MMA DFS Picks and Top Lineup for UFC 268 – November 6, 2021

| November 6, 2021 7:04 am PDT

I thought the last UFC event was huge, but it might be outdone by UFC 268. It’s here and ready to rock your world on Saturday, November 6, and the only question is how you can profit from it.

To be frank, this card is so loaded, that it’s arguably the kind to take a break from any kind of betting and just enjoy. That’s the way to go for some people, but passing up a chance to win money and enjoy elite MMA action is pretty difficult.

Adam Haynes got the party started already with his UFC 268 betting guide. Hit that up for a breakdown of odds and advice, and then join me as I take a look at my favorite MMA DFS picks for Saturday night.

Top UFC 268 DFS Picks

MY MMA DFS picks were not entirely on point last week. Glover Teixeira scored a surprising submission to nab his first ever title belt, while my night was over pretty early on when Roman Kopylov lost.

He at least made it to a Decision, and the same can be said for Cory Sandhagen and Marcin Tybura. I did score wins with Islam Mackhachev and Khamzat Chimaev, though, so things weren’t quite as awful as they appeared.

Hopefully this week’s batch of MMA DFS picks can be a bit more successful. Here are my favorite three fighters to build around.

Phil Hawes ($9.4k)

It all starts with Hawes for me. There are a lot of fighters worth paying up for on this stacked card, but he may be one of the nastiest options.

He’s 3-0 since entering the UFC, and we know how powerful this guy can be. Hawes is also on an elite path, and he’s not shy about reminding everyone about it.

Hawes is also tough as nails, and he’s shown the ability to go the distance, while fending off some submission gurus in the process.

Chris Curtis may not be an easy task, but this is a tough UFC debut. I love Hawes to get the win, and it’ll likely be by KO.

Colby Covington ($6.9k)

He’s just too cheap. I’m not here to say that Covington is some smash play, and I also don’t necessarily think he’s the better fighter between him and Kamaru Usman.

However, Covington is a vicious fighter and he’s gotten to a stout 16-2 record for a reason. He also nearly made it five full rounds in his first meeting with Usman.

Usman won that fight, but these guys stood and traded a good amount, and it’s not like Usman just ran away with it in the first round.

Covington is good enough to stage the upset, and the risk is baked into this salary. Either he gets a finish of his own, he grinds out a Decision win, or he narrowly loses in a Decision.

That’s the plan, at least. At this price, I think he’s worth a roll of the dice.

Dustin Jacoby ($9.6k)

I think there is merit in doing all you can to get up to Hawes and Jacoby. Both of these guys are tough fighters who have the ability to end things early, or grind out wins.

Jacoby is coming in on short notice, of course.

Even so, Jacoby is the better fighter here, and he’s red hot after technically going 3-0-1 over his last four bouts. It’s come against solid competition, too.

Jacoby is just going to push the pace here, and he can incorporate nasty leg kicks. I think he’s going to be too much for John Allan.

My Favorite MMA DFS Lineup for 11/6

  • Phil Hawes ($9.4k)
  • Colby Covington ($6.9k)
  • Dustin Jacoby ($9.6k)
  • Bobby Green ($8.6k)
  • Rose Namajunas ($8.2k)
  • Michael Chandler ($7.3k)

Hawes, Covington, and Jacoby are all nasty fighters who can end their fights in the first round, and nobody would be shocked.

Covington is the only one of that trio who is a sizable underdog, but I don’t mind taking a shot there. This is the type of MMA DFS slate where some risks will need to be taken, and there’s just no way we don’t see some insane underdogs come through.

Covington might be one of them, but another could be Michael Chandler. Yes, he got KO’s by Charles Oliveira his last time out, but he was actually winning that fight before getting taken out.

Chandler was also a monster in Bellator, and let’s not forget what he did to Dan Hooker.

Turning around and doing that to Justin Gaethje is obviously a tall order. Chandler comes in as a rightful +179 betting dog, but he has a puncher’s chance here.

These guys are going to stand and trade at some point, and Chandler absolutely has the power to win this fight. It’s a gamble, but on this slate, it’s one of two necessary risks I’m pretty comfortable with.

Green and Rose round this MMA DFS lineup out with two rock solid options I think can grind out wins.

You know Green needs a Decision win to get it these days, but he has immense experience, and he hasn’t been finished since 2016.

Namajunas is similar, as she’s as battle tested as anyone. She offers more upside, as she did KO Weili Xhang in her last fight, and is 5-1 over her last six bouts. I like her in the rematch, even though the sportsbooks are going the other way.

UFC 268 Betting Advice

While I will always point you to Adam Haynes or our MMA betting picks page for UFC betting advice, I do tend to have a feel for things, as well.

You can always just roll with my MMA DFS picks in the betting world, but keep in mind that a smash play in DFS isn’t necessarily going to return much value at the top UFC betting sites.

I adjust things a bit for my suggested bets, but a lot of the logic remains the same. With that said, here are my favorite bets going into UFC 268.

  • Michael Chandler to Win (+179)
  • Rose Namajunas to Win (+110)
  • Colby Covington to Win (+235)
  • Phil Hawes by KO/TKO (+110)

Hopefully my UFC 268 DFS picks and top bets treat you well. Good luck with your bets and picks, and enjoy the fights!

Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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