Melbourne Victory vs. Western United Betting Preview – A-League, February 27, 2021

| February 25, 2021 8:05 am PDT

Victory ended a three-game losing streak with a 2-0 win over Wellington Phoenix on Wednesday. Next up, Grant Brebner’s men face Melbourne rivals Western United.

The two sides clash at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, February 27, with just one point between them on the A-League ladder. However, Mark Rudan’s men have two games in hand over Victory.

Keep reading to see my Melbourne Victory vs. Western United prediction and betting pick. But first, let’s take a look at the bookmakers’ odds.

Melbourne Victory vs. Western United Odds

Melbourne Victory to Win2.75
The Draw3.15
Western United to Win2.55

As you can see, the leading online sportsbooks can barely separate these teams, making the tasty price for the draw (3.15) stand out at first glance.

Western United (2.55) heads into Saturday’s clash as the marginal favorite, while Melbourne Victory (2.75) is the narrow outsider. But the odds gap is super small here.

Let’s not forget that these two sides produced a goalless draw less than a month ago.

Melbourne Victory vs. Western United Match Analysis

Following three straight defeats at the hands of Brisbane, Western Sydney, and Newcastle, Victory finally returned to winning ways last time out.

Despite seeing just 40% possession and facing 18 shots against the Nix, two quick-fire goals from Rudy Gestede on either side of half-time handed Brebner’s side a much-needed three-point haul on Wednesday.

The Boys in Blue moved off the bottom of the ladder after securing just their second win in eight matches this season, leapfrogging Wellington in the process. Still, they remain the lowest scorers in the league, having netted just seven times this term.

Gestede will now be looking to kick on after opening his A-League account. The former EPL forward joined Victory from Championship team Middlesbrough during the offseason but has already spent three games on the sidelines through injury.

If Gestede and other new arrivals like Callum McManaman and Jacob Butterfield all start clicking at the same time, Victory will surely begin to move up the ladder.

After winning just one of their opening five matches this season, Rudan’s side also heads into Saturday’s clash on the back of an important victory.

Besart Berisha became the second-highest scorer in A-League history by netting a double against Macarthur last weekend, with goals from Iker Guarrotxena and Dylan Pieiras sealing a comfortable 4-1 win for the Green & Black.

Third-bottom Western United may only sit one point ahead of second-bottom Victory. But given that Rudan’s men have two games in hand over their rivals, the ladder isn’t exactly a fair reflection of where the teams are at right now.

Looking at the bigger picture – Western United has only lost two games this term, while Victory has already suffered five defeats.

It is also worth noting that only four A-League sides have scored more goals than the Green & Black this season. Granted, the team’s defensive efforts haven’t been outstanding. But Rudan’s men have proved that they can outscore their opponents.

Melbourne Victory vs. Western United Prediction and Pick

  • Western United to Win

Western United edged the possession stats and recorded 15 shots against Melbourne Victory when the two sides met at the end of January. However, the Boys in Blue managed to hold on to claim a goalless draw.

This time around, I’m expecting Rudan’s side to get the better of Victory.

At the end of the day, Brebner’s men have only managed to win two of their eight outings this season. They also have the second-worst defensive record in the league, so I’m backing free-scoring United to expose Victory’s leaky backline on Saturday.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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