Best NFL DFS Picks to Roster in Week 15 – Jalen Hurts and More
If you used my NFL DFS picks last week, you were headed in the right direction. Taysom Hill and Javonte Williams both smashed, while options like Mike Williams and the Saints defense weren’t total misses.
I really liked the elite Chiefs weapons, too, but they were a collective miss.
Looking to week 15, there are a few injury situations to avoid and/or benefit from, but the top NFL DFS picks are starting to show themselves. Let’s see which plays I plan on building around at DraftKings this week.
Jalen Hurts ($6.6k)
Anytime you can get a fantasy quarterback who can run, you should do it. Last week Taysom Hill was too cheap, and this week it’s Jalen Hurts that feels undeniable.
The matchup with Washington could be viewed from two different lenses. On one hand, this has been the worst pass defense against fantasy quarterbacks in 2021. On the other hand, they’ve played better in recent weeks.
You can aim higher with the safer Kyler Murray, but Hurts saves you some cash in a big game for the Eagles.
James Conner, RB, Cardinals ($6.4k)
I told you to play Javonte Williams against the Lions last week, and I don’t see any reason to go back to the well. Sure, you can play Williams again, but I’m referencing the “target Detroit” well.
That puts James Conner in play, but you should be on him already, anyways. Conner is a bit too cheap, and he reminded everyone of what he can do on Monday night.
Conner’s role is massive. I’d keep an eye on the possible return of Chase Edmunds, but it’s beyond clear that Conner is too useful to take off the field very often.
He’s a touchdown machine (16 on the year), and he’s even turned into a dangerous receiver (9 catches on 9 targets last week). On top of that, the Lions rank 29th against fantasy running backs.
This all is enough to sell me on Conner, but this also could simply be one of the best game environments for DFS purposes, as the best NFL betting sites have this game coming in with a 47.5-point total.
On a down week for the running back position, Conner is looking like good chalk.
Davante Adams, WR, Packers ($8.9k)
Running back is so bad this week, that I will likely be looking for a way to pay up for as many stud wide receivers as I can handle. The one to go out of your way to get has to be Adams, who is fresh off of a 37-point fantasy gem, and could be in for more against the Ravens.
Baltimore’s run defense has been very tough, but they have been quite beatable down the field through the air. Losing top cover man Marlon Humphrey hasn’t helped matters, either.
The Ravens haven’t faced many wide receivers as dangerous as Adams, but when they have, it’s gone poorly. Check out some of the performances they’ve given up in 2021.
- Diontae Johnson: 8 catches, 105 yards, 2 TDs
- Ja’Marr Chase: 8 catches, 201 yards, 1 TD
- Darren Waller: 10 catches, 105 yards, 1 TD
- Travis Kelce: 7 catches, 109 yards, 1 TD
The last two are tight ends, but they’re also basically receivers. The point? Baltimore usually doesn’t do a great job corralling stud receivers, and it’s tough to see them doing it against perhaps the best wideout in the NFL.
Adams and Aaron Rodgers are locked in right now. His price is steep, but he’s probably going to be worth it (and a must) on this slate.
George Kittle, TE, 49ers ($7.5k)
I guess it’s time to drink the kool-aid when it comes to George Kittle. He has been amazing the past two weeks, and just saying that doesn’t do this two-game stretch justice.
Take a look for yourself.
- Week 14: 13 catches, 151 yards, 1 TD
- Week 13: 9 catches, 181 yards, 2 TDs
It’s always possible he takes a week off from dominating teams, but he faces a beatable Falcons defense, and the Niners need to keep winning.
He’s the most expensive tight end this week, but it’s also a really thin position. Paying up for the pass-catching studs may not merely be a trend in week 15. It may be rather necessary.
Buffalo Bills Defense ($3.1k)
Buffalo is in a bad way at the moment. The Bills have dropped two straight and are just 2-3 over their last five. That’s a far cry from the 4-1 start that had many calling them a title threat.
They still could get back to that status, of course, and it’d start with a dominant effort against the Panthers at home in week 15.
There is little reason to think they can’t get back on track, either. Buffalo’s defense has the ability to shut opponents down, and this week they face Cam Newton, who can’t seem to buy a win as Carolina’s starting quarterback.
Cam Newton’s record in his last 11 starts with the Panthers…
— NFL on CBS ? (@NFLonCBS) December 12, 2021
Newton has also dealt with turnovers since returning to the Panthers. He’s turned the ball over four times in four games, and things shouldn’t get any easier on the road against a desperate Bills team.
Sacks and turnovers could come in bunches in this one. I like the Bills to get going in the right direction this week, and a sound performance from their defense should be part of it.
More NFL DFS Picks for Week 15
- Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals ($7.9k)
- Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington ($6k)
- CeeDee Lamb, WR, Cowboys ($7.4k)
- Dawson Knox, TE, Bills ($5.1k)
- Miami Dolphins Defense ($3.7k)
Jalen Hurts is the discount Kyler Murray this week. If you want more stability and more upside, you can pay the extra cash to get to Murray.
Gibson makes my second wave of NFL DFS picks for the second week in a row. He dealt with a negative game script last week, but is still too cheap. He has a nice role in a possible smash spot against Philly’s shaky run defense (23rd vs. RBs).
Tight end is a poor position, but Knox is a bit too cheap given his talent and role with the Bills. With Buffalo likely getting back on track this week, Knox feels like a fine try against a middling Panthers team.
I also don’t mind Miami’s defense. I don’t love spending big money on defenses, but the Jets are atrocious on offense. Miami will also be eyeing it’s sixth win in a row, so they’ll be motivated to show up in this one.
On top of my NFL DFS picks, be sure to get a feel for how things look from a betting perspective. Check out this week’s spreads and game totals in my early week 15 NFL betting lines breakdown below.