Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat – NBA, September 8, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NBA
| September 8, 2020 12:38 am PDT

The Milwaukee Bucks bounced back from a 3-0 losing position and secured an overtime 118-115 win over the Miami Heat in Game 4. Mike Budenholzer’s side managed to do it without injured Giannis Antetokounmpo in the second half, but we’re going to see whether they can do it again if the Greek Freak is unable to feature on Tuesday. The Game 5 tip-off is set at 6:30 PM ET.

These conference rivals have met seven times this season, and the Heat are leading the series 5-2. Check out my Bucks vs. Heat betting pick.

Betting Odds for Bucks vs. Heat

Bucks +2 -110
Heat -2 -110
Bucks to win +120
Heat to win -133
Over 217 -110
Under 217 -110

The sportsbooks are favoring the Miami Heat again, mostly because they think Antetokounmpo will not be able to perform, or he will be limited on Tuesday. The spread on the Heat is set at -2, while the total is set at 217, which is somewhat lower than 220 from Game 4.

Three of four games in this series produced more than 217 points, so betting on Over is an option here. Still, if you don’t prefer betting on the spread or totals, please feel free to visit these top basketball betting sites and find additional markets and odds.

Bucks Analysis

Nobody expected the Bucks to win Game 3 after Giannis Antetokounmpo’s injury in the first half. The Greek didn’t return to the second 24 minutes, but Milwaukee forced overtime thanks to a free-throw by Donte DiVincenzo. The rivals played toe-to-toe in overtime, but Khris Middleton was too hot to handle and he led his team to the victory.

Middleton posted 36 points, eight rebounds, game-high eight assists, and two steals. Giannis finished the tilt with 19 points and four boards, Eric Bledsoe recorded a double-double of 14 points and team-high ten rebounds, along with six dimes, while Brook Lopez had 14 points and five boards.

Heat Analysis

Miami almost swept the Bucks in regulation when Tyler Herro hit a leading triple to make it 107-106 with only a few seconds to go, but Goran Dragic fouled DiVincenzo and sent him to the line. DiVincenzo hit one of two shots to send the game to the overtime, in which the Heat wasn’t in control and trailed for the most of it.

Bam Adebayo led the Heat with a double-double of 26 points and game-high 12 rebounds, along with team-high eight assists. Duncan Robinson added 20 points and five boards, Jae Crowder chipped in with 18 points and five rebounds, Goran Dragic had 17 points, eight dimes, and five boards, while Jimmy Butler ended the clash with 17 points, five rebounds, and two steals.

Prediction and Pick

If you read our betting picks on regular basis, you likely know I backed Milwaukee in Game 4, and I got it right, but this time around, I am going with the Heat. Even though it seemed the Bucks looked better without Giannis on the floor (the Bucks fans will definitely not agree), I don’t think they have a chance if Antetokounmpo is forced to miss Game 5.

Even if he plays, he will probably be limited, and the Heat has more players who can decide the game, so I am going with Erik Spoelstra’s side.

  • Miami Heat to win



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