Ligue 1 Predictions and Betting Picks – August 30, 2020
Following a disrupted start to the 2020/21 season, Ligue 1 finally dishes up a decent fixture list for us to get our teeth into on Sunday. In total, there are six games taking place across France’s top division on August 30, with last term’s runner-up Marseille opening their account.
Here is Sunday’s Ligue 1 schedule in full.
- Reims vs. Lille
- St-Etienne vs. Lorient
- Metz vs. Monaco
- Angers vs. Bordeaux
- Nantes vs. Nimes
- Brest vs. Marseille
Along with Marseille, St-Etienne and Metz will also be playing their first game of the new season on Sunday, facing Lorient and Monaco respectively. Newly-promoted Lorient kicked off their campaign with an impressive victory over Strasbourg last weekend, while Monaco drew with Reims.
Elsewhere, Brest will be looking to bounce back from an opening-day defeat, with Nimes and Angers both aiming to secure back-to-back wins. Bordeaux and Nantes both drew last time out.
Keep reading to see my predictions for all six Ligue 1 games on August 30. I also share my best value betting picks for Saturday’s action at the end of this post, so make sure you don’t miss out on those.
Reims and Lille to Draw
Reims appeared to be heading for a comfortable victory last weekend. The Red and Whites raced into a 2-0 lead against Monaco with little over 20 minutes on the clock, but a spirited comeback from the home side saw the game finish 2-2. David Guion’s side eventually ended up with just 23% possession, while Monaco racked up 22 shots.
However, it was by no means a bad start to 2020/21 for Reims. Guion’s men secured Europa League soccer with a sixth-place finish last term, so they will be aiming to produce a similar showing this time around. Let’s not forget that the Grand-Est outfit boasted the best defensive record in the division last season.
Lille finished two places and eight points ahead of Reims last term, but Les Dogues also kicked off their campaign with a draw. Despite taking the lead against Rennes, Lille failed to hold onto their advantage and ended up conceding late on. Still, manager Christophe Galtier will surely be happy with his side’s efforts.
I can see these teams drawing again this weekend. Both sides possess sturdy defenses, but neither team is particularly strong in attack.
St-Etienne to Beat Lorient
St-Etienne finished all the way down in seventeenth place last season, and if the 2019/20 campaign wasn’t curtailed, Claude Puel’s side could have easily dropped into the relegation zone. The Greens endured a torrid time last term, so they will be desperate to make amends this year.
Puel’s men can take confidence from the fact that they pushed PSG all the way in the Coupe de France final last month. Neymar scored early on for the Parisians, but St-Etienne battled hard and created plenty of goalscoring opportunities. That was the Greens’ first competitive game for over five months, and they haven’t played since.
Lorient could hardly have dreamed of a better start to their comeback campaign in Ligue 1. The club was promoted from the second tier last season and made light work of Strasbourg last weekend. The newcomer went behind before the break, but three second-half goals handed Lorient all three points.
The Merlucciidaes will be full of belief following their well-earned win, but I can see them struggle to deal with St-Etienne. The Greens will be eager to begin this season better than they finished the last one, so I think the home side will edge this game.
Monaco to Beat Metz
Monaco may have been forced to come from two goals down to snatch a draw against Reims last weekend, but there were plenty of positive signs for the principality club. Under new boss Niko Kovac, the team is already showing signs of improvement.
The 2016/17 champion is the only team to have stopped PSG from winning the Ligue 1 title in the past eight years, but the Monegasques endured a woeful 2019/20 campaign and eventually finished ninth. However, with a new manager at the helm, Monaco appears to be heading in the right direction again.
The Maroons finished fifteenth last term, although they were only six points behind Monaco when the campaign was brought to an end. Metz actually conceded nine fewer goals than Monaco, but Vincent Hogonon’s men were nowhere near the Monegasques in term of scoring. In fact, only two teams scored fewer Ligue 1 goals than Metz last term.
Metz is yet to play a game this season, so it’s difficult to know what to expect from Hognon’s side. I was very impressed with Monaco’s spirited comeback against Reims last time out, so I’m backing Kovac to pick up his first competitive win as Monaco manager on Sunday.
Angers to Beat Bordeaux
Ismael Traore failed to score a single goal in 23 league appearances last season. But 22 minutes into the 2020/21 campaign, the veteran forward opened his account. Traore’s goal proved to be the difference between Angers and Dijon on the opening weekend, although Stephane Moulin’s men could have scored more.
Angers was flying high in the Champions League places for the first half the previous campaign before a run of one win in 11 games sent the club plummeting down the table. Still, the Black and Whites ended the season on a high with three straight wins. Thankfully, Angers appears to have picked up where they left off last term.
Meanwhile, I think Jean Louis Gasset’s men can count themselves pretty fortunate to have claimed a point on the opening day. Bordeaux has Mehdi Zerkane sent off after just 20 minutes against Nantes, but the team managed to hold on to secure a draw.
The Girondins finished one place behind Angers last season, with just two points separating the sides. Having said that, it did feel likes Angers enjoyed a far more successful campaign than Bordeaux. Gasset’s men simply can’t afford to draw as many games as they did in 2019/20 this time around. Only two teams tied more games than Bordeaux last term.
I’m expecting Angers to build on their opening-day win by sealing another victory on Sunday.
Nantes to Beat Nimes
Nantes failed to make the most of their one-man advantage against Bordeaux. The Canaries played the majority of that game against ten man, but they offered very little in attack. Indeed, Nantes only managed to register one shot on target last time out.
Manager Christian Gourcuff will surely be disappointed that his team was unable to make the most of the situation, although I don’t think he will be overly unhappy to be heading into Matchday 2 unbeaten. The Brittany club finished ten points ahead of Nimes last season, so Nantes will be confident of picking up all three points on Sunday.
At the same time, Nimes will be hopeful of sealing consecutive wins after crushing Brest 4-0 last weekend. First-half goals from Kevin Denkey and Birger Meling saw Nimes go into the break with a comfortable lead, with Romain Philippoteaux and Moussa Kone capping of the victory in the second half.
Thanks to their superior goal difference, the Crocodiles are sitting at the top of the pile at the moment. But I can’t see that lasting for much longer. Nimes narrowly avoided relegation last season, so I’m backing Nantes to put an end to their dream start.
Marseille to Beat Brest
Marseille was supposed to kick off the 2020/21 campaign with a game against St-Etienne last Friday, but the season opener was postponed due to health and safety concerns. Nevertheless, the south coast club finally opens their account on Sunday, this time against Brest.
It’s fair to say that Andre Villas-Boas’ side was the second-best team in France last season. OM is definitely moving in the right direction under the guidance of the former Chelsea and Tottenham manager, and there is no denying that Marseille deserved to finish runner-up to PSG last term.
Of course, the Olympians are yet to play a game this season. However, I can’t help but fear the worst for Brest this weekend. The Pirates were thrashed 4-0 by a relatively average Nimes outfit last time out, so just imagine what Marseille can do to them!
It’s still early days, but it’s never nice to start the season with a heavy loss. Olivier Dall’Oglio’s side has clearly gotten off on the wrong foot, so I’m expecting Marseille to inflict another high-scoring defeat on the Pirates.
Ligue 1 Betting Picks for Sunday, August 30
I have found two bets for Sunday’s Ligue 1 games that offer excellent value. Here are my betting picks for France’s top-flight action on August 30.
Angers vs. Bordeaux
Angers to Win2.20
I think the price for the home win is really good here. Angers brushed aside Dijon with relative ease last weekend, and the Black and Whites definitely should have scored more than one goal. Meanwhile, Bordeaux could only manage a goalless draw with Nantes.
Angers scored a lot fewer goals than Bordeaux last season, but Moulin’s men finished the campaign with a better defensive record than the Girondins. Considering that you can more than double your money by backing the home side to win this game, this bet seems like a no-brainer to me.
Metz vs. Monaco
Over 2.5 Goals1.95
I predicted that Monaco will be Metz, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the host gets something from this game. The principality team produced an erratic performance on the opening day but eventually managed to secure a 2-2 draw with Reims.
Monaco is the favorite to win this clash at 2.00, with Metz the outsider at 3.60. However, I recommend going with the over 2.5 goals market here. Monaco was the second-highest scorer in Ligue 1 last season, but only three teams conceded more goals.
Remember to only wager on Ligue 1 with the best online sports betting sites.