Prediction for Lightning vs. Avalanche Game 5 – 2022 Stanley Cup Finals

| June 23, 2022 8:41 am PDT

The Colorado Avalanche are one win away from their first championship since 2001. Colorado had a comeback effort in Game 4, with Nazem Kadri being the hero in overtime. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Lightning are on the brink of elimination.

Tampa Bay has to win three straight games, including two in Colorado, to win their third straight championship. Does your Lightning vs. Avalanche pick feature a Game 6?

The Lightning vs. Avalanche betting odds had Game 4 as a toss-up. Let’s see how they view Game 5.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Odds for Game 5

Sportsbook Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche Bonus Offered
Bovada (+145) (-170) 50% up to $250
BetOnline (+155) (-172) 60% up to $1,000
BetUS (+155) (-175) 125% up to $2,500
MyBookie (+145) (-175) 100% up to $1,000

There isn’t as much uncertainty with the Game 5 odds. The Colorado Avalanche are the favorite to hoist the Stanley Cup on Friday night. Can the Tampa Bay Lightning send the series back to Tampa Bay?

We know the odds had Game 4 as a toss-up. Because of that, I can’t say for certain which team covered the spread. It was likely the Avalanche as they were a slight underdog on one site. My Lightning vs. Avalanche prediction hasn’t taken much stock into the betting trends.

Game 4 was the first time the series didn’t go over the goal total. The goal total opens at six in Game 5, with MyBookie being the only site not favoring the under.

Nikita Kucherov played in Game 4, but Brayden Point missed his second straight game. The Lightning would love to have him in the lineup, but he’s far from 100 percent. Andre Burakovsky also missed Game 4 after not traveling to Tampa Bay.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Preview

There wasn’t much action in Games 2 and 3 of the Stanley Cup Final. The Colorado Avalanche won 7-0 in Game 2, and the Tampa Bay Lightning responded with a 6-2 victory in Game 3. We finally saw a competitive battle in Game 4.

Tampa Bay took the early lead, scoring 36 seconds into Game 4. Each team scored in the second period, while Andrew Cogliano tied the game in the third period. That forced the second overtime game of the 2022 Stanley Cup Finals.

Nazem Kadri played his first game since suffering a thumb injury on June 4. He only had one shot on goal in regulation but played hero in overtime.

My Lightning vs. Avalanche betting pick has to decide if the series will end on Friday night, or if Tampa Bay will continue their quest for a three-peat.

We saw a fairly even battle in Game 4. The Lightning had two more shots, and the Avalanche had 12 more hits. Each team had two power plays, with Colorado scoring on their first man advantage.

My Lightning vs. Avalanche pick may have this series going to six games, but it’ll be tough for the Lightning to win the Stanley Cup. Check out the trends for teams facing a 3-1 series deficit.

  • All Time Record: 31-298 (.009)
  • Stanley Cup Final: 1-35 (.003)

We’ve only seen one team overcome a 3-1 series deficit in the Stanley Cup Final. Tampa Bay will have to do so with a pair of victories in Colorado. The Lightning vs. Avalanche betting odds aren’t in their favor.

The Lightning need more from their offense if they want to steal Game 5. Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov failed to record a point on three combined shots. My Lightning vs. Avalanche prediction will be easy if they don’t improve.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Same Game Parlay 

  • Alex Killorn Under 0.5 Points (-192)
  • Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 Assists (-124)
  • Steven Stamkos Under 0.5 Points (+134)

Will this be the final time we have a same game parlay for the Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche? A $100 wager will earn you nearly $550.

Alex Killorn’s playoff run has been a massive disappointment. He had a great start, recording four points in six games. However, Killorn hasn’t recorded a point in 15 straight games. We’re talking about a player with 25 goals and 34 assists in the regular season.

I wouldn’t count on Killorn’s contribution for your Lightning vs. Avalanche betting pick. He hasn’t been a factor up to this point, and there’s no reason to believe he’ll start now.

One player that has made a significant contribution in the Stanley Cup Final is Mikko Rantanen. Rantanen hasn’t recorded a goal, but he leads the Stanley Cup with eight assists.

There isn’t much value with Rantanen recording a point, so why not take the value with him picking up another assist. That has been his specialty throughout the 2022 playoffs. The Lightning vs. Avalanche odds believe Rantanen will continue his streak with another assist.

I had high hopes for Steven Stamkos ahead of the Stanley Cup Final. He had nine goals and six assists in the first three rounds, but we haven’t seen the same player lately.

  • Game 1: 0 points
  • Game 2: 0 points
  • Game 3: 2 points
  • Game 4: 0 points

He had a strong performance in Game 3, but two points in four games is disappointing for a player of his caliber. After all, Stamkos recorded 106 points in the regular season.

That leads to my Lightning vs. Avalanche expert pick.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Pick

My Pick: Avalanche to Win (-170)Bet on the Avalanche at Bovada

The Tampa Bay Lightning enter Game 5 in a must-win situation. I believe we’ll see a strong performance, but it’ll be tough to defeat the Colorado Avalanche on their home ice.

Colorado has been the best team throughout the 2021-22 season. It’s their time to win their first championship since 2001. My Lightning vs. Avalanche expert pick believes they’ll close the deal in Game 5.

Game 5 is Friday at 8 p.m. ET on ABC. Please check out the best NHL sportsbooks to make your Lightning vs. Avalanche pick today.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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