Melbourne Victory vs. Western United – A-League, Wednesday, March 23, 2022

| March 22, 2022 12:34 am PDT

The two best defenses in the A-League go head-to-head this Wednesday, March 23, as Melbourne Victory welcomes Western United to AAMI Park.

Having conceded 18 goals, Victory sits sixth on the A-League ladder. On the flip side, Western sits second – ten points ahead of Victory – after conceding just 17 goals in 17 games this season.

You can find my Melbourne Victory vs. Western United prediction below, along with a free betting pick. First, let’s check out the A-League odds for Wednesday’s clash.

Melbourne Victory vs. Western United Odds

Melbourne Victory to Win1.91
The Draw3.30
Western United to Win4.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.91
Under 2.5 Goals1.91

Despite Western’s ten-point lead over Victory, the A-League betting sites view Tony Popovic’s side as the favorite to win this one. It is worth noting that Victory is currently enjoying a four-game unbeaten streak.

That said, John Aloisi’s boys have lost just one of their previous ten games – picking up six wins and three draws in the process. For that reason, the visitors will fancy their chances of upsetting the A-League odds at AAMI Park.

I have also included a couple of goal-based markets here. Since both sides have strong defenses, the under 2.5 goals wager is definitely worth considering.

Melbourne Victory Team News and Analysis

A five-game winless run across January and February ruined Victory’s strong start to the season. The Boys in Blue lost just one of their opening eight games before recording two draws and three straight losses.

However, they appear to have turned the corner in recent weeks. Following back-to-back wins over Central Coast Mariners and Macarthur FC, they notched successive draws earlier this month.

Last weekend, Popovic’s men extended their unbeaten streak to four games with a 1-1 in the Melbourne Derby. Despite seeing just 39% of the ball, they created the lion’s share of goalscoring opportunities.

It is worth pointing out that Melbourne City is 11 points ahead of Victory on the A-League ladder. Although the Boys in Blue struggled to gain possession, they were able to rack up 11 shots.

Only four teams have scored more goals than Victory’s 21 this season. Still, the Melbourne outfit boasts the second-best defensive record in the competition. Having conceded a measly 18 goals, Victory will be confident of frustrating Western.

Western United Team News and Analysis

Western headed into last weekend’s clash against Syndey FC on a nine-game unbeaten streak. Thanks to a run of six wins and three draws, the Green & Black was keeping pace with Melbourne City.

However, Western ended up suffering a 3-0 loss to the Sky Blues last time out. Not only did Aloisi’s boys see 45% of the ball, but they also managed just two shots on target.

That said, they have only lost four of their 17 A-League encounters this season – securing ten wins and three draws along the way. Having picked up more wins than anyone else, they should get back on track in no time at all.

If Victory’s defensive record is good, then Western’s is phenomenal. While Victory has conceded 18 goals in 15 matches, Western has conceded 17 in 17. To put things into perspective, first-place Melbourne City has conceded 27 goals!

As a result, only seven of Western’s 17 encounters have produced over 2.5 goals. It is also worth pointing out that Western has kept eight clean sheets this season.

Melbourne Victory vs. Western United Prediction

All the signs point towards a low-scoring clash here. We all know that Victory and Western boast solid defensive records, but they also struggle to score goals at times.

As I already mentioned, ten of Western’s 17 games have dished up under 2.5 goals. On the flip side, seven of Victory’s 15 games have produced under 2.5 goals. I think you know where I’m going with this, right?

Given that Western leads Victory by ten points on the A-League ladder, the visitors could – and probably should – claim all three points on Wednesday. Still, the hosts look set to put up a good fight.

Melbourne Victory vs. Western United Betting Pick

Pick
  • Under 2.5 Goals
    1.91

If you’re feeling brave, I recommend backing Western at 4.00. Aloisi’s men have lost just one of their previous ten matches and have secured more wins than any other side this season.

That said, the under 2.5 goals wager is my Melbourne Victory vs. Western United betting pick. This is destined to be a low-scoring affair, so opting for the under 2.5 goals market feels like the smart move here.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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