New Zealand vs. Ireland Odds, Predictions, Picks – First Summer Test (July 2, 2022)

| June 28, 2022 8:56 am PDT

New Zealand hosts Ireland in a three-game summer tour Down Under.

The first of the three matches kicks off this Saturday, July 2 from Eden Park, Auckland. If you’re looking for the betting odds for New Zealand vs. Ireland, I’ll be covering those below. The Irish have won three of their last five games against the All Blacks, but enter this weekend’s tie as the underdogs.

The first game of Ireland’s summer tour to the “Land of the Long White Cloud” could be pivotal for Andy Farrell’s men. No touring Irish side has ever won in New Zealand, so getting off to a good start will be vital for their chances of winning a first series.

I’ll be making predictions for New Zealand vs. Ireland in the rugby world’s most anticipated summer test. Can Ireland upset the latest rugby odds, and come away with a history-making result? If you’re looking for betting tips for the All Blacks vs. Ireland, I’ll be providing a few to look at.

It’s all in here. So, feel free to join me as I preview this weekend’s test. 

New Zealand vs. Ireland Odds – First Summer Test of 2022

The odds below are taken from the Betway sportsbook. They are accurate at the time of writing, although subject to change.

  • New Zealand to Win -550
  • Ireland to Win +350

The New Zealand vs. Ireland odds say a lot about home advantage, sure. 

But they are also a nod to the fact that, as I touched upon earlier, Ireland is winless on Kiwi soil. Although these two teams have met 12 times down under, the first match between them came in 1976 at Athletic Park in Wellington. The Kiwis came away 12-3 winners that day.

The odds for the All Blacks to beat Ireland this Saturday, July 2 are a hefty -550. That means you would need to put down $550 for every $100 you hope to win. Is that worth the risk? I’ll be explaining why it’s probably best avoided when I cover my top bets for New Zealand vs. Ireland in the first summer test a little later.

If you are backing the Men in Green to come away with the win, the price is a little easier to digest.

The odds for Ireland to beat New Zealand in the rugby clash of the weekend are very takable at +350. The last time these two sides met resulted in a 29-20 win for Ireland at home quarters in Dublin. That scoreline flattered the losers, who were dominated from start to finish.

As ever, it’s going to be a big ask for Ireland to win in New Zealand. And on that basis, it’s hard to argue with the betting line above. But feel free to check out our rugby betting guide, as well as our recommended sites featured within it, for a little insight that could maybe change your mind.

New Zealand vs. Ireland Betting Preview – 1st Summer Test (2022)

  • Date: July 2, 2022
  • Venue: Eden Park – Auckland, New Zealand
  • Favorite: New Zealand (-550)

The last time Ireland toured New Zealand was in 2012. Needless to say, it was a disaster.

The first test culminated in an embarrassing 42-10 loss at the very same ground both sides will meet on this weekend. Ireland bounced back in the second test, running the hosts close with a 22-19 loss in Christchurch. But any hopes of a consolation win fell apart like wet cardboard when they were walloped 60-0 by a rampaging Kiwi side that had won the Rugby World Cup the year prior.

Since then, Ireland has come a long way in this matchup. They went agonizingly close to beating the Kiwis for the first time in Dublin in 2013, only for a last-gasp Ryan Crotty try — and a second shot to better a missed conversion (thanks, Nigel) for Aaron Cruden — to deny them. 

Ireland registered their first win over the Blacks at Chicago’s Soldier Field in November 2016. That day, they ran out as impressive 40-29 winners. The Kiwis won the next tie 21-9 at the Aviva Stadium in 2018, before the Irish registered their first-ever home win over New Zealand by beating Steve Hansen’s men in an epic 16-9 battle.

The Kiwis walloped Ireland by 46-14 at the 2019 Rugby World Cup. But it’s last year’s 29-20 win that has added a little bit of additional spice to this contest. The mental block is no longer there for Ireland. They will be confident in giving it a go. But can they overcome the Blacks in their own backyard?

Why Ireland Can Beat New Zealand in the 2022 Summer Tests

Although he didn’t get off to the best of starts, Andy Farrell has been responsible for something of a turnaround in Irish fortunes.

Having played a rigid, boring style under the direction of former head coach Joe Schmidt — who will be part of the New Zealand coaching staff this weekend — fans are much happier to see an attack-minded philosophy instilled in the troops. They finished with a total of 168 points in the 2022 Six Nations but also registered the fewest points conceded at 63.

Had certain decisions been made in their clash with the French, Ireland could have been celebrating a Grand Slam this year. When we consider reasons to bet on France to win the 2023 Rugby World Cup, it’s hard to write off the consensus second-best outfit in Northern Hemisphere rugby.

But the question here is, can they do it on Kiwi soil. Or do the odds for Ireland to beat France in the first summer test tell us all there is to know?

A probable Irish team to play New Zealand on July 2, 2022, will look something like this. 

  • 15. Hugo Keenan
  • 14. Jordan Larmour
  • 13. Garry Ringrose
  • 12. Robbie Henshaw
  • 11. James Lowe
  • 10. Johnny Sexton (captain)
  • 9. Jamison Gibson-Park
  • 1. Andrew Porter
  • 2. Dan Sheehan
  • 3. Tadhg Furlong
  • 4. Tadhg Beirne
  • 5. James Ryan
  • 6. Caelan Doris
  • 7. Josh van der Flier
  • 8. Jack Conan

That team can beat anyone on their day. And they have. This is essentially the same side, bar a couple of names, that won in Dublin last year. It’s hardly brave to make New Zealand vs. Ireland predictions for the summer test in favor of the away side, but there are other things to consider.

I’ll explain what they are in my best picks for New Zealand vs. Ireland, below.

Best Bets for New Zealand vs. Ireland in the First Summer Test

  • New Zealand to Win -8.5 Points (-154)
  • Sevu Reece Anytime Try Scorer -110
  • Ireland First Half/New Zealand Second Half (+550)

Betting tips for New Zealand vs. Ireland rugby in the first summer test can be found above. 

First off, I’m not a fan of the rugby betting odds for New Zealand to beat Ireland on the moneyline. At -550, you’re struggling to find any value there. Although the home side deserves to be favored in this match, the potential for an Irish win in Auckland is greater than that price suggests.

The handicap odds for New Zealand vs. Ireland in the first summer test are averaging out at -11 points in favor of NZ. But the top real money gambling apps have alternative handicaps and spread betting options you can look at. I believe -8.5 points is more than doable for the home side.

I also like the look of Sevu Reece scoring a try at any time. He’s -110 to cross the whitewash at least once, which is pretty good! 

If you’re looking for a slightly more imaginative betting pick for New Zealand vs. Ireland, I’d recommend Ireland to win the first half before the All Blacks come back and take it in the second. 

Predictions for New Zealand vs. Ireland – Back the All Blacks

  • Predicted Winner: New Zealand 
  • Score Prediction: New Zealand 27-20 Ireland
  • First Try Scorer: Sevu Reece

Ultimately, both sides will be heading into this game following long and arduous campaigns.

This Irish side is heavily made up of Leinster players. This is a team that has made it to both domestic and European finals this year. The All Blacks will feature many of the Blues and Crusaders sides that just played their domestic Super Rugby final on June 18.

The odds for New Zealand to beat Ireland, however, are right. It’s not exactly believable that Irish sports betting sites, or their Kiwi counterparts, are happy to give away free money. But more importantly, they have done their homework and factored in the vital data of recent games played between these two sides.

It’s a big ask for any team to beat New Zealand at home. Especially a side that has never done it before. At the tail end of a season, when players would probably prefer to be enjoying some respite, this will come down to both grit and the freshness of the side. The Kiwis are probably better equipped.

More worryingly for Irish fans is the fact that their pack has been bullied of late. Again, the home team will be targeting Ireland’s forwards as well as an aging ten in Jonathan Sexton.

Back New Zealand this time. Although it wouldn’t hurt to have a read of the following post to get a better understanding of how to bet on rugby the right way.

How I Learned to Bet on Rugby the Right Way

“Football (soccer) is a gentleman’s game played by hooligans, and rugby is a hooligan’s game played by gentlemen.” I just love this old saying. Not that I agree completely with the sentiment, but it’s...

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Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

More Posts by Adam Contact Adam



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