Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Betting – NFL Week 7, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| October 19, 2020 11:46 am PDT

The Kansas City Chiefs started their title-defending campaign with four consecutive wins, but they couldn’t get the fifth in a row as the Las Vegas Raiders stopped them at Arrowhead Stadium last week. The reigning champions will be playing their Week 6 games against the Buffalo Bills on Monday, and then they will take on the Broncos next Sunday. They are at the top of the AFC North with a win ahead of the Raiders.

The Denver Broncos came from their bye week and recorded a road victory over the favored New England Patriots. It was Denver’s second win in a row following three straight losses at the start of the season. One of the youngest teams in the NFL showed a lot of character and fighting spirit despite a bunch of injured players and showed the rest of the league they must be respected. Denver improved to a 2-3 record and has a chance to return to .500 with another upset against the divisional rivals Chiefs on Sunday. Take a look at my Chiefs vs. Broncos betting preview.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds

Chiefs -9.5-110
Broncos +9.5-110
Chiefs to win-435
Broncos to win+350
Over 48.5-110
Under 48.5-110

Chiefs Allowed Season-High 40 Points in a Loss to the Raiders

The Kansas City Chiefs displayed the weakest defensive performance in two years in a 40-32 home defeat to the divisional rivals Las Vegas Raiders, allowing even 21 points in the second quarter. They opened the game on a high note and took a 14-3 lead, and also had a 21-10 lead midway through the second quarter. However, the Raiders started playing much better and controlled the game since, securing a deserved victory in the end.

Patrick Mahomes completed 22 of 43 passes for 340 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while he also added one TD on the ground. Although they scored a pair of rushing touchdowns, the Chiefs’ running game didn’t really work as the Raiders’ defense penetrated through the offensive line quite often and sacked Mahomes on three occasions. Tight end Travis Kelce contributed with his usual production of 108 yards and a score on eight receptions, while Tyreek Hill had 78 yards on three catches. Linebacker Anthony Hitchens was the only defender with double-digit tackles as he finished the tilt with ten (six solos).

The Chiefs are the 9th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 29.8 points per game, 4th in passing yards (287.8), 14th in rushing yards (119.4), while they have the 10th defense that allows 22.0 points per contest.

Brandon McManus Shines in the Broncos Win Over the Pats

The Denver Broncos produced the best defensive display of the year in an 18-12 road victory over the New England Patriots, kicker Brandon McManus was the hero once again. He hit all of his six field-goal attempts, including a couple of 50+ yards to help his team record the second straight win. Denver had an 18-3 lead entering the final 15 minutes, but a pair of interceptions thrown by Drew Lock, who returned from an injury, brought the Pats right back into the contest. Still, the Broncos’ D came up strong in New England’s last drive of the game and stopped the struggling Cam Newton and pale Patriots’ offense.

Drew Lock completed ten of 24 passes for 189 yards and two interceptions. Luckily for him and the Broncos, Phillip Lindsay, who also returned from an injury he sustained in the opening week, dominated on the ground with 101 yards on 23 carries. Wideout Tim Patrick caught four of eight passes thrown to him for 101 yards, his second straight 100+ yard outing. Denver’s defense recorded four sacks, two interceptions, and forced three fumbles, and Malik Reed led the way with a pair of sacks. Alexander Johnson racked up nine tackles (five solos) in a win.

The Broncos are the 29th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 20.0 points per game, 27th in passing yards (204.2), 25th in rushing yards (101.0), while they have the 10th defense that allows 22.0 points per contest.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Pick

Even though Drew Lock had a slow game on his return to the field, I expect him to display a way better performance against the Chiefs on Sunday. Kansas City, just like the Broncos, has a top 10 defense at the moment, but they will surrender at least one or two passing touchdowns in this one. Starting tight end Noah Fant will likely be back from his ankle injury, and he is one of the favorite Lock’s targets, along with Patrick and Jerry Jeudy. Also, Melvin Gordon, who didn’t travel to New England due to an illness, will return for this one, which is two more weapons for the Broncos to work with on offense. The Chiefs showed signs of fragility in the recent loss to Las Vegas, and that’s why I am backing the hosts to cover the spread here.

Pick
  • Denver Broncos +9.5
    -110

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