New York City FC vs. Toronto FC – MLS, May 15, 2021

By Ben Morris in MLS
| May 14, 2021 5:37 am PDT

At the fourth time of asking, Chris Armas finally secured his first MLS win as Toronto head coach on Wednesday. The Reds beat Columbus 2-0 and will now be looking to carry their momentum to Yankee Stadium on Saturday, May 15.

New York City is TFC’s next opponent. Ronny Deila’s men have only lost one of their opening four matches this season and currently find themselves third in the Eastern Conference – three points ahead of Toronto.

In this New York City FC vs. Toronto FC betting preview, I study the odds for Saturday’s clash before sharing my prediction and pick for the match.

New York City vs. Toronto Odds

New York City FC to Win1.58
The Draw4.00
Toronto FC to Win5.25

Given that Toronto (5.25) has just beaten the defending MLS Cup champions, the huge odds for the draw (4.00) and the away win immediately stand out to me.

Of course, New York City (1.58) will benefit from home-field advantage on Saturday. But the price for the home win feels unnecessarily low here.

Before we get to my NYCFC vs. TFC prediction and betting pick, let’s assess both sides.

Will NYCFC Go Four Games Unbeaten?

It’s safe to say that the Boys in Blue wasted no time in putting their disappointing opening-weekend loss to DC United behind them.

New York City crushed Cincinnati 5-0 in Week 2, with Jesus Medina bagging a brace. Both Medina and Valentin Castellanos then scored for the second game running in Week 3, as NYCFC claimed an easy 2-0 win over Philly.

Castellanos netted for the third match in a row last weekend, although his strike wasn’t enough to hand Deila’s side all three points against Orlando. Still, a 1-1 draw with the Lions is a good result.

Having scored six goals in his final seven regular-season appearances last year, Castellanos finished the previous campaign on a high. Thankfully for New York City, the 22-year-old Argentine has picked up where he left off last term.

Not only are the Pigeons the highest scorers in the East (9), but they also boast the second-best defensive record in the division (3).

Can Toronto Build On Wednesday’s Win?

The Armas era did not get off to a good start; there is no hiding from that.

After suffering a humiliating 4-2 defeat to Canadian Classique rivals Montreal, Toronto was held to a 2-2 draw by Vancouver. To make matters worse, TFC lost 2-0 to the Red Bulls in Week 3, while the team looked bereft of ideas.

However, the Reds flexed their muscles on Wednesday and claimed a somewhat unexpected – but thoroughly deserved – 2-0 victory over Columbus.

We all know that Toronto has plenty of exciting youngsters to call upon, but it was two old-timers who got the job done in midweek. Michael Bradley opened the scoring on 13 minutes before Jozy Altidore sealed the deal on 87.

The Canadians reminded everyone of what they are capable of last time out. Now, they must replicate their previous performance in the Big Apple.

My NYCFC vs. Toronto Betting Pick

  • The Draw

The betting sites are heavily favoring NYCFC to win this one. But in my eyes, the low price for the home win isn’t worth bothering with. Instead, I’m going with the draw for my New York City vs. Toronto FC pick.

Backing the draw at 4.00 makes perfect sense to me. New York City has obviously made a better start to the season than TFC, but Armas’ men will be brimming with belief after beating the reigning MLS Cup champs last time out.