New Zealand vs. Australia – Fourth T20I, March 5, 2021

| March 3, 2021 9:56 am PDT

The Aussies kept themselves in contention to win their five-match T20I series against New Zealand by securing a comprehensive 64-run victory in the third game on Wednesday.

The Blackcaps lead the series 2-1, but Australia continues to improve as the tour develops. Can the visitors draw level when the teams meet again at Wellington Regional Stadium on Friday, March 5?

After assessing the bookmakers’ odds, I will share my New Zealand vs. Australia fourth T20I prediction and betting pick.

New Zealand vs. Australia Fourth T20I Odds

New Zealand to Win1.86
Australia to Win1.86

Having won the first game, New Zealand (1.86) has been the bookies’ favorite to win the previous two matches. But as you can see, the leading online sportsbooks can’t seem to separate the teams right now.

Following a much-improved victory on Wednesday, Australia (1.86) heads into the fourth game with an equal chance of winning.

I discuss both sides’ prospects below.

New Zealand vs. Australia Fourth T20I Preview

The Kiwis claimed an easy 53-run victory in the first match before winning by just four runs in the second game. But last time out, NZ was completely outclassed by Australia.

After winning the toss and electing to field, the Blackcaps struggled to deal with the Aussies’ batting firepower. Aaron Finch and Glen Maxwell both scored brutal half-centuries, while Josh Philippe also impressed for the tourists.

Ish Sodhi (2/32) proved to be New Zealand’s most dangerous bowler, with Tim Southee (1/37) and Trent Boult (1/39) also chipping in with a wicket each. But ultimately, the hosts only managed to claim four scalps, while Australia notched up 208 runs.

Despite the best efforts of Martin Guptill (43) and Devon Conway (38), NZ eventually fell 64 runs short of the target. Needless to say, Kane Williamson and co. will need to up their game on Friday.

There have been plenty of promising signs for the Kiwis throughout the series. Conway’s unbeaten 99 in the first game was hugely impressive, while Mitchell Santner posted figures of 4/31 in the second match.

The Blackcaps must rediscover that kind of form if they are to keep the resurgent Aussies at bay for the remainder of the series.

Australia was given a massive wake-up call when the teams first met in Christchurch last month, but the visiting side managed to push the hosts all the way a few days later.

Last time out, the tourists showed their true colors and sealed an emphatic victory in Wellington.

Finch ended his barren run of form by smashing 69 runs off 44 deliveries before Philippe (43) continued to cement enhance his glowing reputation. After that, it was all about Maxwell, who bludgeoned 70 runs off just 31 balls in true Maxwell style.

Spinner Ashton Agar (6/30) then tore through the Kiwis’ batting line-up, leaving paceman Riley Meredith (2/24) to pick up a couple of wickets.

Even without Finch firing on all cylinders, Australia is still a big threat. But with the captain seemingly back to his best, the visitors’ top order looks even more frightening.

If the Aussies are at their best again on Friday, they will be extremely difficult to stop.

New Zealand vs. Australia Fourth T20I Pick

  • Australia to Win

Following a crushing defeat for New Zealand, it feels like all the momentum is with Australia now. The tourists showed heaps of determination to keep themselves in the series last time out, and I can see them leveling things up on Friday.

I’m expecting the fourth game to be a tighter contest than Wednesday’s rout, but I’m confident that Australia will be able to do enough to secure the win.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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