Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City Betting Preview – A-League, March 6, 2021

| March 3, 2021 9:42 am PDT

The first Melbourne Derby of the 2020/21 A-League season takes place on Saturday, March 6, as Victory and City clash at Marvel Stadium.

Victory find themselves rooted to the foot of the ladder following just two wins in nine games. Meanwhile, back-to-back wins have seen City climb to seventh – five points ahead of their rivals.

Who will claim the Melbourne bragging rights this time around? I discuss the bookmakers’ odds before sharing my Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City prediction and betting pick.

Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City Odds

Melbourne Victory to Win3.25
The Draw3.75
Melbourne City to Win2.00

It is hardly surprising that 10bet views Melbourne City (2.00) as the favorite to win this one. After all, Patrick Kisnorbo’s men head into Saturday’s showdown on the back of two impressive wins.

On the flip side, Victory (3.25) have suffered four defeats in their previous five outings. There is a reason why the Boys in Blues currently sit bottom of the standings.

Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City Match Analysis

Following three straight defeats at the hands of Brisbane, Western Sydney, and Newcastle, Victory managed to secure a solid 2-0 win over Wellington at the end of February.

New signing Rudy Gestede marked his return from injury by scoring twice against the Nix, while Grant Brebner’s men notched up 17 shots – eight of which were on target.

But having shown plenty of promising signs in the win over Wellington, the Boys in Blue were brought back down to earth by Western United last weekend.

Gestede got on the scoresheet against last time out, along with Callum McManaman and Jacob Butterfield. However, Besart Berisha and Victor Sanchez both bagged braces, with the latter netting a 95th-minute winner.

Brebner’s men just can’t seem to move away from the bottom of the A-League standings. Unfortunately for them, their recent record against City isn’t pretty. Indeed, they have only managed to win one of the last six meetings with their bitter rivals.

VICTORY VS. CITY HEAD-TO-HEAD (MELBOURNE DERBY RESULTS SINCE 2018)
Date Result
February 7, 2020 Melbourne City 2-1 Melbourne Victory
December 21, 2019 Melbourne City 1-2 Melbourne Victory
October 12, 2019 Melbourne Victory 0-0 Melbourne City
February 23, 2019 Melbourne Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
December 22, 2018 Melbourne City 1-1 Melbourne Victory
October 20, 2018 Melbourne Victory 1-2 Melbourne City

Kisnorbo’s men can take confidence from the fact that they boast a solid recent record when it comes to the Melbourne Derby. But as you can see from the table above, each of the previous six encounters have been close.

Not only have all of the last six Melbourne Derbies produced under 3.5 goals, but the winner has always triumphed by just a single goal.

City’s current record of W4-D0-L4 suggests that the team has been wildly inconsistent this season. That is probably a fair assessment, although there is no denying that Kisnorbo’s side has looked much stronger in recent games.

City ended a run of three straight defeats by beating Sydney FC 3-2 a fortnight ago. Last time out, consecutive victories were achieved with a 2-0 win over the Wanderers.

Jamie Maclaren has netted twice in each of the past two matches, taking his tally to seven goals and two assists in eight games this term. Having scored four goals in his last two outings, the forward is arguably the league’s in-form player right now.

Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City Pick

Pick
  • Melbourne City to Win
    2.00

Given that Victory has suffered six defeats in nine games this season, odds of 2.00 for the City win seem too good to miss here. Let’s not forget that Kisnorbo’s men also head into Saturday’s game on the back of successive wins.

With Maclaren rediscovering the kind of goalscoring form that saw him clinch the Golden Boot last season, I’m expecting City to retain the Melbourne bragging rights at Marvel Stadium.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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