Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Cowboys vs. Saints – Week 13 (2021)

| November 30, 2021 7:45 pm PDT

The Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints will kick off Week 13 in New Orleans. Both teams are looking to bounce back from a loss on Thanksgiving Day.

It appears the Saints will make a quarterback change in order to jump-start their offense. Dallas has lost three of their last four games and may have opened the door in the NFC East.

Here are my favorite player prop bets from the Thursday night matchup.

Tre’Quan Smith Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Last season, Tre’Quan Smith effectively operated as the WR2 alongside Michael Thomas. Smith missed the first six weeks of the 2021 season, but the hope was he would take on that lead role upon his return.

It’s taken some time, but we’re starting to see Smith carve out a bigger role in the offense. Check out his receiving yards over the last four weeks.

  • Week 9: 53
  • Week 10: 44
  • Week 11: 64
  • Week 12: 31

Smith has at least four targets in all four games.

All signs point towards Taysom Hill making his first start of the season. That could bode well for Smith’s receiving yards.

In Hill’s final two starts of the 2020 season, Smith had 42 and 60 yards, respectively. He also had a touchdown.

The New Orleans Saints come into this matchup as the underdog. Whether it’s Trevor Siemian or Hill, the Saints will pass the ball. They also face a passing defense that has allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game.

Smith should play a significant role on Thursday night and might have his best game of the season.

Dalton Schultz Under 43.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

We weren’t sure if Dalton Schultz or Blake Jarwin would emerge as the primary tight end coming into the season. It only took a few weeks for us to realize that Schultz would assume that role.

Schultz had a big start to the season, recording at least 45 yards in five of his first six games. Since the bye, it’s been a bit of a mixed bag. He cleared that mark three times, but he also had two games under 15 yards.

I think the biggest reason for Schultz’s early-season success was Michael Gallup’s absence. That left an opening as the third pass catcher for the Dallas Cowboys.

Last week, Gallup was back, but Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb were out of the lineup. Dak Prescott attempted 47 passes.

Here are Schultz’s numbers.

  • 3 receptions
  • 46 yards
  • 1 touchdown

He also had a touchdown taken off the board earlier in the game.

The early betting lines have the Cowboys as (-6.0) point favorites. While I believe the Cowboys will take a pass-heavy approach, I don’t think it favors tight ends as much as wide receivers.

Since their Week 6 bye, the Saints have only allowed two tight ends to clear 43.5 yards. I expect them to limit Schultz.

Ezekiel Elliott Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-125)

We’ve heard rumors throughout the week that the Dallas Cowboys could hold Ezekiel Elliott out this week. It doesn’t sound like that’ll happen, and there’s a good chance Elliott sees a full workload.

Elliott has quietly struggled over the last few weeks. Check out his rushing yards over his previous five games.

  • Week 8: 50
  • Week 9: 51
  • Week 10: 41
  • Week 11: 32
  • Week 12: 25

In those games, Elliott was very inefficient. Only once did he have over 3.7 yards per carry.

I know it seems like I’m fading Elliott, and maybe I am, but I think he has a solid chance to find the end zone.

For all that talk about his injuries, Jerry Jones said that Elliott would assume his full workload. Either way, Elliott is the Cowboys primary goal-line back.

Last week, Tony Pollard had a catch and run to the one-yard line. Instead of rewarding him, the Cowboys brought in Elliott and let him score the touchdown.

Dallas has the third-best scoring offense in the league. They’ll have scoring opportunities, and I like Elliott’s chances of cashing in with a touchdown.

Dak Prescott Over 284.5 Passing Yards (-115)

I’m sure you could tell by now, but I’m all in on the Dallas Cowboys passing game this week. Therefore, it only makes sense that I take the over on Dak Prescott’s passing yards projection.

Last week, Prescott broke out of a mini-slump with this big performance.

  • 32/47
  • 375 passing yards
  • 2 touchdowns

Prescott did that against a respectable Las Vegas Raiders passing defense. He also didn’t have Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb.

The New Orleans Saints are a much better matchup for Prescott. We haven’t heard the official word on Lamb or Cooper, but it sounds like both players will be good to go for Thursday night.

There have been games this season where Prescott doesn’t hit his projection because the Cowboys go run-heavy. However, I don’t see that happening here.

As I mentioned earlier, Ezekiel Elliott doesn’t come into this matchup 100 percent. We also have a very tough Saints run defense.

It seems like all the signs point towards Prescott going over his passing yard projection. Even so, feel free to wait until we have a confirmation on the status of Lamb and Cooper.

My Top Cowboys vs. Saints Player Prop for Week 13

  • Taysom Hill Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+275)

Anytime the Saints move inside the five-yard line, there’s a good chance Taysom Hill will have at least one carry.

Last season, Hill had four rushing touchdowns in his time as a starter. He also had four touchdowns in a backup role. Hill should have a decent chance to find the end zone with his legs, whether he starts or not.

Both these teams could use a win on Thursday night. Whether it’s player prop bets or the spread, make sure you place your bets with the top NFL betting sites.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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