And we know each player is capable of hitting that threshold.

Since the beginning of February, Oklahoma’s big three has combined for five games with 20+ points. Their biggest victory of the season came against No. 9 Texas Tech. In that game, Gibson put up 30 points.

Oklahoma will need their three stars to show up to upset Baylor. Without them, their Big 12 Tournament will be over.

Baylor Bears Preview

The 2021 National Champions didn’t enter the season as a preseason championship contender, but the Baylor Bears quickly emerged as a top team. They opened the season 15-0, holding the No. 1 spot in the AP Poll.

Baylor survived a rough midseason stretch that saw them go 6-5 to finish the regular season 26-5. They failed to win the Big 12 regular-season title but enter the Big 12 Tournament No. 3 in the AP Poll.

Despite losing Jared Butler and Davion Mitchell, Baylor has done a great job staying in National Championship contention. Anything can happen in the Big 12 Tournament, but as of now, they are a No. 1 seed in my 2022 selection Sunday predictions.

Baylor is missing LJ Cryer, but Adam Flagler and James Akinjo have done a great job picking up his production. Both players had a great performance in their first matchup with the Oklahoma Sooners.

  James Akinjo Adam Flagler
Points 27 22
Assists 5 3
Rebounds 4 2
Field Goal Shooting 10/15 8/14
Three-Point Shooting 3/5 2/4

Both players played up to their potential. That’s what we’ve seen all season from Baylor’s star players. They offer much more depth with Kendall Brown and Matthew Mayer.

In the second matchup, Baylor’s offense wasn’t on full display. Flagler was their leading scorer with 16 points, but their defense showed up. Baylor held Oklahoma to 51 points. Their defense has been great all season, but that was one of their best performances.

Baylor has struggled on the road lately, but this will be a neutral site game. The last time they lost a non-road game was January 15 against Oklahoma State. They closed the season on a five-game win streak, with victories over Kansas and Iowa State.

Can Baylor continue their success in the Big 12 Tournament? Here is my game pick.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor Pick

Pick
  • Under 134.5
    -110

I like the Baylor Bears to win this matchup, but conference tournaments always bring closer matchups. That’s why I’m a little wary of picking Baylor at (-8.5). Instead, I feel comfortable taking the under.

The Oklahoma Sooners offense has struggled against Baylor this season. They have three great players, but if they score in the 10-15 range, they’ll struggle to hit 60 points. A 72-62 victory for Baylor would hit the under.

This matchup will be Thursday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. If you’d like to place a wager, head over to the top college basketball betting sites.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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