New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox – MLB, June 25, 2021
A tense series between bitter rivals fires off on Friday, as the Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees.
These bitter rivals kick off a fun weekend series, with Boston hoping to hold onto first place in the AL East, and the Yanks trying to inch closer to the top of the division.
Wondering how to bet on this Yankees vs. Red Sox showdown? Join me as I hand out my Yankees vs. red Sox betting pick and prediction for June 25th, 2021.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds for June 25
Nothing really jumps off the page here. It’s slightly surprising to see the Yanks as road favorites, of course.
New York has the better arm on the mound, and they’re 19-16 on the road, but they’ve been behind Boston in the standings for much of the season.
Boston is a respectable 20-17 at Fenway Park, and they need to win to stay in first place. Overall, though, the pricing is pretty good either way. Getting New York at -125 in any spot feels pretty good, but Boston as a +115 home dog will be tough for bettors to pass up.
The game total is plenty palatable. Fenway Park is a haven for hitter’s, and both offenses have serious pop. Martin Perez is a hittable lefty, too, so a 10.5 total sounds about right. The question, of course, is which way to bet with it.
At first glance, Boston at +115 and the Over tend to stand out. Let’s take a closer look at the matchup to see which bet looks the best for Friday’s tilt.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Preview
Domingo German toes the rubber for New York, giving the pinstripes a pretty clear pitching edge. The 28-year old only has a 4.17 ERA with a 4-4 record on the year, but he doesn’t walk many batters, and he’s been at his best on the road.
German also fares better against the right side of the plate, which could help him against a right-heavy Boston lineup. He also dazzled (1.59 ERA) in 5.2 innings against them earlier this season.
Of course, his recent form is troubling. German did get lit up (seven runs) two starts ago, and he’s given up 3+ runs in three of his last four starts.
Boston isn’t really an offense to be trifled with, either. The Red Sox rank 12th in homers, 4th in RBI, and 3rd in runs. They’re the least patient offense in baseball, though, so German’s strong control could really factor in here.
Oh, and he has a home run problem.
Domingo German: 5th game allowing 2+ HR at home. That's the most in MLB.— Katie Sharp (@ktsharp) June 19, 2021
Just awesome, awesome stuff.
Martin Perez hopes to survive his matchup with New York’s lineup, as well. That won’t be easy, seeing as he’s historically allowed a ton of contact, and also has issues against righties.
The Yanks are just stacked with righty power, so dropping the likes of Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Luke Voit into this park is asking for trouble.
German does have the slight edge here, and the Yanks also have the better bullpen. If you have to pick a winner, New York stands out here.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Pick for June 25
I think the logic does point to the Yankees winning, but this game is honestly a toss-up. It’s a rivalry game, so that’s usually how it goes.
The reality is you can’t trust Martin Perez in this spot. He issues too many walks, he doesn’t miss bats consistently, he gives up hard contact, and he’s worse against righties.
That, my friends, is a big bowl of bad.
New York is a good secondary bet at -125, but Perez is going to play his part in the Over here. So will the park, while Boston absolutely can get to German in this one.
Ultimately, the offensive firepower, park impact, and pitching screams “shootout”. I’d hammer the Over at -105.