Michigan State Spartans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes – College Football, Saturday, November 20, 2021

By Dan Vasta in College Football
| November 15, 2021 4:05 pm PDT

The season only has three weeks left and two for many teams that won’t be playing in December.

Both Ohio State and Michigan State hope they will be in Indianapolis for the first Saturday in December. A potential College Football Playoff would be on the line with a chance to at worst play in the Rose Bowl.

The loser of the Buckeyes and Spartans would be eliminated from the CFP and would need things to break their way to land a berth in Pasadena. Both offenses are explosive, so we should see some fireworks in Columbus.

The Big Ten has a few more showdowns in November. Here are your latest odds at SportsBetting.ag involved in the Big Ten East clash between Michigan State and Ohio State.

No. 7 Michigan State vs. No. 5 Ohio State

Michigan State (+19)-110
Ohio State (-19)-110
Michigan State to Win+650
Ohio State to Win-1000
Over 67-105
Under 67-115

The Buckeyes have covered their last four games against the Spartans. Ohio State has won 27 of their past 34 games against Michigan State and five in a row.

The past two games have been Buckeye domination. OSU has won by an average margin of victory of 34.5 points per game (82-13). Ohio State covered four games in a row, most of them rather convincingly.

Ohio State could have a letdown looking ahead to Michigan, but this is a Top 10 tussle that they should be ready for in Columbus. If you are unsure where to place a wager for the big game, check out the top college football betting sites. It is time to discuss the keys to victory in this Big Ten matchup.

Why Michigan State Will Win

Well, Sparty has their work cut out for them in this one Big Ten showdown at the Horseshoe. Quarterback Peyton Thorne must take care of the ball and dissect an Ohio State defense that has struggled throughout the season.

  • No. 108 Pass Defense (261.5 yards per game)
  • No. 55 Total Defense (367.4 yards per game)

Kenneth Walker has been a Heisman contender for most of the season. If he can run wild on the Buckeyes and bust loose into the secondary a few times, the Sparty offense will be too much for Ohio State to overcome.

Points will likely be flowing in this one. Avoiding the turnover bug and winning that battle is vital. The Buckeyes are one of the more opportunistic defenses in the country, so the defense will need to force C.J. Stroud into a few critical mistakes.

Walker is the top home-run hitter in the backfield, but the receivers will open more room in the ground game.

A victory would give them the Big Ten East crown and an opportunity to head to Indianapolis. Penn State follows Ohio State, but running the table would lock them in the College Football Playoff.

A victory would give them the Big Ten East crown and an opportunity to head to Indianapolis. Penn State follows Ohio State, but running the table would lock them in the College Football Playoff.

However, they are 19-point underdogs for a reason. Their defense has been too leaky in the secondary. They are going against one of the top offenses in the country. If they play opportunistic football, they have a shot at pulling the monumental upset.

Why Ohio State Will Win

Stroud is setting the world on fire in November. He has become the new favorite to win the Heisman entering the final three weeks. The numbers on the season are incredible, and he certainly has a case to win the Heisman.

  • 3,036 yards passing (No. 11)
  • 30 Pass TD (T-5th)
  • 337.8 yards per game (No. 9)

The FBS ranks for Stroud are great, but the weapons are even more impressive. Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, Jaxson Smith-Njigba, and TreVeyon Henderson are the top quartet in the country. All four are stars that will have the chance to shine in the NFL.

An opposing defense other than Georgia would be losing sleep going up against this squad. The Michigan State defense is still reeling from their Purdue performance.

On the season, Sparty ranks dead last against the pass. Allowing 329 yards per game is nearly 30 yards worse on average than any other team in the FBS. Duke is No. 129, but they allow under 305 yards per game.

The Buckeyes are sixth in passing offense, averaging 353.6 yards per game. MSU-OSU is a nightmare matchup, and the only prayer Sparty has is to outscore the offense leading America in scoring (46.3).

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Prediction

The winner of this game will be the favorite to represent the East division in the Big Ten title. There is a strong chance the winner will also represent the conference in the College Football Playoff.

Both offenses have playmakers, and we will not be witnessing a defensive slugfest that is 13-10. That score could be on the scoreboard after the first quarter.

Ohio State is capable of hanging 50-burgers on most Big Ten teams. I foresee this one being competitive, but the Buckeyes have the better defense.

Their ability to control the line of scrimmage and be more balanced on both sides of the ball should allow them to win by two-plus scores.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Pick

Pick
  • Michigan State (+19)
    -110

MSU-OSU will be a treat. The Spartans have their best season going since 2015, and the Spartan offense should keep it competitive. Avoiding a disastrous start will be pivotal towards their chances of covering the spread. I believe in Kenneth Walker and the rushing attack being able to chew some clock out in the first half.

I look for Sparty to stay in this game until late in the fourth quarter when the Buckeyes make a few more plays on both sides of the ball to escape with a two-score victory.

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