MMA DFS Picks and Top Lineup for UFC Vegas 37 – September 18, 2021
It’s been a second since I handed out any MMA DFS picks. The last event was UFC Vegas 36 on September 4th, so forgive me if my intro game is a bit rusty.
Back then, I vouched for Derek Brunson and he choked out Darren Till. I can pat myself on the back even more, as I also had winners via Tom Aspinall, Jack Shore, and Molly McCann.
It wasn’t a perfect night (my other two picks lost), but it was a good start. If you made two correct pivots, you could have had it all.
Onward and upward I go, so let’s dive into my UFC Vegas 37 DFS picks and top lineup. I’ll start with my three core daily fantasy MMA picks, and round things out with my favorite roster.
Ryan Spann ($7.1k)
Full disclosure, my overall track record with predicting main events isn’t the greatest. It’s picked up steam in recent weeks, of course, so maybe just ride with me.
The play here is three-fold; value, power, and upside.
This is a volatile pick, to be sure. Not only has the 30-year-old been finished four times in his career (3 by knockout), but he’s facing a very experienced fighter in Anthony Harris, and he’s the underdog.
Still, the savings and the ability for him to end this fight with one punch is too good to pass up.
Joaquin Buckley ($9.3k)
Buckley may feel like a name recognition play, but it’s all about KO ability. Yeah, he got finished by Alessio Di Chirico in his most recent fight, but this dude’s fights just don’t go the distance.
That makes him somewhat volatile given his hefty salary, but it’s MMA; everyone is volatile.
The reality is Buckley can finish his opponent at any point, and we all remember his most famous KO.
Impa Kasanganay happens to be on this card, by the way. Talk about awkward.
In all seriousness, Buckley is probably worth the price. He’s earned a KO win in four of his last six fights, and Antonio Arroyo hasn’t shown a whole lot in two UFC fights (0-2).
Finishing him could be easier said than done, but you’re paying for that chance and Buckley gives you it.
Ion Cutelaba ($9k)
The last time I vouched for Cutelaba, he got worked. His next fight, he had a draw against a solid fighter in Dustin Jacoby.
Cutelaba isn’t usually the guy you want to back to grind out a win, and he’s very much at risk of being finished every time out.
Cutelaba doesn’t always respond well when pressured, but if he’s the one initiating contact and being his aggressive self (and finding success) he’s a guy you want in your lineup.
Devin Clark doesn’t really have the same finishing power, and he’s been finished inside the distance five times already in his career.
There’s always an opportunity for Cutelaba to make me look silly again, but I can’t ignore his KO upside in this spot.
For a more detailed breakdown, check out this Ion Cutelaba vs. Devin Clark betting pick.
Top MMA DFS Lineup for UFC Fight Night
- Ryan Spann ($7.1k)
- Joaquin Buckley ($9.3k)
- Ion Cutelaba ($9k)
- Arman Tsarukyan ($9.6k)
- Carlston Harris ($7.3k)
- Nate Maness ($7k)
My core MMA DFS picks are all about upside. Spann is just too cheap given his main event status and power, while both Buckley and Cutelaba can end their respective fights in a hurry.
That trio is a great way to start your daily fantasy MMA lineups, especially on a slate that is otherwise full of landmines.
Elsewhere, I like Harris and Maness as solid values that can get the job done. Harris is probably the more well-rounded fighter against Impa Kansanganay, who is a bigger name than his talent has really shown.
He’s as battle tested as anyone, as his lone loss since 2015 came in a Decision against the great Islam Makhachev.
I’m assuming some risk with those two extra values, but I think it works, and I’ll eat the $700 in salary to ensure my squad is a bit different than most.
MMA Betting Advice for UFC Fight Night
My last set of MMA DFS picks were largely spot on, and that leaked into the betting realm, too. I also handed out seven suggested bets to target at the top UFC betting sites.
Of the lot, four got you a win, and one was a nice +152 underdog in Brunson.
As I’ve said before, my MMA DFS picks and bets won’t always align. Sometimes it’s due to price, other times it’s because a risky daily fantasy play is more about salary or upside, and the confidence just isn’t there for a stand alone bet.
With all of that in mind, here are my favorite bets for UFC Vegas 37.
If you need a visual of why MMA DFS and betting don’t always align, it’s this; I love Tsarukyan to get the win, but there’s no way I’m betting on his -850 odds.
I’m just one voice, of course.
Adam Haynes covers the MMA betting side a lot better than I do, so if you plan on betting on this week’s event, check out his UFC Vegas 37 betting predictions.