Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes – College Football, November 7, 2020
Rocky Lombardi leads the Spartans into Kinnick Stadium in search of a second consecutive big-time road win. The Hawkeyes are in desperate need of a victory after dropping their first two Big Ten games.
Will Mel Tucker’s pass-heavy offense be able to succeed in Iowa City, or is this the time we see Kirk Ferentz and company start to right the ship?
Let’s find out with a Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction.
Michigan State vs. Iowa Odds
After opening as a 9-point favorite at lots of the top college football betting sites, the line in Iowa City has been bet down through the key number of 7 and is now at 6.5.
Why has this transpired?
Look no further than MSU’s victory over Michigan coupled with Iowa losing at home to Northwestern.
What the Spartans Do Well
Air out the pigskin. Brian Lewerke moving on opened the door for Rocky Lombardi, and the 6’4” junior signal-caller is running with his opportunity. Back-to-back 300+ yard games with 3 passing TDS in each, the Spartans offense is cruising.
Lombardi’s ascension has been a pleasant surprise, but unfortunately, a big reason why he’s been asked to carry the load is due to the ineptitude of Michigan State’s running game. 77 carries for 176 yards through two games equates to a putrid 2.3 yards per carry.
Entering a gauntlet of B1G games, that doesn’t bode well.
What the Hawkeyes Do Well
Start fast. The Hawkeyes led Purdue at halftime in the opener. Iowa jumped on Northwestern 17-0 by the time the third quarter had begun. Getting out of the gates hasn’t been an issue for Spencer Petras and his crew, but they’ve been abominable in the second half.
As in – the Hawkeyes have the same number of second-half points this season as they do turnovers (3).
Petras has already attempted 89 passes through the first two games (53.9% completion rate), and now he’ll be asked to push the ball down the field without his top wideout.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette was pulled over for driving 74 mph in a 30 mph zone and then blew a 0.13% on a blood-alcohol test. https://t.co/5DRTtGHhi5— USA TODAY Sports (@usatodaysports) November 1, 2020
Saturday would be a good time for RB Tyler Goodson to break out.
Michigan State vs. Iowa Pick
Everything on paper points toward backing the Spartans in a Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction. Then again, I can’t envision the Hawkeyes starting 0-3 and losing at home for the second straight week.
Rocky Lombardi only completed 53.1% of this throws last weekend, and I can assure that Kirk Ferentz’s defense is going to come out like gangbusters. As I alluded to in these Big Ten predictions for Saturday, Iowa’s secondary has been resilient against the pass. Throwing different looks at Lombardi and forcing MSU to run the football – that’s the Hawkeyes path to victory.
Look for Iowa to cover in what’s essentially a must-win game for this program.
More NCAAF Picks on November 7
Maybe you agree with my Michigan State vs. Iowa pick, maybe you don’t. Here are three more college football predictions for November 7 – perhaps they’re right up your alley.