Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Steelers vs. Vikings – Week 14 (2021)

| December 7, 2021 6:50 pm PDT

It’s a pivotal matchup on Thursday night as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Minnesota Vikings. Both teams enter Week 14 outside of the playoff picture, but they are within striking distance.

This tightly contested battle could go either way. Because of that, I feel more comfortable checking out some player prop bets.

Here are my favorite player prop bets for the matchup.

Najee Harris Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Coming into Week 13, Najee Harris had back-to-back games with under 40 rushing yards. He also had a matchup with one of the best run defenses in football.

So of course, Harris has a bounce-back performance with 71 rushing yards.

Harris is a good running back, but he is running behind one of the worst offensive lines. Because of that, he needs volume to succeed.

It seems like all the factors go against Harris this week, but you have to account for the matchup.

Check out how the Minnesota Vikings have defended the run over the last few weeks.

  • Week 9: 127 yards
  • Week 10: 60 yards
  • Week 11: 64 yards
  • Week 12: 138 yards
  • Week 13: 97 yards

In weeks 10 and 11, teams ran on the Vikings 17 and 15 times, respectively.

If it’s up to the Pittsburgh Steelers, Harris will have over 20 carries. The early betting lines have the Steelers as (-3.0) point underdogs, so they should be able to keep it close.

Overall, the Vikings have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game. I think Harris has a solid chance to have a big night, as he looks to make a push for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Kirk Cousins Over 251.5 Passing Yards (-115)

It’s crazy how the Minnesota Vikings are 5-7 despite a fantastic season from Kirk Cousins. Cousins has passed for 25 touchdowns and three interceptions while leading one of the best passing offenses in the league.

Coming off his bye in Week 7, Cousins had a pair of rough performances. Since then, we’ve seen his passing yards return to normal.

  • Week 10: 294
  • Week 11: 341
  • Week 12: 238
  • Week 13: 340

The San Francisco 49ers were able to slow him down, but I wouldn’t count on the Pittsburgh Steelers defense.

Pittsburgh’s pass defense isn’t terrible, but it also isn’t as good as expected. They rank mid-pack in passing yards allowed per game.

In their last five games, Justin Fields, Justin Herbert, and Lamar Jackson all cleared 251 passing yards.

The Steelers run defense has been one of the worst units in the league, which should help Alexander Mattison. However, we saw a similar thing last week with the Detroit Lions. Cousins still managed to clear 340 passing yards.

No matter what, the Steelers always seem to keep things close. That means Cousins will have to pass most of the game and should allow him to clear 251.5 passing yards.

Pat Freiermuth Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Pat Freiermuth didn’t have much of a role in the Pittsburgh Steelers offense early in the season. Right before the Steelers bye, Freiermuth had his best game of the season with 58 receiving yards.

While Freiermuth has taken on a bigger role in the offense, it’s not leading to monster numbers.

Check out his receiving yards in his last four games.

  • Week 10: 31
  • Week 11: 11
  • Week 12: 40
  • Week 13: 26

He had at least three receptions in all four games, but he needs more yards per catch to reach his projection.

Since their Week 7 bye, the Minnesota Vikings have faced tight ends like Mark Andrews and T.J. Hockenson.

Disincluding those players, check out the combined numbers for tight ends against them since Week 7.

  • 9 receptions
  • 107 receiving yards (26.8 yards per game)
  • 1 touchdown

That stretch includes limiting George Kittle to one reception for 13 yards.

Unless a tight end is the number one option, it doesn’t seem like Minnesota has trouble stopping them. Freiermuth is the third option at best in the Steelers passing offense.

I don’t see him clearing 36.5 receiving yards.

K.J. Osborn Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-140)

The Minnesota Vikings passing offense took a hit last week with Adam Thielen’s ankle injury. He hasn’t been ruled out yet, but there’s no way he plays with a high-ankle sprain.

That leaves an opening alongside Justin Jefferson. If last Sunday is any indication, K.J. Osborn will fill that role.

Check out his numbers from last Sunday’s loss.

  • 4 receptions
  • 47 receiving yards
  • 1 touchdown

This isn’t the first time we’ve seen Osborn take on a more significant role.

He had over 75 receiving yards in three of his first six games. Cousins has targeted him frequently throughout the season, and someone has to step up alongside Jefferson.

Jefferson should be in line for a big game himself, but part of me wonders if the Pittsburgh Steelers defense will sell out to slow him down.

If he draws a lot of coverage, Osborn could find himself with many opportunities.

Both the Vikings and Steelers have a bottom ten defense. This game has sneaky high-scoring potential: the more scoring, the more passing.

All of that will help Osborn clear 38.5 receiving yards.

My Top Steelers vs. Vikings Player Prop for Week 14

  • Ben Roethlisberger Under 0.5 Interceptions (+100)

It’s kind of crazy to see some much value with this bet. I understand it’s not easy to go an entire game without an interception, but Ben Roethlisberger has avoided interceptions this season.

If you take out a two-interception game in Week 12, he hasn’t thrown one since Week 4. For these odds, I’m more than willing to take that bet.

We’ll likely see a close matchup on Thursday night. If you want to bet on the spread, make sure you check out Anthony Haage’s breakdown of the matchup.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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