Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars – NFL Week 9, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| November 2, 2020 10:07 am PDT

The Houston Texans are coming off a bye week and are strong favorites to beat the AFC South rivals Jacksonville Jaguars for the second time this season. Houston’s only win of the campaign came against the Jags, and now they’re looking to sweep the series. However, they suffered a couple of losses to the Tennessee Titans and Green Bay Packers following that win and dropped to a 1-6 record.

The Jacksonville Jaguars surprisingly beat the Indianapolis Colts on the opening day of the season, but then lost the following six games, including the most recent one to the Los Angeles Chargers on the road. After that loss, the Jags also dropped to a 1-6 record. Here is my Texans vs. Jaguars betting preview.

Texans vs. Jaguars Odds

Texans -6.5-110
Jaguars +6.5-110
Texans to win-270
Jaguars to win+245
Over 51.5-110
Under 51.5-110

Texans’ Pathetic First Half vs. the Packers Decided Their Fate

The Houston Texans were kept off the scoreboard in the opening 30 minutes against the Green Bay Packers at home, and although they responded with 20 points in the second half, it was too late to avoid a 35-20 defeat. Aaron Rodgers torched Houston’s secondary with four TD passes, three of which came in the first half. The visitors relaxed a bit late in the game but didn’t drop a victory.

Deshaun Watson completed 29 of 39 passes for 309 yards and two touchdowns, while he added 38 yards on seven rushing attempts. Randall Cobb had eight receptions for 95 yards, but David Johnson and Will Fuller V were the ones to find the endzone through the air. When it comes to defense, Tyrell Adams and Zach Cunningham were rock-solid with 11 tackles apiece.

The Texans are the 22nd team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 23.7 points per game, 5th in passing yards (282.7), 32nd in rushing yards (84.9), while they have the 30th defense that allows 31.0 points per contest.

Jaguars Allowed 39 Points in a Road Loss to the Chargers

The Jacksonville Jaguars allowed 30+ points for the sixth time in a row this season as they lost to the Los Angeles Chargers 39-29 on the road, which turned out to be their worst defensive display of the year. They did score 15 points in the third quarter but allowed 20 on the other end, and surrender even 484 yards and 29 first downs to the Chargers.

Gardner Minshew II completed 14 of 27 passes for 173 yards and a couple of touchdowns, while he added 21 more yards on the ground. Rookie James Robinson continued to impress with running the ball as he ended the clash with 119 yards and a TD on 22 carries. Laviska Shenault Jr. led the team in receiving yards with 44 on three catches, but Chris Conley and running back Robinson scored touchdowns. On the defensive end, linebacker Joe Schobert contributed with nine tackles (three solos).

The Jaguars are the 26th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 22.0 points per game, 20th in passing yards (246.4), 30th in rushing yards (96.6), while they have the 31st defense that allows 31.4 points per contest.

Texans vs. Jaguars Betting Pick

I know we’re dealing with two of the three worst defenses in the NFL, but I don’t expect to see a lot of points here because only one of the previous 15 H2H duels produced over 51.5 points, which is set as the total for this encounter. The Jags are going to run a low against the second-worst defense against the rushers, and I am backing them to score multiple touchdowns on the ground. However, I don’t think the rivals will combine for 52+ points on Sunday.

Pick
  • Under 51.5
    -110

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