Monday Night Football Player Props – Saints vs. Seahawks (Week 7, 2021)
The New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks come together for a key NFC showdown on Monday Night Football in week seven.
New Orleans is well rested after their bye week, and will be eyeing a 4-2 record. Seattle, meanwhile, gets to play host, and hopes to stop the bleeding after a 2-4 start.
You can bet on this game at the top sites for betting on the NFL, or you can wager on the game within the game. That could come via Monday Night Football player props.
This is a tough game to peg at first glance, but there are some pretty obvious spots to target when it comes to player stats. Here’s a look at some of my favorite Saints vs. Seahawks player props, and why you may want to bet on them.
Geno Smith Over 7.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
It’s the Geno Show these days, as Russell Wilson is doing mock huddles, and won’t be back to the field for quite some time. He certainly won’t be on hand for this Monday Night Football affair. It’s funny to think about how he “plans” for it, though. Just look at what the cameras caught him doing last week.
No rest for Russell Wilson pic.twitter.com/M2bsrMiDi0
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) October 18, 2021
Confiding in Geno Smith is normally the last thing I’d tell bettors to do, but this prop stands out. NFL betting sites often offer these quarterback rushing yardage props, and I tend to think they’re almost always worth targeting due to the low totals.
That’s the case here, as Smith is an underrated rusher, and he reminded everyone of that in relief of Wilson two weeks ago. He ran for 23 yards on three totes, and back when he was a starter with the Jets, he averaged 17+ rushing yards per game.
Smith is still quite mobile, and he’s in a primetime spot against a Saints defense that has given up 102 yards on the ground to opposing passers. With the ability to cover this bet in one run, I love the -114 price.
Jameis Winston Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+130)
Jameis Winston is rarely a fun guy to bet on. However, he’s had his moments as the new starting quarterback of the Saints. Due to his upside, this Monday Night Football player prop is pretty tempting.
Some have already forgotten his insane 5-touchdown debut in week one, but he’s still put up two other games with multiple touchdown passes. One of them came before New Orleans’ bye, when he torched Washington for four scores.
Seattle has picked off just two balls all year. They also rank 29th against the pass in terms of yardage allowed, and has also given up 10 passing scores.
This looks like a pretty exploitable spot for Winston, and two passing scores isn’t asking the world. The fact that it’s at plus money really puts it over the top for me.
DK Metcalf to Score a Touchdown (+145)
While I think Geno Smith can scrounge together eight rushing yards to make you some money, how about this bet for Metcalf to score on Monday Night Football?
The guy is incredibly explosive, after all.
Seattle has two extremely explosive star receivers for Smith to go to work with, and the Seahawks are facing a nasty New Orleans run defense.
How nasty? The Saints were on bye last week and still rank second in rushing yardage allowed in 2021.
If Seattle is going to get it done in this one, it’s almost certainly coming through the air. Metcalf has been busy in the end-zone this season, too, already accounting for five of Seattle’s offensive touchdowns.
My Top MNF Player Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Rec YDS-111
I like the Monday Night Football player props above, but there is one wager I like above all others.
That’s going to be Alvin Kamara topping 29.5 receiving yards. The -111 odds are pretty nice given his elite receiving ability, while we also know the matchup is fantastic on paper.
Seattle hasn’t looked very good on defense, and they’ve specifically had issues tracking running backs out of the backfield. Going into week seven, the Seahawks have allowed the 7th most receptions and the 2nd most receiving yards to running backs.
Kamara has had a few moments where his reception and yardage count disappointed. While true, he topped this mark in his last game, and has seen at least four targets in four of five games.
I think the talent, role, and matchup combine to get Kamara more involved in the passing game, and 30+ yards just isn’t a lot to ask.
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