Player Prop Bets for Buccaneers vs. Saints – NFL Divisional Round, January 17, 2021

| January 13, 2021 1:20 pm PDT

After two interesting Divisional Round games on Saturday, Sunday greets bettors with another pair of contests. One has Tom Brady leading his Buccaneers into New Orleans, where he’ll take on Drew Brees and his Saints – possibly for one final time.

There is a lot at stake here, both for this season and for the legacies of the veteran quarterbacks involved.

It’s enough to get you excited to bet on some Buccaneers vs. Saints player prop bets. If you’re into that sort of thing, check out my favorite options for this tense NFC South rematch.

Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+166)

Whether out of necessity or coming from sheer dominance, I think Tom Terrific has himself a game on Sunday.

The top NFL betting sites project this as a bit of a shootout, with the Bucs and Saints sporting the second-highest game total (52) of the Divisional Round.

There should be a good amount of points here, while it’s worth noting that Tom Brady has kind of been on fire lately. He has topped the three-score mark six times on the year, and something tells me he has a real shot at doing it again in this spot.

He hasn’t had a ton of success against the Saints, but New Orleans excels at stopping the run, and Tampa Bay just has too many weapons to keep tabs on. In a likely shootout, I can’t ignore this sweet +166 price, either.

Drew Brees Over 279.5 Passing Yards (-105)

If the Buccaneers do their job when it comes to their half of this game total, I tend to think Drew Brees will chime in, as well. Even if he and Brady are two geriatric passers that could be on their last leg.

All jokes aside, Brees will need to throw due to a large deficit, or he’ll simply exploit the best matchup he has in front of him. In this spot, that’s the Buccaneers secondary, which is aggressive but often sloppy.

Brees fired in four touchdowns against this defense the last time he faced them, and given Tampa Bay’s nasty run defense, it’s likely he takes it to the air quite a bit.

He has not been a yardage fiend this year, but he’s still topped this total six times. That, combined with the matchup, is enough to sell me on the Over.

Tom Brady Over 0.5 Interceptions (-148)

I think Brady has a great game against the Saints. He was awful against them the last time he faced them and wasn’t all that much better back in week one.

He’ll be ready to rock and find much more success with the stakes as high as ever, but he’ll still have a wart or two. New Orleans is simply too good on defense to not force at least one mistake, and playing on the road is never easy.

Brady isn’t a turnover machine, but the Saints (five interceptions) have had his number.

He’s kept things clean with just one pick in his last five contests, but a more tense situation could mess with that a bit.

This bet demands just one pick, and the -148 price is solid. I’m willing to roll the dice given his 12 interceptions on the year and specific issues against this defense.

Alvin Kamara Over 4.5 Receptions (-150)

You can also bet on how many yards Alvin Kamara will run for or rack up as a receiver, but this is the only bet I like.

Tampa Bay’s run defense is very good, and while they do give up catches to running backs, they have the ability to keep the actual yardage in check.

Maybe Kamara just goes nuts across the board, but the only prop I’m enamored with is him getting five or more catches.

Not only does it work well in this matchup, but Kamara is a tough cover, and the Saints love the short passing game. Kamara will definitely be needed in this one, and whether he’s involved as a receiver early or is busy in catch-up mode, I think he easily passes this total.

If you still need your arm pulled, consider Kamara caught at least five balls nine times this year, and the Buccaneers allowed more catches than anyone (101) to running backs.


There are absolutely other Buccaneers vs. Saints NFL player props to consider. I think several other props involving Brady and Brees are worth a look, and guys like Michael Thomas and Mike Evans stand out as guys you can profit off of, as well.

That said, this isn’t about listing all of the Buccaneers vs. Saints player props I can find. It’s about getting solid value with wagers I think can convert.

The four props above have a good chance of doing that. If you want to try to profit more from this game, consider betting on the game itself. For a little help, check out this Buccaneers vs. Saints betting preview.

If you’d like more 2021 NFL Divisional player prop bets to consider, hit up the links below.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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