Kelvin Gastelum vs. Ian Heinisch Betting Preview for UFC 258

| February 12, 2021 8:41 am PDT

A middleweight clash between Kelvin Gastelum vs. Ian Heinsich is set for the main card of UFC 258 this Saturday, February 13.

This betting preview breaks the fight down for bettors looking to make money gambling on Gastelum vs. Heinisch.

We’ll go through the best odds and wagers for the fight before I give my prediction and pick for Gastelum vs. Heinisch. It should be an interesting scrap, so strap yourself in for that.

Gastelum is on a three-fight skid and in desperate need of a win. Can he turn things around against Heinisch, who is 1-2 from his last three fights?

Let’s start with my betting prediction for Gastelum vs. Heinisch, and I’ll take you through the rest.

Gastelum vs. Heinisch – Who Wins This Fight?

  • Kelvin Gastelum by Decision

He’s going through a rough patch right now, but I believe Kelvin Gastelum is the better of these fighters.

If you’re betting on Gastelum vs. Heinisch, it’s worth remembering that his losses came to Israel Adesanya, Darren Till, and Jack Hermansson.

This betting preview for Gastelum vs. Heinisch contains my reasons for backing him, which I’ll get to later. First, let’s see what the odds look like on the top betting MMA apps.

Latest Odds for Gastelum vs. Heinisch

Kelvin Gastelum to Win-210
Ian Heinisch to Win+180

Gastelum’s odds to beat Heinisch are about right.

That sounds odd for a guy that has suffered three straight losses. But remember that Gastelum was competing for the interim title just a few fights ago.

Is the betting underdog, Heinisch, worth a pop at +180?

I’m not sure he is. I see no value for the challenger in the Gastelum vs. Heinisch odds above.

Before you make your own Gastelum vs. Heinisch predictions, check out these bets.

Best Bets for Gastelum vs. Heinisch

  • Gastelum to Win (-210)
  • Gastelum to Win by Decision (-105)
  • Gastelum by KO/TKO/DQ (+450)

All three of the top bets for the fight lean towards the favorite.

As you know, my betting pick for Gastelum vs. Heinisch is with Kelvin. The odds on him just to win the fight aren’t great, but it was always going to be that way.

You can get much better odds of -105, but is this the top bet for Gastelum vs. Heinisch?

I can’t help but be drawn to the odds for Gastelum to KO Heinisch (+450).

They are seriously good betting value for a dude that can bang like the 29-year-old. Sure, his last knockout win was 2017, but that was just five fights ago. And he’s fought some pretty solid opponents since then, even pushing Izzy Adesanya to the cards.

Still, Heinisch has only ever been stopped once. And that was by submission…

Why Gastelum Beats Heinisch

I was discussing my Gastelum vs. Heinisch pick recently with a friend.

He was trying to talk me out of backing Gastelum for the decision, but I eventually talked him out of betting on Heinisch to beat Gastelum. I don’t think he has the power or the ground game to trouble the former interim middleweight title challenger and will likely be second best on the night.

Gastelum has never had an easy fight in the UFC. Given the guys he has beaten over the years, he’s still regarded as a top fighter. Keep this in mind when betting real money on Gastelum vs. Heinisch, as you might be tempted to punt on the latter.

Heinisch found his way into the UFC via Dana White’s Contender Series. He’s hardly lit the promotion on fire since then and is 3-2 with losses to Derek Brunson and Omari Akhmedov. I don’t think Gastelum loses to either of those guys.

I see him surviving, just about, only for Gastelum to pick up a win by way of decision.

Final Words on Gastelum vs. Heinisch

Perhaps one of the more underrated fights to bet on at UFC 258, there are plenty of interesting bets for Gastelum vs. Heinisch to target.

I believe Gastelum to be the better of the two and nowhere near his finish line. At just 29, he still has a lot more to give, and I think we will see this on Saturday night.

If you’re looking to bet on other fights at UFC 258, check out the following content.

Enjoy the fights!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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