Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Rams vs. Seahawks – Week 5

| October 6, 2021 9:22 am PDT

Week 5 kicks off with a fascinating NFC West showdown. Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams will travel to Seattle to take on Russell Wilson and the Seahawks.

Right now, the Rams look like the better team, but can you ever count out the Seahawks? Instead of betting on the spread or point total, I want to give everyone the top player prop bets for this matchup.

Let’s check them out.

Matthew Stafford Over 298.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The Los Angeles Rams made a big move this offseason, acquiring Matthew Stafford for multiple first-round picks. Early in the season, it looks like the move worked out exactly like they hoped it would.

Stafford is in the MVP discussion, leading a Rams team that is among the top Super Bowl contenders.

Through four games, Stafford is fourth in the league with 1,222 passing yards. He has yet to have a game under 275 yards.

With the Rams taking on the Seattle Seahawks, I think Stafford has a great chance to clear 298.5 passing yards.

Seattle’s defense has been terrible this season. Their pass defense has allowed the fifth-most yards. Honestly, it could be worse when you look at the quarterbacks they’ve played this season.

  • Week 1: Carson Wentz
  • Week 2: Ryan Tannehill
  • Week 3: Kirk Cousins
  • Week 4: Jimmy Garoppolo/Trey Lance

When you combine Garoppolo and Lance, all four quarterbacks have attempted at least 35 passes against the Seahawks. We’ve seen Stafford clear that mark in his last two games.

This game has the second-high point total of the week. With the offenses in full force, I think we’ll see Stafford attack Seattle’s secondary and clear 298.5 passing yards.

Russell Wilson Under 22.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

As his career has gone along, we’ve seen Russell Wilson’s rushing numbers come down. He did, however, rush for 513 yards last season after rushing for below 400 in both 2018 and 2019. This season, Wilson’s numbers are down once again.

Attempts Yards
Week 1 5 9
Week 2 3 16
Week 3 3 7
Week 4 4 26

Even with the extra game this season, Wilson is on pace to set a career-low in rushing yards. It’s not surprising, considering he’ll be 33 in November.

Every now and then, Seattle will call a read-option, but for the most part, Wilson’s runs will come via scrambling. That’s exactly what we saw last week against the San Francisco 49ers.

Wilson scrambled for a 16-yard touchdown. He would’ve failed to clear 22.5 yards without that run, and this projection is probably much lower.

With wide receivers like DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, Wilson would much rather stay in the pocket and throw the ball. You also have an imposing option in the backfield with Chris Carson.

In a potentially high-scoring game, I expect Wilson to use his arm to put points on the board. I wouldn’t expect many rushing yards from the Seahawks quarterback.

DK Metcalf Under 72.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

I hope everyone is ready for the matchup between DK Metcalf and Jalen Ramsey. We saw the two have a few battles last season, and Ramsey came out on top in just about all of them.

On Thursday night, I’m expecting a similar story.

Over the years, we’ve seen Ramsey earn the reputation as the league’s best shutdown corner. He has what it takes to shadow any wide receiver in the league. That includes someone with the strength and quickness of Metcalf.

Now I don’t expect Ramsey to guard Metcalf on every route. In last season’s playoff game, we saw Metcalf score a 51-yard touchdown when Ramsey wasn’t on him. Those big plays are possible, but betting the under is the smart play here.

Outside of the 1v1 matchup, we haven’t seen Metcalf put up huge numbers this season.

Receptions Yards
Week 1 4 60
Week 2 6 53
Week 3 6 107
Week 4 4 65

Don’t get me wrong; those are good numbers. However, he hasn’t faced a corner as good as Ramsey all season. Even if the Seahawks go pass-heavy, I don’t see Metcalf’s numbers going up that much.

Robert Woods Longest Reception Under 21.5 Yards (-120)

Matthew Stafford has completely unlocked the Los Angeles Rams passing offense. While guys like Cooper Kupp and Van Jefferson are reaping the benefits, Robert Woods hasn’t had the same success.

Even with the extra game, Woods’ reception and yards pace are equal to his first season with the Rams. That season, he only played in 12 games.

Because the Seattle Seahawks secondary is so bad, I wanted to avoid a reception or yardage total prop bet for Woods. Instead, I went with the longest reception.

Through four games, Woods has not had a reception over 20 yards. Then, you have Kupp and Jefferson. Kupp has cleared that mark in all four games, while Jefferson has in three games. Even tight end Tyler Higbee has a reception over 20 yards.

It’s clear that the Rams want to use Woods in the short and intermediate area. Kupp is excelling in all facets of the game, including deep ball. Jefferson is another deep ball threat.

If you ask me, Woods’ best chance to have a long reception is to turn a wide receiver screen into a big play. He isn’t running many deep routes, and I don’t think we’ll see that change on Thursday night.

Freddie Swain Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

When I looked through all the possible player prop bets, I felt this one presented the most value.

Before this season, I can’t imagine many people knew Freddie Swain. The 2020 sixth-round pick had 13 receptions and 159 receiving yards last season. This season, we’ve seen Swain take on a bigger role.

He didn’t do anything in the Seattle Seahawks’ first game, but let’s look at his last three performances.

Receptions Yards Touchdowns
Week 2 5 95 1
Week 3 1 10 0
Week 4 3 20 1

We are starting to see him become a bigger factor in the Seahawks’ passing offense. That’s important to note in what could turn out to be a high-scoring game.

I think Jalen Ramsey will lock up DK Metcalf for much of the night. Then, you turn to Tyler Lockett. Surprisingly, Lockett hasn’t produced big numbers against the Los Angeles Rams lately. Not to mention, most of his touchdowns come from outside the red zone.

If Seattle passes the ball in the red zone, I’m looking at Swain. His red-zone touchdown last week helped the Seahawks become a big winner in Week 4.

At the end of the day, the bet is a bit of a long shot. I mean, that’s why there is a “+” in front of the number. However, I feel like this is the best value bet.

My Top Rams vs. Seahawks Player Prop Bet for Week 5

  • Chris Carson Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

After having 26 receiving yards in Week 1, Carson has a combined three yards over his last three games. His play style doesn’t fit a receiving back. He is more of a power back.

Then, you factor in the fact that he has played less than 50 percent of snaps in each of the last two weeks. Honestly, I’m surprised this projection isn’t down around seven yards. As a bettor, I’m not complaining.

For an in-depth breakdown of this matchup, be sure to check out the prediction and pick.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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