Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears Betting Preview – NFL, October 4, 2020

| September 30, 2020 4:01 am PDT

Indianapolis heads to the Windy City toting the league’s top-ranked defense. Chicago is one of seven undefeated teams, although they’re the only one of the unbeatens that’s made a change at the quarterback position.

We don’t know exactly how long Nick Foles will keep the job under center, but here’s what we can confirm. Storming back against the Falcons in week 2 has certainly bought him a fairly long leash.

Let’s get to a Colts vs. Bears prediction and find out if Matt Nagy and company are on their way to a 4-0 mark.

Colts vs. Bears Odds

Colts (-2.5)-115
Bears (+2.5)-105
Colts to Win-140
Bears to Win+120
Over 45-110
Under 45-110

No matter what the Bears do, they can’t seem to get any respect at the top NFL betting sites. They’re 3-0 and playing at home, while the Colts are banged up on both sides of the ball.

Yet here Chicago is sitting as a 2.5-point dog.

I’m not sure inserting Foles at QB does much of anything to the line, but it sure seems to have given the Chicago players a jolt of fresh energy. As well as has caught the attention of Frank Reich.

“Nick is about as unflappable of a person as I’ve ever been around. He’s a very unique player in that regard. Extremely talented.”

Colts vs. Bears Week 4 Matchup

Before we put too much emphasis on the Colts last two victories, let’s keep in mind who Indianapolis was facing. The Vikings defense is completely inept and the Jets are laughing stock of the league. Traveling to Soldier Field presents a much stiffer test.

Indy’s former HC, Chuck Pagano, leads a Bears defense that’s ranked 2nd in the NFL in stopping their opponent on third down. What makes matters worse for Coach Reich is that his offense ranks dead last when it comes to third-down conversion rate (30.3%).

Philip Rivers must find a way to be better on “the all-important down,” which starts with Jonathan Taylor setting him up for success. Look for Indy to try and establish the running game early to get ahead of the down and distance. If the Colts find themselves facing lots of third-and-longs, punter Rigoberto Sanchez is going to have himself a busy day.

Stopping Indianapolis appears to be attainable, but the concerns for Matt Nagy set in once you assess the other side of the ball.

Nick Foles looked good in desperation mode against a dreadful Falcons secondary, but how’s the journeyman backup going to look going through his progressions versus the Colts?

There’s no Tarik Cohen for Foles to fall back on. David Montgomery has been less than stellar, and Indy has the personnel in the middle level to take away Jimmy Graham.

As I contemplate a Colts vs. Bears prediction, I’m wondering where the points going to come from.

Colts vs. Bears Pick

Nick Foles’ forte has nothing to do with the regular-season, hence his role as a backup for the bulk of his career. Suspecting he’ll light up the scoreboard against the team allowing the fewest points and fewest yards seems a bit ambitious.

At the same time, don’t hold your breath waiting for the Colts offense to be firing on all cylinders.

Indianapolis was able to blow past Minnesota and New York without Marlon Mack and Parris Campbell, but a depleted cast on offense will be accentuated versus the Bears. Especially now considering Michael Pittman is out indefinitely after undergoing “unexpected” surgery on his calf.

Rather than commit to who covers the spread, targeting the under is my favorite Colts vs. Bears bet.

Pick
  • Under 45
    -110
Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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