Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 8 of the 2021 NFL Season
I thought last week was the week we would finally hit all five player prop bets. Josh Jacobs was on his way to hitting the over on his rushing yards until he left the game with a chest injury. Somehow, Jared Goff went over his passing yard projection by 0.5 yards.
It was tough for sure but I feel confident in our selections for Week 8.
Let’s check them out.
Jared Goff Under 265.5 Passing Yards (-115)
I just mentioned how Jared Goff burned me last week. Still, I feel confident in going with the under this week.
The Detroit Lions put up a good fight against the Los Angeles Rams, but a 28-19 loss dropped them to 0-7. Goff continued to struggle with a pair of interceptions.
While the Rams have Jalen Ramsey in their secondary, their pass defense ranks outside the top 20 in passing yards per game. Goff could have a tougher time this week with the Philadelphia Eagles.
Tom Brady and Derek Carr have both had success against the Eagles pass defense, but those players are far better than Goff.
Despite being winless, I think people would say Detroit is better than their record shows. They were a last-second field goal away from beating the Baltimore Ravens and Minnesota Vikings. Because of that, I think they can use their ground game to keep up with Philadelphia.
In turn, it’ll likely be a low-volume passing attack. Hopefully, Goff doesn’t burn us again.
Robby Anderson Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Coming into the season, there was a lot of hype for Robby Anderson. He had a career year in 2020, reunited with his former quarterback, and signed a contract extension this offseason.
Following seven games, I’d say the hype is at an all-time low.
Anderson had a 57-yard touchdown in Week 1. Since then, he has one game with over 40 receiving yards. And it’s not like the Carolina Panthers aren’t using him.
Check out his targets over the last four weeks.
- Week 4: 11
- Week 5: 7
- Week 6: 11
- Week 7: 9
Over that stretch, his best game was five receptions for 46 yards against the Dallas Cowboys.
Even with Anderson’s struggles, there is a bigger issue with the Panthers offense.
Sam Darnold has regressed to his New York Jets days. Over his last three games, he is averaging 165.3 yards with 2 touchdowns and five interceptions. Carolina even benched him last week.
Honestly, the Panthers have a good matchup with the Atlanta Falcons this week. However, I have no faith in this passing offense right now.
It would be a big surprise if Anderson cleared 48.5 receiving yards.
Derrick Henry Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Last week, the Tennessee Titans put a beatdown on the Kansas City Chiefs. They achieved victory behind their passing game and superb defense.
Surprisingly, Derrick Henry wasn’t a big factor. He averaged three yards a carry and didn’t find the end zone.
When you’re Henry, 86 rushing yards and no touchdowns in a down game. I expect him to “bounce back” this week.
This week, the Titans will go on the road to battle the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a heartbreaking loss in Week 5, but they bounced back with back-to-back wins. Lately, the Colts and Titans have looked like playoff teams.
The early betting lines have the Colts as (-1.0) point home favorites. It’ll be close enough that the Titans will have to pass a decent amount. There’s also the fact that this game has one of the highest point totals of the week.
Henry’s rushing ability has been all the talk this season, but we can’t forget about his contributions in the passing game.
I expect that to continue on Sunday.
Alvin Kamara Under 65.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
Last week, Alvin Kamara had a performance that defined “putting the team on your back.” Check out his numbers.
- 20 carries
- 51 rushing yards
- 10 receptions
- 128 receiving yards
- 1 touchdown
He accounted for over half the New Orleans Saints yards. Even with the great performance, this was his second-lowest rushing yardage total of the season.
This week, I’m actually fading Kamara’s rushing yards. Why? His opponent.
The Saints take on a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that has owned running backs over the last two seasons.
I’m not sure what happened last week but Chicago Bears running back Khalil Herbert had 100 yards on the Buccaneers defense. Personally, I think that was more of an outlier than anything.
Being a division opponent, Tampa Bay knows the Saints offense very well. They are going to make a concentrated effort to slow Kamara down.
The Buccaneers still have a terrible pass defense. New Orleans should focus on attacking that unit.
My Top NFL Player Prop Bet for Week 8
- Tony Pollard Over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Aside from Week 1, Tony Pollard has received at least 10 carries in every game. He has turned those into at least 40 yards.
The Minnesota Vikings have allowed the seventh-most rushing yards. This game has shootout potential. I expect the Dallas Cowboys to work Pollard into the offense as they try and keep Ezekiel Elliott fresh.
For more Week 8 betting content, check out the following articles.