Liga MX Predictions and Picks for Matchday 9 – September 16-19 (2021)
Matchday 9 of the Liga MX 2021 Apertura gets underway this Thursday, September 16, as Atletico San Luis welcomes Club Tijuana to Estadio Alfonso Lastras for the first tie of the round.
On Saturday, third-place Club Leons hosts last-place Juarez, before the top two – Club America and Deportivo Toluca – go head-to-head at La Bombonera.
Here is the Matchday 9 schedule in full.
- Atletico San Luis vs. Club Tijuana
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlas
- Club Leon vs. Juarez
- Deportivo Toluca vs. Club America
- Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM
- Guadalajara vs. Pachuca
- Cruz Azul vs. Queretaro
- Monterrey vs. Tigres UANL
- Santos Laguna vs. Club Puebla
Below, I share my Matchday 9 Liga MX predictions – covering all nine games. After analyzing the Liga MX odds, I also share my best Liga MX bets for Matchday 9.
Let’s get this show on the road by jumping straight into my prediction for Atletico San Luis vs. Club Tijuana.
Atletico San Luis to Beat Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis has made a strong start to the Apertura campaign, losing just one of their opening seven matches. The club has already claimed some notable scalps, too, beating Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM this year.
Although three draws have prevented Los Atleticos from challenging the top teams in the league, they will be confident of building on the solid foundations they have set.
On the other hand, Club Tijuana has only managed to win one of their eight games this season. Following three draws and four losses, Robert Siboldi’s men finally tasted victory last weekend – edging out Santos Laguna 2-1.
Of course, Tijuana will fancy their chances of upsetting the Liga MX odds on Thursday, having beaten Santos Laguna last time out. But I expect San Luis to flex their muscles and claim all three points.
Atlas to Beat Club Necaxa
We may only be eight games into the Apertura season, but it already looks like Atlas will be difficult to beat this year. Indeed, Diego Cocca’s men have lost just once this term and head into Matchday 9 on a four-match unbeaten streak.
Eleventh-place Necaxa currently sits four points behind fifth-place Atlas, having picked up three wins and five draws from their first eight games. As things stand, Los Rayos are the only team that has yet to record a draw this year.
Guillermo Vazquez’s side is coming off back-to-back losses and went down 3-0 to Quetero last time out. With that in mind, I can see Atlas winning this one with ease.
Club Leon to Beat Juarez
This is undoubtedly the biggest mismatch of Matchday 9, as third-place Club Leon sits ten points ahead of last-place Juarez. While Leon has claimed 15 points already, Juarez has only managed to take five points from a possible 24.
After losing on the opening day, Leon has pieced together an eight-match unbeaten run in all competitions. Los Panzas Verdes even crushed MLS side Sporting KC 6-1 in the Leagues Cup, underlining their strength.
Juarez finally picked up their first win of the campaign last time out, beating Cruz Azul 2-1. That said, five heavy defeats in the lead-up to Matchday 8 mean Los Bravos have the joint-worst defensive record in the division.
Unfortunately for Ricardo Ferretti’s side, only two teams have scored more goals than Leon this season. A high-scoring home victory is on the cards here.
Deportivo Toluca and Club America to Draw
Having sealed five wins, two draws, and one loss this term, Deportivo Toluca is sitting pretty in second place at the moment – three points behind Club America. Toluca is also the only team heading into Matchday 9 on the back of two straight victories.
Veteran winger Rubens Sambueza has been immense this year, notching four goals and five assists in eight matches. The 37-year-old has scored and assisted in three separate games this season, defying his age.
Club America, meanwhile, has registered six wins and two draws this term. As a result, Santiago Solari’s men find themselves atop the table and remain the only unbeaten side in Liga MX.
Toluca may be the joint-highest scorers, but America boasts the best defensive record in the league. For that reason, I can see this matchup ending in a draw. After all, neither team will want to lose on Saturday.
Pumas UNAM to Beat Mazatlan
It’s fair to say that Pumas UNAM and Mazatlan have both made a slow start to the Apertura.
Mazatlan started the season with back-to-back wins, but it’s been all downhill since then. Having recorded three draws and three losses in their previous six outings, Benat San Jose’s men sit at rock bottom of the five-game form table with the worst defensive record in the division.
On the flip side, Pumas started the campaign poorly but have since bounced back. After taking just a single point from their opening three matches, they have only lost two of their last six in all competitions – securing a Leagues Cup victory over MLS club New York City in the process.
With Pumas on the up and Mazatlan sliding down the standings, I’m backing UNAM to win this one.
Guadalajara to Beat Pachuca
Guadalajara has only lost one of their previous seven outings, sealing two wins and four draws along the way. Although Las Chivas may not be where they want to be right now, they still find themselves in a strong position to move up the table in the coming weeks.
Scoring goals has been an issue for Victor Manuel Vucetich’s men. That said, they have only conceded eight times this season – meaning they boast one of the strongest defensive records in the league.
Pachuca, on the other hand, heads into Matchday 9 on the back of a poor run of results. Los Tuzos have only managed to win one of their previous six games, suffering four defeats in the process.
Barring any unforeseen circumstances, Guadalajara should seal a comfortable victory over Pachuca.
Cruz Azul to Beat Queretaro
After suffering only their second defeat of the season last weekend, Cruz Azul currently sits eight in the table. Still, Juan Reynoso’s men are just three points outside the top four, so there is no need to panic.
Santiago Gimenez has been the star of the show for Los Celestes this term, racking up four goals and one assist in eight appearances. If the 20-year-old continues to shine, the 2021 Guardianes champions will move up the standings in no time at all.
Queretaro is fourth from bottom, having picked up just a single win this season. Although that win came in their most recent encounter, Los Gallos Blancos are still in a poor position.
Worse still, Leonardo Ramos’ men are the lowest scorers in Liga MX. With a measly four goals to their name, Queretaro is likely to record a fifth loss of the campaign this weekend.
Tigres UANL to Beat Monterrey
Los Tigres have only lost one of their eight Apertura games this year, sealing three wins and four draws along the way. Their sole defeat came on Matchday 2, meaning they head into Matchday 9 on a six-match unbeaten streak.
Like UANL, Monterrey has lost just once this term. However, the 2019 Apertura champions have only managed to clinch two wins in eight matches – registering five draws.
Rayados heads into Matchday 9 on a four-game winless streak, including three straight draws. Considering Los Tigres are enjoying a six-match unbeaten run in Liga MX, I’m backing the away side to claim all three points.
Santos Laguna to Beat Club Puebla
While Santos Laguna has lost just once this season, Club Puebla has only managed to secure one Apertura win. As a result, sixth-place Santos leads fourteenth-place Puebla by four points.
Santos suffered their first defeat of the campaign last weekend, going down to Tijuana. Even so, I expect them to bounce back and return to winning ways against struggling Puebla.
Los Camoteros have taken just seven points from a possible 24 this term, conceding 11 goals along the way. Only four sides have a poorer defensive record than Puebla, so I can’t see them avoiding defeat against Santos.
To make matters worse for Puebla, Santos is among the top-scoring teams in Liga MX. It goes without saying that Santos should dispatch Puebla with ease.
My Top Liga MX Picks for Matchday 9
That’s it for my Matchday 9 Liga MX predictions – but I’m not finished yet! Here are my best Liga MX bets for Matchday 9. If you like the look of my Liga MX betting picks, head over to the top online sportsbooks and place your wagers.
Atletico San Luis vs. Club Tijuana
In my eyes, odds of 2.20 for Atletico San Luis to beat Club Tijuana are extremely generous. I mean, Los Atleticos have lost just one of their seven matches this season, while Robert Siboldi’s men have only managed to win one of their eight games.
Oh, and let’s not forget that San Luis has already scored ten goals this term, while Tijuana has conceded 13 times in just eight outings.
- Pick: Atletico San Luis to Win (2.20)
Club Leon vs. Juarez
I already mentioned that Club Leon vs. Juarez is the biggest mismatch of Matchday 9 – and the bookies seem to agree. Leon is priced at just 1.40 to win this one, while the Juarez victory is all the way up at 6.50.
In order to get better value, I recommend backing Leon with a –1 handicap. Los Panzas Verdes have been scoring goals for fun this season, so they shouldn’t struggle to beat Los Bravos – who have the joint-worst defensive record – by two clear goals.
- Pick: Club Leon (–1) – 2.30
Monterrey vs. Tigres UANL
Although I predicted that Tigres will beat Monterrey, this is destined to be a tight game. For that reason, I suggest steering clear of the moneyline markets here.
Instead, backing the over 2.5 goals market feels like the best bet for Monterrey vs. Tigres UANL. Over 60% of Tigres’ games have dished up at least three goals this season, while Monterrey’s previous two matches have produced a combined total of seven goals.
- Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (2.10)