Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns – NFL Week 10, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| November 9, 2020 3:13 pm PDT

The 2020 NFL season goes on with Week 10 matchups, so I bring you the best Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns betting pick and odds for Sunday, November 15.

While the Browns are coming fresh off a bye, the Texans snapped a two-game skid in Week 9 to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Both teams will be keen to secure a victory at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, so let’s take a closer look at this AFC showdown.

Texans vs. Browns Odds

Texans +3.0-105
Browns -3.0-115
Texans to Win+150
Browns to Win-170
Over 54.0-110
Under 54.0-110

The Texans have owned the Browns lately, winning their previous five head-to-head duels and covering on all five occasions dating back to 2008.

However, things have changed, so the 5-3 Browns enter this clash as 3-point favorites to beat the 2-6 Texans. The visitors desperately need a win, but it’s a similar story with the Browns who sit at the third spot of the AFC North despite their solid record through the first nine weeks.

Houston Texans Form

After a couple of losses to Tennessee 42-36 in overtime on the road and Green Bay 35-20 at home, the Texans barely outlasted the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-25 as 6.5-point road favorites this past Sunday.

Deshaun Watson led the way for Houston with 19 passes for 281 yards and a pair of touchdowns while adding 10 carries for 50 yards. The Texans lost their starting RB David Johnson due to a concussion, so Duke Johnson could lead their backfield in Week 10.

Houston allowed 412 total yards to the Jags, proving their defense is the biggest issue this season. The Texans are yielding 30.3 points per contest (29th in the NFL) on 159.5 rushing yards (32nd) and 257.4 passing yards (23rd).

On the other side of the ball, Houston is scoring 24.1 points (22nd) on 368.4 total yards per game (16th). The Texans’ ground game is the second-worst in football, tallying just 87.6 yards per outing.

Cleveland Browns Form

The Browns desperately needed a week on a bye to heal some injuries and regroup after dropping two of their last three contests. After a heavy 38-7 defeat at Pittsburgh in Week 6, the Browns beat Cincy 37-34 on the road, but they suffered a painful 16-6 loss to Las Vegas in Week 8.

Nick Chubb will return from a knee injury, giving a massive boost to the Browns’ offense. The 24-year-old RB has been exceptional through the first three weeks of the season, scoring four touchdowns on the ground while helping the Browns’ rushing to look unstoppable.

Cleveland is averaging 150.0 rushing yards per game (5th in the NFL) while scoring 25.8 points (16th). The Browns are yielding 29.6 points per contest (26th) on 371.4 total yards (20th).

Texans vs. Browns Pick

Pick
  • Over 54.0
    -110

This will be the clash of two struggling defenses, and I think both teams should know how to take full advantage of each other’s flaws. Therefore, I’m betting on the over, looking for a proper firecracker in Cleveland even though the under has hit in eight of the last nine matchups between the Texans and Browns.

The Texans are only 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in their last nine outings, and the over is 6-3 in that span. Their run D is the worst in the league, as I’ve already mentioned, so the Browns should have no problems rolling over the Texans, especially with healthy Nick Chubb in the backfield.

However, I don’t feel comfortable with the hosts to win, as Houston’s receiving corps can do a lot of damage to the Browns’ fragile secondary. This should be a high-scoring affair, particularly if the Texans play with a negative script.

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