NFL Underdogs Worth Betting on in Week 2, 2020

Last week was a good run for our NFL upset picks. The Bears, Packers, and Cardinals all won, returning amazing betting value.
My lone gaffe was Cleveland, who didn’t even show up in a blowout loss to the Ravens. Three out of four will do, of course, and if you went with my NFL underdog picks, you’re very much in the green.
I’ve got more NFL upset picks for week two for you to consider. If you like them, feel free to target them at the best pro football betting sites.
With that, let’s dive into this week’s top underdog plays.
Minnesota Vikings (+135)
A week after going against the Vikes, I’m all for betting on them to beat the Colts. Yes, they’re on the road and their defense was awful in week one, but there’s still a lot to like.
For one, their offense is still quite potent. It took them some time to warm up, but the Vikings still hung 34 points on the Packers, and they displayed an ability to win at every level.
Minnesota’s defense was bad, but they face Philip Rivers, who still turns the ball over too much, and couldn’t even beat the Jaguars. Ultimately, Minnesota offers too much value here.
For a more detailed breakdown of this game, check out my week 2 Vikings vs. Colts betting preview.
New England Patriots (+175)
I’m also all about the Patriots going into week two. I learned a long time ago not to actively bet against Bill Belichick, while Cam Newton opened up New England’s offense in week one.
It’s true that the Pats will need to prove they can win through the air at some point – perhaps even this week – but Newton is doing something for them that Tom Brady could never dream of.
And judging by week one, we shouldn’t be too concerned about his passing.
Cam Newton didn't throw a single unforced inaccurate pass yesterday.
— Doug Kyed (@DougKyed) September 14, 2020
Newton's incompletions:
— Edelman drop
— Two passes batted the line
— Two "throwaways" while under pressure in Edelman's direction
A healthy Cam Newton is tough to bet against, and when you marry him to the Patriots Way, good things are bound to happen. New England has the ground game and defense to win any matchup, and getting them at +175 against Seattle feels like a steal.
Russell Wilson looked amazing in week one, but that was against a soft Falcons defense. Wilson is just 1-2 vs New England the last three times he’s faced them, and his defense won’t always be as helpful as they were last week.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+320)
There are a number of other viable week two NFL upset picks to look at, but the only other option I really like is Jacksonville.
Before the season started, I wasn’t on the Jaguars at all. I probably am still not, but the Jags were impressive in week one, as Gardner Minshew II played borderline flawless football.
Here's a list of every QB in NFL history to complete 95% of their passes and throw for 3 TDs:@gardnerminshew5
— #DUUUVAL (@Jaguars) September 14, 2020
That's it. That's the list. pic.twitter.com/H7U81ZjMcV
It’s clear Minshew Magic is playing with a bit of a chip on his shoulder, while he may have the weapons to consistently find success. Jacksonville just feels like a trendy storyline to latch onto, too.
Everyone expected the Jags to be one of the worst teams in football, so of course, they’ll go 2-0 and take over the AFC South.
Tennessee didn’t look great in week one, anyways. They barely beat the Broncos, as their offense was not the most efficient, and their kicking game was abysmal.
If this game is close, I love the Jags at +320 to steal it.
Summary
I could also try vouching for Washington, Carolina, and quite a few other teams in week two. This is just a volatile year, to begin with, and all of these teams seem capable of shocking us.
That said, when I hand out my top NFL upset picks each week, I want them to be picks I can really stand by. If that isn’t necessarily the case, I want to at least aim high for amazing betting value, or target situations where a game should be closer than the top sportsbooks are pricing it.
When that happens, things can go either way. That’s when striking those big NFL underdog picks can pay off.
Week one was kind to our NFL upset picks. Here’s to hoping we get a few more in week two.
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