Safest Bets to Place for the NFL Wild Card Round (2022)
The NFL playoffs are finally here and we have an exciting betting slate ahead of us. We have great matchups in every single game and most of these games should be very close. That could make it difficult to hit on some bets.
To combat that, I have some great picks that should have a high chance of hitting this week. They are all point total bets, but if you are interested in some game picks, check out our NFL picks page.
Let’s take a look at 4 of the safest bets to place for the 2022 NFL Wild Card Round.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Over 49.5 (-110)
We have the third matchup between the Cardinals and the Rams this season. They played each other twice this season, splitting the season series. This will be the ultimate tie breaker for this division rivalry, as both teams are desperate to prove themselves as Super Bowl contenders.
In their Week 4 game, Arizona was the one to win that one and outscored the Rams 37-20. The point total for that game was 57 total points. In their next game, the Rams were able to outscore the Cardinals to a score of 30-23, totaling 53 points.
Arizona has scored the 11th most points per game in the NFL this season at 26.4 points per game. That is impressive when you take into consideration their star quarterback missing 3 full weeks of the season.
The Rams on the other hand have an even higher flying offense with 27.1 points per game, which ranked tied for 7th best in the NFL this season. Matthew Stafford has been a great addition to their lineup this season and makes them a dangerous offense altogether.
Looking at their average stats, these teams would hit the over with basically an average game. Their average point totals per game would sit at a nice 53 combined points, which would hit the over for this game.
Now it isn’t exactly that simple, but it still should be very possible for them to hit the over here. This game has potential shootout written all over it and would be a great way to finish their head to head records for this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Over 46 (-110)
The Chiefs and Steelers will be facing off in Kansas City for their first matchup of the season. This game has the highest chance to be a blowout with the largest spread (Chiefs -12.5) of any game this week. Even if it was a blowout, garbage time touchdowns would do wonders for the over here.
In their first game of the season, the Chiefs demolished the Steelers 36-10. As you can see from that score and the point total, it is the exact same set for this game. I think it is a realistic expectation for these two teams to score higher than 46 points this time around.
Pittsburgh was only able to put up 10 points on the Chiefs in their Week 16 matchup. They have also hit the under in 10 out of their 17 games this season (58%), but I think they have a better game in the playoffs.
Now that Kelce is back for Kansas City, theoretically they should be able to have an even bigger day. Pittsburgh’s defense can be a bit tough, but they are very inconsistent as well. Patrick Mahomes can lead the Chiefs to another 30+ point day.
With the Cheifs realistically being able to score 30+ points, that means the Steelers would have to score around 17 points to cover the spread. In what has a very high chance of being Big Ben’s last game in the NFL, I think Pittsburgh will be taking some shots in this one.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals Under 48.5 (-110)
No, I am not taking all of the overs this week just because it is the playoffs. I actually am a big fan of the under for the Raiders and Bengals game. These teams have also faced each other earlier this season, scoring 45 combined points (32-13 Bengals win).
That would have hit the over set for this game, but I actually think they will have an even worse game this time around. In their first game of the season, it was actually a really low scoring game late in the game.
The game was just 13-6 entering the fourth quarter. The Raiders added a touchdown (Foster Moreau reception), while the Bengals added two touchdowns (Ja’Marr Chase reception, Joe Mixon run) and a field goal.
Joe Burrow only had 148 passing yards in that game, so the Raiders did very well in that area. They did allow 123 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns to Joe Mixon, but Mixon only averaged just over 4 yards per carry.
The Bengals also clearly had success against the Raiders’ offense. Derek Carr passed for just 215 yards and turned the ball over twice (one interception, one fumble). They also shut down their rushing attack to just 72 yards (18 carries, 4 yards per carry).
With how well the two defenses played in their first game, the under should have a strong chance to hit for a second time this season.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 45.5 (-110)
Yet another matchup repeat this season is the Eagles vs. the Buccaneers. These two teams played each other in Week 6, totaling 50 combined points (28-22 Bucs win). The point total is set a bit lower than that in their second matchup this season.
The reigning champs could very well repeat this season, as they still have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. Brady knows how to orchestrate this high flying offense and they should be able to score 27+ points in this game.
Philadelphia has had an interesting season, but they managed to finish as the 12th highest scoring team in the NFL (26.1 points per game). The Bucs have a strong run defense and the Eagles love to run, but the Eagles don’t have a traditional rush attack.
"Jalen Hurts and his legs can really open this thing up and give them an opportunity to win this game."— Good Morning Football (@gmfb) January 13, 2022
@MJD sees a chance for the @Eagles to get a 'W' with their run game but @PSchrags isn't necessarily on the same page. pic.twitter.com/pUrZtHyH53
Jalen Hurts finished the season with the most rushing yards from the quarterback position. Lamar Jackson probably would have beat him out if he didn’t have injury problems, but that still shouldn’t take away from Hurts’ success on the ground.
Hurts ran for 784 yards and 10 touchdowns. He finished tied for 6th most rushing touchdowns with top tier running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Derrick Henry. Henry would have beat him out, but injuries yet again.
Just because Tampa Bay has a strong rush defense doesn’t mean the Eagles won’t be able to run the ball. I like them to score around 20-24 points in this game.
Safest NFL Bets for the Wild Card Round
These 4 bets should have great chances to hit for the first round of the NFL playoffs. If you want to place your bets along with me, head over to the best NFL betting sites to do so.
It is always important to have a couple of safe bets every week. You never want to just place random bets with crazy odds because those are extremely risky. These 4 bets give you a solid foundation for your betting sheet this week.
Head over to our NFL picks page for more recommended bets.