NBA Predictions and Best Bets – March 29, 2021

| March 29, 2021 6:20 am PDT

The NBA returns in style on Monday, with a fat 11-game schedule. Sunday offered just three games, so anyone looking to bet on the NBA will not be lacking options.

Let’s take a quick look at which teams are facing off on March 29th, 2021.

  • Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards
  • New Orleans Pelicans vs. Boston Celtics
  • Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Brooklyn Nets
  • Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
  • Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons
  • Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rockets
  • Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs
  • Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Utah Jazz
  • Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors
  • Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Clippers

This is a loaded schedule, and it should have plenty of points. You will want to keep tabs on some injury news – and check updated NBA odds – but the options for bettors feels endless.

To get an idea as to which teams you can trust and which wagers stand out the most, read on for Monday’s NBA predictions and top betting picks.

Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards Predictions

  • Pacers to beat Wizards
  • Predicted total: 230-235

I have been on the wrong side of the Wizards throughout the history of time. Things only get more complicated with Bradley Beal questionable to suit up on Monday.

Beal sitting would be pretty bad for a Washington team that doesn’t defend, and have won just two out of their last 10.

Russell Westbrook continues to go a mile a minute, but the Wiz just don’t have the core fundamentals to be a good bet. Indy isn’t that much better really, but they’ve won their last two, and could be getting into a groove with Caris LeVert finding his footing.

I lean towards Indiana here, but the real bet is the Over. The Over is 23-21 in Washington games this season, and nobody pushes the pace more (1st) than the Wiz.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Boston Celtics Predictions

  • Celtics to beat Pelicans
  • Predicted total: 225-230

Kemba Walker should be back in the lineup after taking a break in Boston’s last game, so the Celtics figure to be at 100%.

On paper, that makes them a great bet to get a home win against an inferior Pelicans team. Boston is also a rock solid 13-7 at TD Garden this year, and they’re trending back in a positive direction with wins in their last two games.

It’s impossible to account for the dominance of Zion Williamson, of course. Just look at what he did in his last outing.

Williamson has the look and feel of a generational superstar, although it hasn’t really translated into a lot of winning.

This has me leaning toward Boston, who have the edge defensively. Adding the potential continued absence of Lonzo Ball only makes it harder to love the Pels, who are just 6-14 on the road this year.

I do love the offensive potential here, though. New Orleans is still top-15 in pace, and they run the league’s 7th most efficient offense. Expect points and target the Over, along with the Celtics.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Brooklyn Nets Predictions

  • Nets to beat Timberwolves
  • Predicted total: 225-230

If you haven’t noticed, Monday night should be straight flames in the NBA. These first three games feature tons of star power, and that should translate into plenty of scoring.

Brooklyn already is tough to handle offensively, but they’ll be closer to full strength with Kyrie Irving back in the saddle.

The Nets also added LaMarcus Aldridge, so they’re looking absurdly stacked these days. They have no issue scoring, and it’ll have to be the defensively inept T’Wolves that are forced to keep up.

Despite their glaring defensive warts, Minnesota does have some nice young talent, and they know how to score. I love Brooklyn to get the win, but the Over is in serious danger.

Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Predictions

  • Heat to beat Knicks
  • Predicted total: 210-215

While most of Monday’s games offer plenty of scoring upside, this probably won’t be the game to hammer the Over.

The Under stands out instantly here, as Miami and New York both play at a slow pace, and also defend well.

Seriously just look at how these teams grade out this year.

Team Points Per Game Points Allowed Per Game Pace Def Efficiency
Heat 26th 1st 27th 6th
Knicks 28th 4th 27th 4th

Seriously, if there was ever a time to bet on the Under, this is it.

Miami also won’t be at 100%. Kendrick Nunn and Goran Dragic are both iffy for this one, so they simply won’t be at full strength.

Even so, Jimmy Butler gives them the edge they need, and Victor Oladipo could make his Heat debut. Miami needs to snap an ugly six-game skid, too, and this is a good time to do it.

Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons Predictions

  • Raptors to beat Pistons
  • Predicted total: 215-220

Toronto just played last night and they also sold off some of their players ahead of the NBA trade deadline, so normally I’d be a bit sour on them.

Luckily, they get the Pistons, who have lost four in a row and eight of their last 10.  

Detroit isn’t really trying to win games anymore, and due to trades and injuries, they probably couldn’t if they wanted to.

Sitting at 12-33, Detroit has their sights on earning the #1 pick in the 2021 NBA Draft. I wouldn’t like them in most spots, but I certainly wouldn’t target them against a desperate Raptors team still fighting for their playoff lives.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rockets Predictions

  • Grizzlies to beat Rockets
  • Predicted total: 215-220

The Rockets have been a little better lately than they were during an unfathomable 20-game losing streak, but they’re still not a team worth betting on.

Memphis immediately stands out just for that face, but the Grizzlies are also the more cohesive team, and they defend a bit better. Houston is also inexplicably atrocious (6-16) at home, and they could be without big man Christian Wood.

The Grizzlies are still just two games out of the Western Conference playoffs, so look for them to keep pushing with a win here.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions

  • Mavericks to beat Thunder
  • Predicted total: 220-225

The Mavs have been beaten up lately with Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis both missing some time.

They should snap out of their mini-funk, of course, with both of their stars ready to return on Monday.

OKC keeps on fighting, but they’ve dropped two in a row, and just announced that veteran big man won’t play for the remainder of the year.

The Thunder also committed to new center Moses Brown on a multi-year deal, signaling the launch of their true rebuild.

Dallas would be a fine bet even without their top players, but with them back, the Mavs are a smash pick.

Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs Predictions

  • Kings to beat Spurs
  • Predicted total: 225-230

The Kings still aren’t reliable defensively, but they sure look good overall, as winners of four straight.

They couldn’t be doing it without star guard De’Aaron Fox, who went ham in his last game.

Fox is on fire right now, and the Kings are finally headed in the right direction. A playoff push is far from imminent, of course.

San Antonio is barely holding onto one of those final playoff spots in the west, but they’re just 5-5 over their last 10. They still have the coaching and talent to crack the final eight, but momentum may be working against them here.

I’m leaning toward the surging Kings, but the real bet is the Over. Sacramento is giving up over 118 points per game, and both of these offenses are top-13 in pace. Expect plenty of points in a competitive game.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Utah Jazz Predictions

  • Jazz to beat Cavaliers
  • Predicted total: 210-215

Utah stands out as one of the more obvious bets on this slate. The Jazz should have Mike Conley back after he rested last game, and Utah have won five in a row.

The Jazz are very tough to beat at home (19-2) and just in general, so the Cavs don’t really stand up as a legit ATS or upset candidate.

Cleveland does have some size to throw at Utah when healthy, but they had none of it in their last outing. They’re also just 3-7 over their last 10 games, and bring a spotty 6-17 road record into an impossible spot.

Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions

  • Bulls to beat Warriors
  • Predicted total: 225-230

The Dubs are still not a team I want to get behind come Monday, as Stephen Curry remains sidelined with tailbone inflammation.

Golden State is in free fall mode (four straight losses) without their best player, and it’ll be hard for them to even get past the Bulls at home.

Chicago lost in Nikola Vucevic’s debut, but they look like a much scarier team on paper following the big trade.

I’d expect Vuc to have his way down low against the Dubs, which should operate as a catalyst for Chicago to get headed back in the right direction. 

Give me the Bulls and the Over in what should be a bit of a shootout.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Clippers Predictions

  • Clippers to beat Bucks
  • Predicted total: 220-225

The last game of the night could easily be the top game for fans and bettors, assuming both teams show up with their main stars.

Milwaukee sat just about everyone on Saturday, and the Clippers are well known for resting guys like Paul George and Kawhi Leonard.

I’d imagine after sitting so many guys over the weekend, though, that the Bucks show up, and the Clips follow suit.

All things considered, it’s tough to bet against the Clippers at home. They’ve won five straight, they’re 16-6 at home, and even if they get guys back, Mil-town may not be fully 100%.

Best NBA Bets for Monday, March 29th

  • Pelicans (+4) -110
  • Raptors vs. Pistons Over 218 (-110)
  • Kings vs. Spurs Over 228 (-110)

While there are a ton of games to bet on, the top NBA betting sites don’t have odds out for every game just yet. Hopefully when the pricing pops up, you can ride my NBA predictions and analysis above to some solid bets.

For now, you can look at the three specific NBA picks listed here, as these look like solid options to get the ball rolling with.

I don’t think the Pels go into Boston and get the win, but I do think it’ll be very close. New Orleans doesn’t defend well, but their offense is 7th in efficient due to the aggressive and effective Zion.

He’s slated to wreck here, and I think he helps the Pels stay within four points.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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