Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos – NFL Week 11, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| November 16, 2020 12:08 pm PDT

The Miami Dolphins are in excellent form at the moment as they secured five consecutive wins, including the most recent one over the Los Angeles Chargers at home. After losing three of the opening four games of the season, only a few believed the Dolphins can bounce back in such a manner, but they did it, and now are serious candidates to make it to the playoffs. Miami now improved to a 6-3 record and is in 2nd place in the AFC East, with a win behind the Buffalo Bills.

The Denver Broncos, on the other hand, displayed another weak defensive performance in a heavy loss to the divisional rivals Oakland Raiders on the road. The playoffs are far away from them this year, and Denver can already turn to the next season, but the fighting spirit is what makes this franchise well-known, and they will not give up without a fight. Denver dropped to a 3-6 record and is in 3rd place in the AFC West with five wins behind the Kansas City Chiefs. Here is my Dolphins vs. Broncos betting preview.

Dolphins vs. Broncos Odds

Dolphins +3-110
Broncos -3-110
Dolphins to win-145
Broncos to win+140
Over 44.5-110
Under 44.5-110

A Strong Dolphins First Half Leads to a Win Over Chargers

The Miami Dolphins continued with strong offensive displays in a 29-21 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. They scored 17 points in the opening half and it looked that the game was won after the first 15 minutes and a 14-0 lead for the hosts. It was pretty much eve game in all segments, but we all know that the Chargers don’t know how to win close games and that’s why they dropped to a 2-7 record.

Tua Tagovailoa completed 15 of 25 passes for 169 yards and two touchdowns. He connected with Jakeem Grant (four catches for 43 yards) and Durham Smythe (two receptions for nine yards) in the endzone. Salvon Ahmed led all the rushers with 85 yards and a score on 21 attempts, while Raekwon Davis and Elandon Roberts were strong on defense with seven tackles apiece.

The Dolphins are the 9th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 27.9 points per game, 26th in passing yards (219.4), 28th in rushing yards (98.7), while they have the 5th defense that allows 20.2 points per contest.

Broncos Disappointed in a Loss to the Raiders

The Denver Broncos allowed 30+ points for the fourth consecutive time and this time around, they lost 37-12 to the divisional rivals Las Vegas Raiders. Once again, turnovers were costly to the Broncos, who committed even five of them opposite none by the Raiders. Despite having only one first down fewer than the hosts, the Broncos deserved to lose the second game in a row.

Drew Lock completed 23 of 47 passes for 257 yards, one touchdown, and career-high four interceptions. His lone TD pass went to DaeSean Hamilton, who finished the game with 33 yards on four receptions. Jerry Jeudy led all the receivers with four catches for 68 yards, Tim Patrick had 61 yards on four catches, while KJ Hamler added 50 yards on four receptions. Melvin Gordon III posted 46 yards on the ground on 11 carries. On the defensive end, Alexander Johnson and Josey Jewell were rock solid with double-digit tackles as they combined for 22.

The Broncos are the 28th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 20.7 points per game, 23rd in passing yards (227.4), 19th in rushing yards (106.6), while they have the 26th defense that allows 28.2 points per contest.

Dolphins vs. Broncos Betting Pick

Pick
  • Miami Dolphins -3
    -110

Even though I expect the Broncos to bounce back in this one, Drew Lock has a tough matchup against Miami’s secondary that allowed only 187 passing yards to Justin Herbert in a win over the Chargers. Considering Herbert has been in a better form than Lock this season, I wouldn’t be surprised f the Dolphins keep Denver’s QB to below 200 yards. Miami is red-hot right now, and I am backing them to secure the sixth consecutive win on Sunday.

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