Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds – MLB, June 10, 2021

| June 10, 2021 4:36 am PDT

The Milwaukee Brewers have really been in a groove lately. They stole game one of their series with the Cincinnati Reds, and they’ll look to stay hot on Thursday.

Milwaukee enters on fire, having won nine of their last 10, and they hold a tentative grasp on first place in the NL Central. Cincinnati plays host, with Luis Castillo trying to channel his old form in a plight to inch the Reds back to .500.

Wondering how to bet on this game? Read on for Thursday’s Brewers vs. Reds predictions and betting pick.

Brewers vs. Reds Odds for June 10

Brewers to Win-115
Reds to Win+105
Over 8.5-105
Under 8.5-115

Milwaukee has been the hottest team in baseball over the last two weeks, and the odds suggest they might be able to keep it going on Thursday.

Cincinnati does offer some value as a fun home dog, but they’ve only gone 12-15 at home. They’ll also be pushing Luis Castillo onto the mound, and he’s struggled as a whole in 2021.

The game total looks tricky. Milwaukee’s bats get a nice little bump, but both lineups could fire off in a park that’s good for hitting. Of course, Freddy Peralta is a big reason why the Brew Crew are road favorites.

At first glance, the game total feels a bit dicey. In theory, the pitching talent is good enough to get us under 8.5 runs easily, but the park and power on both sides make it a tough call.

The best bet may lie in simply deciding which team to back here.

Brewers vs. Reds Game Preview

The Brewers do not have an offense that strikes fear into the opposition. On the year, they rank in the bottom half of the league in runs scored and batting average.

However, Christian Yelich is back, and healthy, and the Brewers are starting to click at the plate. That’s played a key hand in their recent tear, and they’ve scored 5+ runs in four of their last five games.

Yelich alone always makes the Brewers a little threatening, and their sticks could have a fine day ahead of them here. Not only is the park helpful, but Luis Castillo (2-8, 6.63 ERA) has been extremely hittable all year.

He wasn’t able to take advantage of Milwaukee the last time he faced them, either.

On the other side, it’s considerably different. Freddy Peralta is missing bats at an elite rate, and he’s dazzled with a 2.25 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP, and 92 strikeouts across 64 innings this year.

Peralta handled the Reds decently the last time he faced them, and while he’s seen a dip on the road, it hasn’t been egregious.

It’s worth noting that he’s been a bit more vulnerable against lefties in 2021, which could potentially be an issue with guys like Jesse Winker and Joey Votto in the Reds’ lineup.

Betting Pick for Brewers vs. Reds Pick

The reality is that Peralta isn’t a good matchup for the Reds. He’s been silencing bats from both sides but is really putting the clamps down on righties.

Sure, he can walk some guys and sometimes has issues with left-handed hitters, but the Reds don’t have a super patient lineup, nor do they have a bunch of viable lefties to throw at Peralta.

I think he controls this game while the scorching hot Brewers could tattoo the struggling Castillo early.

The latter is giving up contact to everyone these days, while he’s not making righties miss consistently this year for some reason.

Yelich and Milwaukee’s left-handed bats should be fine here, but this could be a great spot for Willy Adames, Luis Urias, and Avisail Garcia to pop off. As noted, the total feels a bit trappy, but I love the Brew Crew to keep it going and get a nice road win.

Pick
  • Brewers to Win
    -115
Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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