Melbourne City vs. Newcastle Jets – A-League, April 29, 2021

| April 28, 2021 3:53 am PDT

It’s top against bottom in the A-League on Thursday, April 29, as high-flying Melbourne City welcomes lowly Newcastle to AAMI Park.

Having lost just one of their last 11 matches (eight wins, two draws), City is the bookies’ clear favorite to claim all three points. On the flip side, the Jets are currently enduring a ten-match winless run (two draws, eight losses).

In this Melbourne City vs. Newcastle Jets betting preview, I look at both sides, discuss the odds, and share my prediction and pick for Thursday’s A-League clash.

Will Melbourne City Claim the Points?

Patrick Kisnorbo’s men registered their second draw in three games last weekend. Macarthur held City to a 1-1 draw at Campbelltown Stadium, with the Bulls converting their only shot on target.

Regardless of the recent draws, City is still in pole position to clinch the A-League premiership.

Not only have last year’s runners-up lost one of their previous 11 outings, but they have also picked up eight wins in that time. Let’s not forget that City has also crushed Victory 6-0 and 7-0 in the past couple of months.

The team’s ruthlessness – especially in attack – has been frightening lately. We all know that Jamie Maclaren is on fire right now, with 19 goals in 17 games this term. But guys like Craig Noone (five goals, six assists) and Conor Metcalfe (four goals, three assists) have been chipping in, too.

Even if Kisnorbo’s men aren’t at their best on Thursday, they shouldn’t struggle to overcome struggling Newcastle.

Can the Jets End Their Winless Run?

Newcastle kicked off the campaign with four straight losses before enjoying a five-match unbeaten streak across January and February. But it’s been all downhill since then.

The Jets suffered a club-record seven-game losing run between February and April, with back-to-back draws against Perth and Macarthur briefly stopping the rot. However, they swiftly returned to losing ways last time out.

Despite racking up 13 shots on Monday, Newcastle failed to score against Western United. Nikolai Topor-Stanley netted an own goal, with Dylan Pierias capping off a 2-0 win for the Green & Black.

Given that Victory has recently picked up a couple of positive results, Craig Dean’s men now find themselves rooted to the foot of the A-League ladder.

Having scored just 16 goals in 19 matches this season, it is hardly surprising the Newcastle is stuck at the bottom of the pile.

Melbourne City vs. Newcastle Jets Odds

Melbourne City to Win1.28
The Draw6.00
Newcastle Jets to Win9.00

Even top betting sites haven’t sprung any surprises with their odds for this clash.

As expected, Melbourne City (1.28) is the obvious favorite to claim all three points on Thursday, while Newcastle (9.00) is the rank outsider.

Although the big odds for the draw (6.00) may seem tempting, it is important to remember that City currently boasts a massive 19-point lead over the Jets.

City vs. Jets Prediction and Betting Pick

Pick
  • Melbourne City to Win
    1.28

Don’t get me wrong; I would love to make a case for Newcastle upsetting the odds here. Unfortunately, I can’t see it happening.

Given that Deans’ men have failed to win any of their previous ten games, the last thing they need right now is a trip to AAMI Park. The Jets will be desperate to end their winless run, but that isn’t likely to happen against City.

Kisnorbo’s side is on a completely different level to Newcastle at the moment, so I’m backing the hosts to overcome the visitors with ease on Thursday.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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