Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears – NFL Week 14, 2020
The Texans face the Bears at Soldier Field looking to heap more misery on the already wounded Bears.
Houston has won three of their last five games as they look to finish the season on a high after a very poor start. They have also won two of their last three games on the road.
The Bears have lost their last six games in a row, their worst run since 2002 where they lost eight matches consecutively. Their record doesn’t really improve much when you look at their last five home fixtures as they have won one and lost four games.
Bears fans look away now as looking at the head to head record the Texans have won all four matches against the Bears.
Texans vs. Bears Odds
Despite the Bear’s awful recent form the odds for this game are as tight as you can get. This could be down to the fact that Chicago has come close to winning on a few occasions lately and the bookmakers believe the law of averages suggests they have to win one soon as the form book certainly suggests otherwise.
Houston fans have been treated to some explosive, high-scoring matches recently and the fact that the Texans have managed to win a few adds to that excitement.
Despite that excitement they have generally had to wait to see their team score as Houston’s opponents have scored the opening touchdown in their last nine games in a row!
Against the Bears the Texans have excelled having won all four times that they have met, winning by at least a touchdown each time.
I don’t expect to see much running in this game as both sides like to throw the ball around. They both average a messily 84 and 86 rushing yards per game. If you have a quarterback like Deshaun Watson then it’s easy to understand why you would rely on throwing the ball more often. He currently sits second on the passing yards table on 3542 yards this season, only bettered by the formidable Patrick Mahomes. The Bears passed up the chance of signing Watson in the 2017 draft, a decision they have rued since.
The Texans in actual fact have made the least rushing yards of all NFL teams this year. This results in them only scoring eight rushing touchdowns this season, one of the lowest in the league.
Whilst the Texans do or die approach is entertaining they do need to remember that they have to defend. They are currently averaging a whopping 421 yards per game against them which inevitably means they will concede a fair few points each game which has been the case.
Their opponents are averaging a 68% passing completion success rate which again is adding to their defensive woes. Houston is only averaging three interceptions per game which is equal to the lowest with the Eagles.
If it wasn’t for the tacking skills of Zachary Cunningham who leads the league in tackles made this season they could find themselves in deeper water in terms of points against.
After a fairly decent start to the season the Bears have been in free fall and they appear to have forgotten how to get over the line and pick up a victory. This is epitomized in their last outing where they had a commanding lead only to concede two touchdowns in just over the last two minutes.
Their home matches are usually competitive, despite losing the last three in a row. Only one of the last six home games has seen the winning team win by more than a touchdown.
Roquan Smith will be looking to match or better Zach Cunningham’s tackle count as he chases the linebackers 119 tackles this season (Smith is currently on 110).
Like the Texans the Bears do not like running the ball as they have the second-lowest amount of rushing yards (only Houston has less) in the league. The Bears only have five rushing touchdowns this season which is the lowest of all teams.
One plus for the Bears is the fact that they have reduced their opponents to a 62% pass success rate, only bettered by the Steelers and the Saints. However with that said they are only averaging seven interceptions per game, so although they are blocking the ball well, they aren’t managing to get their hands on it.
Texans vs. Bears Betting Pick
Houston To Win-120
The value has to be with the Texans in this one. The Bears are in dire form and they aren’t showing much that this will change any time soon. Add to that the fact that the Texans have never lost to the Bears to odds look very generous on a Houston win.