Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Patriots vs. Colts – Week 15 (2021)
For the first time this season, we’ll see the NFL play on Saturday. The night matchup will feature a battle between the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts. Both teams come into the matchup looking to strengthen their playoff position.
I’ve already done an in-depth breakdown of the matchup, so why not look at a few player prop bets. Here are my favorites.
Carson Wentz Over 0.5 Interceptions (-115)
Last season was one to forget for Carson Wentz. He had a terrible season that saw him finish on the bench. The primary reason for that is his league-league 15 interceptions. This season, Wentz has cut down on those turnovers.
Wentz only has five interceptions this season. Four of those five interceptions came in two games.
This seems like an excellent opportunity to take the under on his interception total, but be wary of the matchup.
The New England Patriots are on a seven-game win streak because of their dominant pass defense. They’ve allowed the third-fewest passing yards per game. They are also among the league leaders in interceptions.
- Dallas Cowboys: 20
- New England Patriots: 19
- Buffalo Bills: 16
New England has a ball-hawking defense, including J.C. Jackson, Adrian Phillips, and Devin McCourty. They’ll also get a big boost with the return of Kyle Duggar. Duggar has four interceptions.
The Patriots have been able to control every game in their win streak. If they do the same on Saturday night, Wentz may make a few bad decisions.
Those bad decisions could lead to interceptions. These days, it’s never a bad idea to bet on the Patriots defense.
Mac Jones Under 226.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Mac Jones and the New England Patriots have been a perfect match. He provides the Patriots offense with a reliable option that is an accurate passer and won’t make many mistakes.
When you have a top-five defense, that’s exactly what you need.
The Patriots pulled off a crazy game plan that only saw them attempt three passes. I can’t imagine they’ll do that again, but it’s a winning formula.
If we take out that game, here are Jones’ passing yards from the Patriots win streak.
- Week 7: 307
- Week 8: 217
- Week 9: 139
- Week 10: 198
- Week 11: 207
- Week 12: 310
Jones isn’t bad by any means, but why have your rookie quarterback air it out when your run game is firing on all cylinders?
It might not a bad idea to bet on the under for your parlay.
New England has won five of their last seven games by 15+ points. This one should be closer, but unless New England finds themselves in an early hole, it should be a run-heavy game plan.
Jonathan Taylor Under 117.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
Right now, it’s risky to bet against Jonathan Taylor.
Taylor has been an absolute force lately. He has cleared 100 rushing or receiving yards in eight of his last ten games.
As great as the New England Patriots defense has been, they aren’t great against the run. So, why would I think to bet against Taylor? Well, you’ve heard of Bill Belichick taking away the opposing team’s best player.
Typically, that involves a receiver like Stefon Diggs or Kyle Pitts. Could they employ that same approach against a running back?
Michael Pittman Jr. is the Indianapolis Colts’ number one receiver, but he isn’t someone you go all out to stop. Not to mention, he has been struggling a bit lately.
- Week 11: 2 receptions for 23 yards
- Week 12: 4 receptions for 53 yards
- Week 13: 6 receptions for 77 yards
Because the Patriots struggle against the run, I didn’t feel comfortable with Taylor’s 93.5 rushing yards.
He hasn’t been a huge factor in the passing game, so I like taking the under on his scrimmage yards.
Kendrick Bourne Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The New England Patriots don’t have a true number one option in their passing game.
Jakobi Meyers leads the team in receptions and targets, but Hunter Henry has the most receiving touchdowns. Then, we have Kendrick Bourne.
Bourne leads the team with 623 receiving yards. The primary reason for that is his 14.8 yards per catch. He has acted as the Patriots deep threat this season.
If you take out their last game, Bourne has a longest reception over 17 yards in six of his previous seven games. That includes four games with a longest reception over 40 yards.
Overall, check out his receiving yards in his last four games.
- Week 10: 98
- Week 11: 42
- Week 12: 61
- Week 13: 0
Even in his “floor” games, he comes close to hitting this projection.
Excluding the Week 13 game, Bourne hasn’t recorded less than 34 yards since Week 5. That floor makes me feel a lot better about this prop bet.
It’s never a bad idea to bet on a deep threat. One big reception should have us more than halfway towards his projection.
My Top Patriots vs. Colts Player Prop for Week 15
- Michael Pittman Jr. Under 58.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Earlier, I briefly touched on Michael Pittman Jr’s. struggles lately. The Indianapolis Colts run-heavy approach has led to a decrease in his production.
Pittman will likely see a lot of J.C. Jackson. Jackson has been one of the best corners this season. He should keep Pittman under 58.5 yards.
It should be a fun matchup between two potential playoff teams. Check out our NFL picks page to see more Week 15 predictions and picks.