Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs – March 25, 2021

By Dean McHugh in NBA
| March 25, 2021 5:30 am PDT

Second, in the Pacific Division takes on second in the Southwest Division in this Western Conference matchup. Although both teams sit second in their respective Divisions, there is a clear gap between them in the Western Conference.  The Clippers currently occupy third place and are hot on the heels of the second-placed Suns. While the Spurs are down in eighth, a win here will put them level with seventh-placed Dallas, so both teams have plenty of incentive tonight.

The Clippers have won three of the last four meetings between the two teams, with the last of those being played only yesterday. LA put on a clinic yesterday and ran out 33 point winners in a very one-sided game in which they won every quarter. The Clippers have now scored exactly 134 points in two games in a row against the Spurs. Can they make it three in a row tonight?

Here are the game odds, my team analysis, and betting prediction.

Clippers vs. Spurs Match Odds

Clippers -6-110
Spurs +6-110
Clippers To Win-240
Spurs To Win+220
Over 221.5 Points-110
Under 221.5 Points-110

Despite the enormous margin victory for the Spurs yesterday, the bookmakers have kept the spread precisely the same as it was last night for tonight’s game which I find odd. What’s even more bizarre is they had cut the points total by half a point when last night’s game went 13 points over the total. This means there is plenty of value in this game, and we, therefore, have any avenues to explore.

Clippers Analysis

The Clippers have now made it three comfortable wins in a row, and given the ease they won last night’s game against the Spurs, they should be confident of making it four tonight.

LA has been decent on the road this season and has won 14 of their 24 away fixtures. Although they have won two of their previous three matches on the road, if you look at the bigger picture, it tells a different story as they have only won two of their last seven away trips. The last time they had a back-to-back doubleheader on the road, they won the first game against the Mavericks but lost the second. This suggests they haven’t been entirely as consistent on the road recently as they have been earlier in the season.

Here are the latest betting trends for Los Angeles:

Against The Spread

  • They have won four of their previous five games.
  • The Clippers have lost five of their last seven matches on the road.

Points Total

  • Four of their last six games against teams from the Southwest Division have gone under the betting total.

Other Pointers

  • They have only lost two of their previous seven games against the Spurs.
  • LA is 11-5 in their last 16 matches against opponents in the Western Conference.

The Clippers have an excellent offense that has shot accurately throughout the season, especially from deep, where they have the league’s best success rate. They also have the best shooting figures from the three-throw line, so the Spurs will have to try and stay disciplined against them, which they failed to do yesterday.

They retain possession well and control the ball effortlessly, often taking the game away from their opposition. This is an area that the Spurs like to dominant as well, and when they couldn’t do so, you saw what happened last night.

Despite not always marking their opponents too well, they have a solid defense that presses their opponents all over the court, often forcing many errors along the way.

Ex-Spurs player Kawhi Leonard returned to the city where he made his name last night, and he certainly reminded the San Antonio fans what they are missing out on. If he produces much the same here, then the Spurs could be in for a long night.

The Clippers have two players listed as questionable to feature tonight, and they are Ibaka and Beverley, who are both nursing injuries.

Spurs Analysis

The Spurs’ recent form has been the complete opposite of the Clippers and their defeat last night made it three losses in a row. This is their worst losing run of the year, and they will be hoping to snap the streak immediately.

Oddly San Antonio has performed better on the road than they have at home this season. Their home record stands at a negative 10-12 from their 22 matches played to date. They have failed to post back-to-back wins at home since the beginning of February, highlighting their inconstancies at home recently.

Here are the latest betting trends for San Antonio:

Against The Spread

  • They have only lost two old their previous six matches.
  • The Spurs have lost four of their last five games played at home on a Thursday night.

Points Total

  • Seven of their last ten games at home have gone under the betting total.
  • Only one of their previous nine matches against teams from the west coast has failed to go under the points total.

Other Pointers

  • San Antonio is 4-9 in their last 13 games against opponents based in the Pacific Division.
  • They have only won one of their previous seven matches played on a Thursday.

The Spurs are lacking in attack this season and have only averaged 109 points per game. This is probably the reason they are scrambling to make some deadline-day trades. The Spurs are not renowned for making waves this late in the day, but they want to finish the season strong and head into the playoffs with a decent chance of making a good impression.

As previously mentioned, the Spurs use the ball very well and have made the second-lowest number of turnovers this season. However, they lost their way against the Clippers yesterday, which they will need to rectify.

Thankfully for them, their defense has been much better and matches up well with the Clippers’ offense as they are both currently ranked eighth in the league.

The Spurs are usually among the most disciplined teams in the league and are very controlled in their defensive approach. We will undoubtedly need to see that tonight if they are to stand any chance of turning the 33 point deficit around from last night.

Aldridge will miss tonight’s game as they look to try and trade him on deadline day. There are also fitness concerns over Gay, Bates-Diop, and Walker.

Clippers vs. Spurs Betting Pick

Pick
  • Clippers -6
    -110

The Spurs appear to be waiting for something to happen at the moment rather than making it happen themselves, and for that reason, they could struggle again tonight. They appear distracted in the lead-up to the trade deadline, which is unlike them as they are usually so focused on the task at hand. For a side that bases most of their game on being disciplined in defense, this is a crucial floor and the reason they are likely to suffer another heavy defeat tonight. Especially against a team as ruthless as the Clippers, they go for the kill if they smell blood.

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